TAS Racing Expert Preview

Matt Reid is a horse racing expert who delivers an insight into all Tas Racing meets where he previews the entire card each week and gives you his betting strategy for every race.

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27th September

After a sustained stretch of racing on the Devonport synthetic, the Devonport Racing Club will host their last meeting until December on Sunday.

Punters have enjoyed a good run on the synthetic with the form consistently holding up so no doubt many will be hoping to cash in before the variable of grass racing is added into the mix.

Seven races and just 67 acceptors is likely the smallest program in the last few months so the return to Hobart and Launceston seems to have come at the right time.

The day kicks off at 12:35 for what looks a competitive days racing, in particular the benchmark 74 (1650m) has brought together an even field which sees Sh’Bourne Rebel and Galway Girl try and continue their winning streaks as they work through the grades.

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R2 Carlton Draught Maiden, 1150m

Gold Current (1) fought out the finish with Aragon Star last time who is in a harder race later in the day. Likely to save ground from an inside draw and be hard to beat. Sweetsop (9) hit the line well from a mile back last time and finished just behind Gold Current the start prior. Bellatavi (3) was three-wide last start so it’s perhaps better to take a line from her debut run. Blinkers on and draws the pole this time around.

Tough Cookie (6) ran an improved race three weeks ago and has Pires on. This is a race with a long tail.

Betting Strategy

Comparing Gold Current and Fitzwilliam who are essentially the same price at the time of writing, I see Gold Current as a far more pronounced favourite and I’d be happy to get involved with him at anything starting with a 2 or better

BACK (WIN) – 6 units to win on Gold Current (1)

R3 Kevin Sharkie Maiden, 1350m

Black Magic Woman (10) landed in an awkward spot second-up and eventually hit the line under little riding. Form from her debut run has held up well and she’s drawn better after jumping from eight at each of her first two starts. Wild Destiny (3) was fair last time in a maiden that a few of these come through.

Winkers replace blinkers and K.Maskiell jumping on has to be seen as a positive given his current form. Elite Diva (6) and It’s La Premiere (2) were also in that race. Neither are stars but won’t need to be in this field. Looking for any market lead on Signal Hill (9) who brings only moderate NSW form.

Betting Strategy

I thought there were excuses for the unplaced run of Black Magic Woman last start and the money came for her that day. She has far less convictions than most in this field and should receive every chance from an ideal draw.

BACK (WIN) – 3 units to win on Black Magic Woman (10)

R7 Tasmanian Horse Transport Mdn/cl1, 1880m

Banca Syd (1) is back in class from a BM60 where he raced on-speed and the race was dominated by swoopers. Won his maiden with ease the start prior. Stanfield Carus (3) is on the quick back-up where he hit the line very well over 1650m. Better draw here and I think the 1880m suits now. Gaius Julius (2) broke through for a maiden win last time after receiving a gun ride. This is harder but I doubt the extra distance is a negative. Georgina Louise (6) has her first start for Cameron Thompson.

Should run the trip off her form for the Glenn Thornton stable. The plan was to go forward on Rubyranger (8) last week so the fact she settled last suggests you can probably forgive that run and she has a senior rider go on.

Betting Strategy

I flagged Stanfield Carus as one to follow in this week’s review suggesting he would be looking for further. He now finds that and with a draw to do little work in the run, I’m keen to be involved. He’s been $7 into $5 early and I think (hope) the money will continue to arrive for him.

BACK (WIN) – 4 units to win on Stanfield Carus (3)

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