FEATURE PREVIEWS: CAULFIELD GUINEAS

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1600m | Race Type: Group 1 3YO Set Weights | Rail Position: True | Current Track Conditions: Good 4 |
Prediction Track Conditions: Soft 5 | Prizemoney: $3,000,000

High quality honour roll in recent years including All Too Hard, Press Statement, The Autumn Sun, Ole Kirk & Anamoe.

Last year’s edition of the race was won in spectacular fashion by Griff, breaking a recent trend of favourites saluting in the time honored Group 1.

Griff’s victory came with a post commission BSP of $44.39 which dwarfed the corporate average (Ladbrokes, TAB, Sportsbet) by 28%. With those markets trading at $35 on average.

It amounts to an additional $93.90 in the pocket for a $10 outlay on the winner.

The other notable price advantage in the last five years came in 2020 when Ole Kirk delivered the goods with a 12% edge at the $4.80 BSP.

• 1st/2nd up (0/7), 3rd up (2/49), 4th up (9/83), 5th up (2/26), 6th up+ (0/12) 
• 3rd up horses were The Autumn Sun off a 1500m first up run and then winning the 1400m Golden Rose after winning a 1600m G1 as a 2yo in the winter, and Anamoe off a Golden Rose nose defeat. 
• 7-8 day break (0/8), 13-14-day break (9/89), 15-day break (2/35), 21-day break (2/26), 27+ day break (0/6) 
• Colts (12/142), Geldings (1/33), Fillies (0/2) 
• Tab No 1-6 (12/73), 7+ (1/104) 
• Official Handicap Ranking 1-6 (12/78), 7+ (1/99) 
• Average Prizemoney Index 1-6 (12/78), 7+ (1/99) 
• Black Type Winner or G1 placed as a 2yo (8) 
• SP $7.50 or under (10), $12 (1), $31 (1), $101 (1) 
• Lead Up – Golden Rose (4), Guineas Prelude (3), Bill Stutt (2), Stan Fox (3), George Main (1) 
• Last Start Performance 1st (6/46), 2nd (2/31), 3rd (1/27), 4th (3/24), 5th (1/12), 6th+ (0/37) 
• Last Start G1 (5/22), G2 (5/48), G3 (3/72), Other (0/35) 
• Last Start 1400 (7/113), 1500 (3/9), 1600 (3/46) 
• Last Start Rosehill (7/26), Randwick (1/4), Moonee Valley (2/40), Caulfield (3/79), Other (0/28) 
• Career Starts 1-4 (1/57), 5-7 (10/85), 8+ (2/35) 
• Career Wins 0-1 (1/72), 2+ (12/105) 
• Barriers 1-8 (10), Barriers 13-15 (3) 
• Had previously run over 1500m+ (9) 
• First Prep (0)

Above average speed expected here with Wanaruah leading Mayfair. Feroce should get the trail and Public Attention the 1×1. Private Life, Rue De Royale and Evaporate need to try and slot in midfield from out wide. Tropicus, Angel Capital, Broadsiding and Vianarra out the back.

1. Broadsiding  – High class colt with 5 wins in a row. 3 at G1 level, the past 4 all $1M races. Rates well on top but does come into this 2nd up which has never been done successfully before. 

3. Evaporate  – Has won 4 in a row including last start in the G2 Stutt Stakes.

4. Angel Capital  – Has been strong this prep winning both starts including the Guineas Prelude last start. Quality colt.

5. Mayfair  – Keeps improving each start. Was a close 3rd last start in the G1 Golden Rose.

7. Public Attention  – Had no luck at second start, then wide no cover throughout in the Guineas Prelude and running a strong 2nd. Capable of winning.

11. Private Life – Was a close 4th in the Guineas Prelude. Can measure up.

1. Broadsiding
4. Angel Capital
7. Public Attention
5. Mayfair

Units Outlayed: 325.2
Units Returned: 336.6
Profit On Turnover: 3.5%

BIG WINNERS (Betfair SP)

• 2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)
• 2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment ($28.26)
• 2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23.00)
• 2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)
• 2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)
• 2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18.00)
• 2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15.00)

The Caulfield Guineas is a cornerstone of the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival and a key stallion-making race for three-year-old colts and geldings. Held over 1600 metres at Caulfield, this Group 1 feature attracts high-quality contenders and often delivers performances that shape the rest of the spring.

Whether you’re backing a proven runner or trying to unearth the next champion, our Caulfield Guineas tips offer sharp, reliable insights that go beyond the form guide. With expert analysis grounded in performance data, tempo assessments, and race-day conditions, we help punters make smarter bets on one of the most competitive races of the season.

This is more than just a mile for three-year-olds—it’s a true test of talent, stamina, and racecraft. Many runners come through the Golden Rose, Stutt Stakes, or the Guineas Prelude, and piecing those formlines together is key to identifying winning chances.

Our racing analysts study every runner’s prep, looking for patterns, progression, and tactical advantages. We ask:

• Is this horse ready to peak over the mile?
• Has it been tested against the top-tier?
• Does its racing style suit the layout of Caulfield?

These are the questions we answer in our Caulfield Guineas tips, providing punters with clear, actionable betting guidance.

While each edition of the Guineas has its own storyline, some factors remain consistent: a strong tempo, pressure up front, and a need to be in striking range turning for home. Horses with the ability to settle midfield or better and produce a strong finish are typically favoured at Caulfield.

Our expert form analysis covers:

• Speed maps and how the race is likely to unfold
• Track patterns and how the surface is playing
• Recent trial and race form
• Barrier draws and their impact on race shape
  

This kind of detail helps shape accurate betting tips that move with the market and reflect real-time racing dynamics.

Every year, there’s a horse that fits the profile perfectly—and others that present strong value based on form and conditions. Our best bets reflect that balance between confidence and price.

We’ll highlight:

• The horse we think has the right form and setup to win
• Contenders that are tracking well into the race
• Market observations that suggest stable confidence or punter support

The Caulfield Guineas is a race that rewards sharp thinking and deep analysis. With its tradition of producing future Group 1 stars, it’s no surprise that punters take it seriously—and so do we.

By following our race previews and betting tips, you’ll be backed by expert knowledge, current form trends, and a clear understanding of how this mile contest is likely to play out.

Stay tuned to this page for updated Caulfield Guineas tips as the field takes shape and race day approaches. With sharp form breakdowns, trusted advice, and a focus on value, we’re here to help you make the most of every bet this spring. Once you’ve finished reading our Caulfield Guineas preview, head over to our Caulfield Cup betting tips for a complete breakdown of the big race.