Group Racing Tips: Expert Racing Previews

The team at Winning Edge Investments will be providing their Group Racing Tips across the country for the Betfair Hub.

Their strong group of professional punters will be providing a high level of analysis and detail for key races, helping you back and lay on the biggest betting races across the calendar.

Utilise their group racing tips and head to the Betfair Exchange.

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Randwick R4 | 2.00pm | 1400m G2 3YOF

The third leg of the Princess series for the 3yo fillies and Dame Giselle is undefeated so far this prep. They now step up 200m in distance to the 1400m.

Track

Rail is in the True position. Minimal rain forecast so after a hot day Thursday the track will be rated Good. On pacers and inside draws can be slightly favoured at the Randwick 1400m.

Map

Quite a few here with only a limited number of starts so the map is far from settled. However, Miss Canada may push forward to match motors with Every Rose and perhaps Vangelic off the inside draws. Dame Giselle looks to be able to slot in this time while Hungry Heart may be caught up in the second half of the field.


Key Chances

1) Dame Giselle

Was too strong last start over the 1200m after sitting 3 wide the journey. 1400m shouldn’t be a problem.

2) Stellar Pauline

Probably better than last start when she over-raced but the second seed from the Snowden camp.

3) Hungry Heart

By Frankel and was looking for further first up. Considering her runstyle, the opening quote of even money looks a bit tight.

5) Thermosphere

Godolphin filly would have to regain her first up form when a close second to Dame Giselle.

6) Vangelic

Led first up in the Furious Stakes off two 900m trials. Does the Waterhouse/Bott / Clark combination lead again or is she better with a sit as in her first prep? Expecting improvement.

8) Montefilia

By Kermadec trained by David Payne. Coming back 100m off a 42 day break with a trial in between behind Haut Brion Her. Knockout hope.


Summary

Currently, Dame Giselle looks to be a bit of value. As we get closer to jump time Hungry Heart may drift allowing you to have a positive outcome on both main chances.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — Dame Giselle for 1 unit

Caulfield R7 | 4.35pm | 2000m G3

In the past nine years some nice horses have won this race including Jameka (won G1 Caulfield Cup 2 starts later), December Draw (won G1 Turnbull Stakes next start) and Harlem (won G1 Australian Cup next prep).

Track

At the time of writing on Thursday night, the track is a Good 4, with some rain forecasted which could take the track to a Soft 5. Strong northeasterly winds forecast which could disadvantage leaders or those exposed to the breeze in the run.

Historical profiling (last 9 years)

  • Second up — two winners, third up — five winners, fourth up — one winner
  • 14-day break — five winners, 21-day break — four winners
  • On pacers race: six of the past seven winners were no worse than fifth on the turn

Map

Think We’re Due looks to lead on an average speed. Dr Drill, Chapada, Polly Grey and Shandy can all settle near the pace.


Key Chances

3) Dr Drill
Was the run of the race in the Heatherlie coming from a long way back to finish 5th beaten 1.8L. Can settle much closer in the run here. The one to beat.

8) Gallic Chieftain
3rd up over 2400m+ is usually hi go. Is 2nd up over 2000m. Only reason I’m entertaining him is his run in the Heatherlie was much better than it looks on paper. Is going well.

9) Orderofthegarter

Has run two solid 2nds this prep. Has a boom on him and appears a ‘hype horse’ who is under the odds, but have to respect as a winning chance.

10) In Good Health
Tipped this to members to win the Heatherlie at $71 last start. Win was no fluke and surprised he’s opened us such big odds again. Can repeat the dose.

14) Game Keeper
Interesting horse whose ratings keep improving each prep. Has improved nicely again in two runs this prep running a close 3rd in the Heatherlie. Can’t discount.

18) Kinane
Highly touted stayer whose connections turned down a big offer from Hong Kong. Has been plain in two runs this prep, but has been set for this by Waller who quinella’d the race last year. Chance on 3yo form.


Summary

Dr Drill rates on top for me given his Heatherlie run and ability to map much closer here. In Good Health looks great value as a horse the market may underestimate again.

Kinane is an interesting runner who could blow them away if Waller has him right.

Orderofthegarter and Game Keeper have chances though aren’t great value in current markets. Gallic Chieftain is the knockout at huge odds.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — Dr Drill for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) — Gallic Chieftain for 0.2 units

BACK (WIN) — Orderofthegarter for 0.5 units

BACK (WIN) — In Good Health for 0.5 units

BACK (WIN) — Kinane for 0.5 units

Access the Race Assessment via PDF here.

BACK (WIN) — Dirty Work for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) — Classique Legend for 0.5 units


Current Results

Total Units Staked: 19.70

Total Units Returned: 3.09

ROI: -84.30%


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