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EXPERT AFL TIPS: ROUND 15

Best Bets

Joel Cashman

LAY- Port Adelaide @ $1.89

Brisbane have had a strong run in recent weeks, losing just once in the last six starts.

Lay

lay

Best Bet

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Joel Cashman

BACK- Total Points Under 167.5 pts @ $1.87

During this 11-week span, Essendon matches average 158 total match points.

Back

back

Best Bet

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Carlton vs Geelong

Eight of the last 12 matches involving Geelong have gone over the total.

The last two matches these sides have matches up against each other have resulted in high scoring matches- totaling for 223 points in Round 7- and 172-points last season with both matches going over.

Both sides have plenty of strike power at either end, with Charlie Curnow, Harry McKay, Tom Hawkins and Jeremy Cameron combining for the last five Coleman Medals.

Betting Strategy

BACK Total Points Over 172.5 pts @ $1.87

Eight of the last 12 matches involving Geelong have gone over the total.

Port Adelaide vs Brisbane

Brisbane have been dominant against the Power since their run of top-8 finishes starting in 2019, with the Lions holding a 6-1 record and winning by an average margin of 35 points.

Brisbane defeated the Power in their last match up by 48 points.

Brisbane have had a strong run in recent weeks, losing just once in the last six starts.

Port Adelaide’s home ground advantage hasn’t been as strong as it was to start the year.In their last three matches at Adelaide Oval, they have lost to Carlton (36 points) and Adelaide (30) as well as a last moment, one-point win against Hawthorn.

Betting Strategy

LAY- Port Adelaide @ $1.89

Brisbane have had a strong run in recent weeks, losing just once in the last six starts.

GWS VS SYDNEY

Sydney sits atop the AFL Ladder after 14 rounds, with three more wins and 30 more percentage points than any other side.

The Swans are currently on a 9-game winning streak, having covered the line as the favourite in their last eight.

GWS are a much more formidable side at home, and there have been numerous upsets in Sydney Derby’s across their history. However, the Swans have won four of the last five matches against the Giants- including a 29-point win against their little brother in Round 8 this year.

Betting Strategy

BACK- Sydney @ $1.45

The Swans are currently on a 9-game winning streak, having covered the line as the favourite in their last eight.

Melbourne vs North Melbourne

Melbourne finds themselves outside the top-8 after starting the season 6-2, losing their way in recent weeks with a 92-point loss to a dour Fremantle side and a 38-point loss against Collingwood- losing their best player Christian Petracca to long-term injury in the process.

The Demons have started favourite in their last five matches, but have failed to cover the line in four of these matches.

All of Australia was barracking for North Melbourne to hold on against Collingwood, but fell agonizingly short of their second win of the season after leading by 54 points.

The positive for the Kangaroos is they scored a season high- 117 points, beating their previous best of 82 points in Round 1 (they had 86 points by half time!).

North Melbourne have covered the line in their last two matches as the underdog.

Betting Strategy

BACK- North Melbourne Line (+32.5 pts) @ $1.87

North Melbourne have covered the line in their last two matches as the underdog.

Essendon vs West Coast

Nine of the last 11 matches involving Essendon have gone under the total- the most of any side in the AFL during this time. All four matches Essendon have played at Marvel Stadium have gone under the total this season.

During this 11-week span, Essendon matches average 158 total match points.

Both of West Coast’s matches at Marvel Stadium this season have gone under the total, despite the Eagles losing by margins of 76 and 66 points.

Betting Strategy

BACK- Total Points Under 167.5 pts @ $1.87

During this 11-week span, Essendon matches average 158 total match points.

Fremantle vs Gold Coast

Fremantle’s form this season has been up and down, with their last five matches resulting in loss, win, draw, win and loss.

Fremantle have only won once in their last four home matches.

The Suns have been seen as a side that can only win at home this season, however, they have proven themselves in Perth in the past, having won their last two matches played at Optus Stadium.

If they can break even through the midfield with their weapons in Rowell, Anderson and Miller, they will have every chance to getting close to the Dockers.

Betting Strategy

BACK- Gold Coast Line (+15.5pts) @ $1.87

The Suns have been seen as a side that can only win at home this season, however, they have proven themselves in Perth in the past, having won their last two matches played at Optus Stadium.

AFL TIPS AND BETTING STRATEGIES

Welcome to Betfair’s AFL Tipping page for 2024! You will find AFL previews, betting tips and strategies for the 2024 premiership season from our team of footy experts. With 18 teams in the AFL, 24 rounds this season made up of 207 matches, the team at Betfair is here to help you navigate the season from a betting point of view. We’ll be providing our expert picks for every game and once the regular season is over and we are left with 8 finals teams, the tips don’t stop there as we’ve got you covered for the finals series as well.

Each week, we’ll be putting out betting advice for every game of the round including best bets for the week, value picks, lay tips and player prop selections. These will range from margin picks, first goal scorers, who to bet at the line and of course who the Betfair team think will win each game. When making their weekly AFL tips, our experts will look at recent form, statistics from throughout the season, historical trends and rely on their developed betting knowledge giving you informed selections backed up by data.

The latest AFL tips will be posted on this page each week as teams get released for the round as the in and outs of each team can dramatically impact who wins a game of football. This is why it’s also important to keep an eye out for late changes teams may swing, and adjust your betting strategies accordingly. For example, if a key defender is out, the opposing team’s key forward might be due for a big game.  

A great feature of Betfair is that you’ll be able to put our tips on the Betfair Hub to use on the Betfair Exchange as not only does Betfair provide expert betting content, we are also a betting exchange where punters can bet against each other. You’ve got a wide range of AFL markets on the exchange which our tips cover including futures markets like the premiership market, top 4, top 8, wooden spoon and much more. 

Click here to view all the AFL futures betting markets – plus every game of every round – on the Betfair Exchange.

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Not only have we got weekly footy tipping content, but Betfair also has a wide range of AFL related betting articles that’ll keep you informed throughout the 2024 football calendar which you can find here. So what are you waiting for? Kick your AFL season into gear with premium AFL betting tips thanks to the Betfair Hub. Play your way with Betfair.

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