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EXPERT TIPS: FIFA WORLD CUP QATAR

THE FINAL: ARGENTINA V FRANCE

Argentina faces France in the final of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Lusail Iconic Stadium in Qatar on Monday, with kick-off at 2:00am AEDT. Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday’s Argentina-France World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives

  • Argentina a 34.8% chance of winning = $2.87 fair odds
  • France a 37.0% chance of winning = $2.70 fair odds
  • The Draw (at end of regular time) a 28.2% chance of occurring = $3.55 fair odds
  • Under 2.5 Goals a 59% chance of occurring = $1.69 fair odds

 

LIONEL MESSI SCORING PROBABILITIES

After 10,000 match simulations, our analytics model says Lionel Messi is the most likely player to score the first goal in Argentina v France. Messi has

  • A 13.6% chance of scoring the first goal = $7.35 fair odds, and;
  • a 29.6% chance of netting an anytime goal = $3.38 fair odds.

Betting Strategy

Despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 2.5 Goals is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.56) that are available from Betfair.

THIRD-PLACE PLAYOFF: CROATIA V MOROCCO

Croatia squares off with Morocco in the third-place playoff of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Khalifa International Stadium in Qatar on Sunday, starting at 2:00am AEDT. Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday’s Croatia-Morocco World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives

  • Croatia a 45.4% chance of winning = $2.20 fair odds
  • Morocco a 29.1% chance of winning = $3.44 fair odds
  • The Draw (at end of regular time) a 25.5% chance of occurring = $3.92 fair odds
  • The Over/Under 2.5 Goals an equal 50-50 chance of occurring = $2.00 fair odds

 

MARKO LIVAJA SCORING PROBABILITIES

After 10,000 match simulations, our analytics model says Marko Livaja is the most likely player to score the first goal in Croatia v Morocco. Livaja has

  • A 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal = $9.26 fair odds, and;
  • a 27.3% chance of netting an anytime goal = $3.66 fair odds.

Betting Strategy

Betting on Croatia to win is our recommended option due to the 2.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the best odds currently available.

FIFA WORLD CUP QATAR 2022

The 2022 FIFA World Cup has seen 32 countries play in eight venues in five host cities. The 32 were allocated into eight groups of four. The tournament started with the so-called group stage, which saw each team in a division play each other once. The top-two teams from each division advanced to a 16-team knockout phase, with the pre-determined format pitting each group winner against another group runner-up in thee round of 16. The winners of the two semi-finals, on December 13 and 14, will advance to the FIFA World Cup final on December 18 in Lusail.

Betfair will provide the latest information and data, including FIFA World Cup tips and FIFA World Cup predictions, for each contest of the knockout phase. Punters assessing form, trends, and likely outcomes, especially those seeking specific information and guidance on the best back and lay bets, can confidently follow Betfair’s offerings, including game previews and FIFA World Cup betting tips. Betfair’s World Cup 2022 predictions can help bettors make considered choices when looking at categories including finding the winner (or loser) in head-to-head battles or when looking to back a draw. There’s also plenty of data and soccer World Cup tips to help punters identify whether a game will produce under or over 2.5 goals, with more categories to be added once the tournament draws closer and the 32 countries and their playing squads are confirmed. And, Betfair also has scientifically generated data to help those keen to wager on a host of futures categories, including the World Cup winner and the Golden Boot winner (the player who scores the most goals in the tournament). There’s also a category for punters wanting to tip England to be eliminated at a specific stage.

Become a Betfair account holder to enjoy access to the latest data and information and use Betfair’s soccer World Cup tips to your benefit on Australia’s largest betting exchange. One of the greatest advantages Betfair offers punters is the opportunity to set their own odds for various FIFA World Cup markets.

The 2022 FIFA World Cup will be the first played so late in a calendar year. All previous editions, dating back to the inaugural event in Uruguay in 1930, were played between May and July, when most of the world’s major domestic soccer league seasons had been completed. Organisers of the 2022 event scheduled it late in the year, when major domestic leagues are usually running, to avoid extreme mid-year heat.

Make sure to follow Betfair’s World Cup 2022 predictions for the semifinals and the decider.

FIFA WORLD CUP | RECENT WINNERS

2018 – France 4 def. Croatia 2
2014 – Germany 1 def. Argentina 0
2010 – Spain 1 def. Netherlands 0
2006 – Italy 1 drew with France 1 (Italy won 5-3 on penalties)
2002 – Brazil 2 def. Germany 0

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