A US Election is a marathon like no other. Prior to the main event in November and all the related state, margin and electoral college markets, there are fifty primaries covering each state to resolve the Democrat Candidates. Primary season starts in a fortnight at the Iowa Caucus.
Since the Democrat race begun last summer, many candidates have come and gone. For the record, my book is currently red. I made some money from Beto Rourke’s early rise, but timed trades on Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg badly. An earlier lay of Bernie Sanders has since been reversed for a small loss. The less said about my opening 259/1 punt on Michael Avenatti, the better.
No matter – it is early days. Here’s my analysis of the top-seven candidates.