fbpx
Skip to content

EXPERT RUGBY TIPS: STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 2

STATE OF ORIGIN II PREVIEW AND TIPS | RUGBY / NRL | WEDNESDAY JUNE 18TH 2025

New South Wales v Queensland

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Handicap) New South Wales -8.5 for 3.5 units (Rated at $1.65)

Never has a vibe felt worse for Queensland heading into a must-win game. The Maroons have been huge underdogs before but rarely has a coach appeared so confused with team selections, both blowing up the team yet failing to address fundamental needs. Sacking captain Daly Cherry-Evans is a huge detonation but it seems a panic move given peak Thurston or Langer couldn’t have done much better behind a pack so badly beaten. Strengthening the pack seemed a no-brainer yet somehow Slater has weakened it, dropping the Maroons’ two best players from the opener in Nanai and Carrigan to the bench in order to start Trent Loiero and miss tackle machine Kurt Capewell. Corey Horsburgh was astonishingly overlooked. And then there is Valentine Holmes being promoted to centre after an all-time horrific showing on the wing in Game One. New South Wales have won three straight and all by double digits. Their tails are rightly up. And Perth is a huge advantage for them with two wins of 32 points in their two matches at Optus. The in-game stats for the opener showed how dominant the Blues were – far more than the scoreboard. This is going to get ugly.

BACK: (Total Points) Over 41.5 for 2.5 units (Rated at $1.65)

Optus Stadium is an incredibly fast track and given New South Wales so severely undershooting their expected scoring in Game One then this game looks a great bet to take the over. The two Origins played at the venue have topped 44 and 56. No NRL match played at the ground has finished less than 40. With four of the last five at neutral venues topping 44, the over can be bet.

BACK: (To Score A Try) Zac Lomax for 4 units (Rated at $1.50)

There is no spoil about Zac Lomax to score but every indicator suggests he is close to a good-thing to score. The Blues are big favourites. He has five tries in four Origins. The Blues skew right. He is on Valentine Holmes and Reuben Cotter’s side of the field. Chips in job.

BACK: (Man of the Match) Angus Crichton for 2 units (Rated at $11.00)

Angus Crichton is huge odds. He was unlucky not to win it in the opener. Forwards have historically followed forwards. His numbers always stack up in either a defensive battle or an onslaught. He is an excellent man of the match play.

Want to learn how to lay bet?

Expand

When you place a lay bet, you are betting on something not to happen. Let’s think about the Melbourne Cup again. Remember: there can only be one winner. But what about the others trailing behind them? If you place a lay bet in a “Win” market, you can celebrate if the runner tails off at the back of the field.

STATE OF ORIGIN TIPS AND PREDICTIONS

Betfair’s State of Origin Tips

Are you ready to take your State of Origin betting to the next level? The State of Origin series is back in 2025, promising electrifying rugby league action as the Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues renew their fierce rivalry. As a Betfair enthusiast, you’re in the perfect position to make the most of this thrilling sporting event. Here, we’ll provide you with expert tips and strategies to enhance your State of Origin betting experience and increase your chances of success.

Before diving into the tips, let’s quickly recap the significance of the State of Origin series. Originating in 1980, this rugby league spectacle features three matches between Queensland and New South Wales. The series is known for its intense rivalry and passionate atmosphere, with players representing their state with immense pride.

To make informed betting decisions, it’s crucial to conduct thorough research and analysis. What better place to start that right here on the Betfair Hub! Our experts will focus on games 1, 2, and 3 of the 2024 series, analyzing the previous head-to-head records between Queensland and New South Wales to identify any trends or historical advantages. We also offer betting tips across all NRL matches.

They’ll also include key player statistics in their past performances in the State of Origin series, look for standout performers, and assess their potential impact on the upcoming games. Additionally, they’ll pay attention to external factors such as weather conditions, as they can significantly influence gameplay and outcomes, the importance of home-ground advantage, and the impact of injuries or suspensions on team dynamics.

Now that you have a solid foundation of knowledge, let’s explore some effective State Of Origin betting strategies on the Betfair Exchange.

Types of Bets

  • Moneyline bets: This straightforward bet involves wagering on the overall match winner.
  • Point spread bets: Consider handicapping and bet on whether a team will win by a certain margin.
  • Over/under bets: Wager on whether the total number of points scored in a match will be over or under a specified amount.
    Tips for Successful Betting
  • Stay informed: Continuously research and stay updated on team news, recent form, and player performances.
  • Historical trends: Examine past State of Origin outcomes to identify any recurring patterns.
  • Assess team morale: Consider team dynamics, motivation levels, and the impact of key players on team performance.

 

Money Management

  • Set a budget: Allocate a specific amount for your State of Origin bets to avoid overspending.
  • Avoid chasing losses: Don’t let emotions dictate your betting decisions. Stick to your strategy and avoid reckless betting to recover losses.
  • Practice responsible gambling: Enjoy the State of Origin matches responsibly and bet within your limits.

While predictions can never be entirely certain, they can provide valuable insights into potential outcomes and betting opportunities.

Throughout the series, keep an eye on this page for information regarding key players who have historically performed well in State of Origin matches. Also keep an eye out for updates to strategies and game-changers that could shape the games. Remember, it’s essential to consider multiple viewpoints and sources to make well-informed decisions.

For this State Of Origin, there is only one location to keep you equipped with the top expert tips and strategies to elevate your wagering IQ. As you gear up for the highly anticipated State of Origin series, remember to head to the Betfair Hub and this page for the latest research, analysis, and betting strategies, and if you’d like to place a bet, head to the Betfair Exchange now!

Watchlist
Go To Betfair App