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EXPERT RACING TIPS: CAULFIELD

CAULFIELD PREVIEW | SATURDAY FEBRUARY 24

Rail: 4m| Track: Good 4

The rail goes from the true position out to 4m in an attempt to cover the inside portion of the track, which was clearly inferior ground a fortnight ago. 25km/h wins coming from the chute, on-speed with some cover in the circle races and I will be favouring those on-speed heavily from the chute start.

Best Bets

Jackson Oldham

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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LAY: 1. Gold Trip (WIN) for 5 units (Rated at: $5.2)

The early market must be pricing Gold Trip up around his Turnbull run second-up last preparation to get him $2.3, rather than his first-up run last preparation and his first-up run in this race last Autumn, where he SP’d $6 and split Steinem and Keats when the race was run at Sandown. He will be back last in a race that lacks tempo.

Jackson Oldham

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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BACK: 1. Mr Brightside (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at: $1.40)

Mr Brightside would need to regress sharply to get beaten in this race.

RACE 1 | SELECTIONS

5. Glentaneous
1. Dunkel
4. Mankayan
6. Mahamedeis

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Impossible start to a very tricky card.

Glentaneous culminated his good form at the back end of last year with a dominant victory on New Year’s Day in the Bagot. Yard and the late market will be of interest to determine the amount of intent here.

RACE 2 | SELECTIONS

7. Midtown Boss
8. Bon Hauke
1. Boldinho
10. Brereton

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Midtown Boss was beaten by one who goes to the Oakleigh Plate later in the card. The map is the concerning part for him in this race from the wide draw.

Miss Icelandic made it three on the bounce with a dominant victory last start. Maps well again.

Von Hauke has some ratings that go close here, Boldinho is flying and Brereton’s first-up run was better than it looked.

RACE 3 | SELECTIONS

2. Autumn Angel
6. So Glamorous
5. Sassy Boom
8. Sparkling

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

The mounting yard and the late market on Betfair will be your best guide in this race, with the intent for Autumn Angel first-up, key to deciding the best way to play this event.

RACE 4 | SELECTIONS

1. Brave Mead
9. Raikoke
10. Pivot City
2. Maharba

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Brave Mead is the obvious, he has the great track and distance figure first-up in addition to Shinn sticking. The map however is trickier here than it was first-up and he is hard to catch on occasion. In a tricky race where only Lakota Fire and Scully would surprise, I’m staying out.

RACE 5 | SELECTIONS

2. Immediacy
8. United Kingdom
5. Caracas
7. Willmott

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Way too difficult for me, United Kingdom, Immediacy and Caracas all appear on the way up and hard to profile a ceiling.

RACE 6 | SELECTIONS

7. Campionessa
10. Foxy Cleopatra
8. Zennzella
1. Gold Trip

Betting Strategy

LAY: 1. Gold Trip (WIN) for 5 units (Rated at: $5.2)

The early market must be pricing Gold Trip up around his Turnbull run second-up last preparation to get him $2.3, rather than his first-up run last preparation and his first-up run in this race last Autumn, where he SP’d $6 and split Steinem and Keats when the race was run at Sandown. He will be back last in a race that lacks tempo.

RACE 7 | SELECTIONS

1. Mr Brightside
5. Nugget
7. Attrition
2. Pericles

Betting Strategy

BACK: 1. Mr Brightside (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at: $1.40)

Mr Brightside would need to regress sharply to get beaten in this race.

RACE 8 | SELECTIONS

8. High Octane
13. Lady Of Camelot
12. Eneeza
5. Stay Focused

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Great race, Coleman an obvious winning chance but misses on my top four just due to his price.

Eneeza had stacks more to come from a mounting yard pov when they clashed last start.

High Octane is in the right stable to peak today and has the SP vs Bodyguard/Stay Focused in what I believe is the A1 form and no knocks Lady Of Camelot down from Sydney.

RACE 9 | SELECTIONS

2. Asfoora
4. Sghirripa
15. King’s Gambit
8. Benedetta

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

A below average Oakleigh Plate but an interest contest from a betting perspective. There is no way I could price King’s Gambit favourite from gate one but concede he could be the best horse in the race.

Asfoora was OK first-up, expect she improves as this appears her grand final. Outside of those two, it is a lottery.

RACE 10 | SELECTIONS

10. Eternal Flame
2. Wrote To Arataki
3. Shuffle Dancer
8. Running By

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Eternal Flame was luckless last start, no doubt should’ve gone close and the quick back-up suits. The market hasn’t missed her however, being $4 favourite, especially off of relative SP’s when she has faced the other horses in the market, in races in the past.

SUMMARY

Known locally as ‘The Heath’, Caulfield Racecourse is located approximately nine kilometres from the Melbourne CBD, on the boundary of Caulfield and Caulfield East in the city’s south eastern suburbs. Together with Sandown and Mornington racecourses, Caulfield is operated by the Melbourne Racing Club (MRC). It is widely considered Melbourne’s second most prestigious racecourse behind Flemington, hosting around 25 meetings each season including some of the country’s most famous and historic races, headlined by the Group 1 Caulfield Cup. For the best Caulfield tips, previews and all the form, head to the Betfair Hub.

FAST FACTS

Six internationally-trained horses have won the Caulfield Cup. They are: Taufan’s Melody (1998) for British trainer Lady Herries; All the Good (2008) and Best Solution (2018) for Godolphin’s Dubai trainer Saeed bin Suroor; Dunaden (2012) for French trainer Mikel Delzangles; Admire Rakti (2014) for Japanese trainer Tomoyuki Umeda; and Mer De Glace (2019) for Japanese trainer Hisashi Shimizu.

KEY EVENTS

Together with the Melbourne Cup, Cox Plate and Golden Slipper, the Caulfield Cup makes up the four majors of Australian racing. It is the world’s richest turf handicap over 2400m and dates back to 1879. It was won in 2021 by Incentivise and in 2020 by Verry Elleegant, the two horses which then ran the quinella in the 2021 Melbourne Cup. In autumn Caulfield also hosts Victoria’s premier contest for juveniles, the Blue Diamond Stakes. A total of 12 Group 1 races are staged annually at Caulfield, with the prestigious Caulfield Guineas and the equivalent for fillies (the Thousand Guineas) both held the week before the Caulfield Cup. From three-year-old contests to handicap races for experienced stayers, Betfair’s leading team of tipsters bring you their Caulfield best bets for each and every meeting at The Heath.

TRACK PROFILE

The track is triangular-shaped, with a total circumference measuring of 2,080m and a home straight of 367m. Some horses struggle to handle the tight turns and contours of the track, with interference also common particularly in the Caulfield Cup which features 18 runners.

In 1995/96, the track was widened to 30m around the entire circumference and the straight was lengthened by 43m. The current surface has been cambered from the outside running rail, with the crown of the track at the outside running rail. The banking on the final turn into the home straight is four per cent, while the other turns have an equivalent banking of two per cent. Given the quirks of the track it pays to follow our tipsters when they bring you their Caulfield best bets free of charge on the Betfair Hub.

HISTORY

Originally the Victorian Amateur Turf Club (VATC) raced at Ballarat, but in 1876 the club moved to Caulfield for its Melbourne base having owned the land since 1859. Feature races were soon held at Caulfield, with the Caulfield Cup making its debut in 1879. The inaugural event was won by Newminster, whose name adorns one of the barns at Racing Victoria’s quarantine facilities in Werribee. During World War II, Caulfield was utilised as an army barracks so racing was moved to Flemington for the duration of the conflict.

Henry Dwyer talks Asfoora

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