EXPERT RACING TIPS: WARWICK FARM
WARWICK FARM PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | WEDNESDAY JULY 30TH 2025
RAIL: True TRACK: Heavy 8
This Warwick Farm track was rated at a Soft 6 at time of writing, but there are showers forecast through the lead up to this meeting, if the expected rain does hit the track, the suggestion is that we will be racing on a Heavy rated track. Expect runners will look to come away from the rail in the straight and the better lanes likely will be in the middle of the track.
Best Bets
Mitch Lewis
LAY: 2. Rise To It (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $15.00)
Thought this was another very competitive race, but the set up that RISE TO IT has doesn’t feel as if it will be ideal in the expected conditions here for the day. Stepping up to the 2200m for the first time here, he will likely need to get a soft run out in front to be his key as others in this race have been stronger through the line recently at staying trips. He has won on a soft previously but also looks better suited on a dryer track, so the wet plays against him also.
lay
Mitch Lewis
BACK: 1. Cassiel (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.50)
CASSIEL is in career best form and looks well suited dropping down slightly in grade for this race today. He kicked off this prep with 2 wins before a 2nd when up in class last time. He is suited over 1000m trip and maps to go along quickly here. If he handles the wet track he should be in the most prominent position in the run.
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2. Indigo Star
6. Rasp
3. Rach
8. Dollars
Betting Strategy
INDIGO STAR looks to get a good chance for a breakthrough win here today after he has put the writing on the walls with 3 placings in 3 runs so far this prep. He has handled heavy track previously and maps for a prominent run. RASP has placed in his last 2 runs and looks suited on a heavy track and rising in trip. RACH has been consistent in races similar to this of late, in particularly 2 starts back when running 2nd in a similar race to this. DOLLARS looks on at value that wouldn’t surprise, he has placed in 2 of his last 3 and was well supported last time, needs to take a step up here but wouldn’t surprise.
10. Kokatahi
3. Louisburgh
4. Rattle’n’roll
6. The Stars
Betting Strategy
On of the more open races of the day here with a handful of runners all looking as if they will get a strong chance. KOKATAHI has placed in 2 runs this prep and drops in grade from a stronger race than last time, 3rd up and fitter suits here. LOUISBURGH wouldn’t surprise at odds here, he is drawn to get a good run and has been consistent this prep placing in all 5 runs. RATTLE’N’ROLL is lightly raced and drawn to get a good run as well so suggest he can go close here with the race run at the right tempo. THE STARS was well supported 1st up and should be an improver off that run, but has some work to do from the wide barrier.
3. Audrey’s Lane
6. Autumn Dream
9. Bella Corazon
4. Fairway Star
Betting Strategy
BACK: 3. Audrey’s Lane (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $5.00)
AUDREY’S LANE looks as if she gets the most ideal set up of all of these in this race today. Coming off a last start win, she looks ready to peak now 3rd up into the prep. She hit the line over the 1400m in a quicker than class average L600m, so suggest rising in trip here today will suit and in particularly if she gets a soft run from the inside barrier. Her one run on a heavy she appeared to handle the conditions so should get every chance.
6. The Years
5. Tazima
2. Kapakiri
4. Pink Shalala
Betting Strategy
The early tempo here looks key in this race. PINK SHALALA & FIORSUM FRED look the key speed influences in the race which may give THE YEARS the run of the race just off that speed and he does look ready to peak 3rd up into the prep. TAZIMA resumed in solid fashion, is lightly raced and looks to have upside. He gets a chance to improve here given he did win 2nd up last time in work. KAPAKIRI wouldn’t surprise here at odds, he can improve 2nd up and should appreciate rising in trip. If PINK SHALALA gets a soft run out in front he may be hard to catch.
1. Naval Commission
8. Hovland
10. Magicon
2. Rise To It
Betting Strategy
LAY: 2. Rise To It (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $15.00)
Thought this was another very competitive race, but the set up that RISE TO IT has doesn’t feel as if it will be ideal in the expected conditions here for the day. Stepping up to the 2200m for the first time here, he will likely need to get a soft run out in front to be his key as others in this race have been stronger through the line recently at staying trips. He has won on a soft previously but also looks better suited on a dryer track, so the wet plays against him also.
1. Cassiel
2. Straand Beauty
4. Braveheart
5. Jambalaya
Betting Strategy
BACK: 1. Cassiel (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.50)
CASSIEL is in career best form and looks well suited dropping down slightly in grade for this race today. He kicked off this prep with 2 wins before a 2nd when up in class last time. He is suited over 1000m trip and maps to go along quickly here. If he handles the wet track he should be in the most prominent position in the run.
13. The Replicant
10. Golden Straand
3. Code In Time
12. Laurel Hill
Betting Strategy
BACK: 13. The Replicant (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.00)
THE REPLICANT has produced his best rated run in the last 12 months on a heavy track and overall has a strong record on heavy tracks (10:1-6-1) Conditions will suit here for him and he is in light at the weights, so if the track is deteriorating, he should have no issues here. Can be hard to catch for punters but has the right set up to show his best.
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Warwick Farm Betting Tips
Warwick Farm is a key venue on the Sydney racing calendar, offering high-quality midweek meetings and a steady flow of talented horses from leading metropolitan stables. With its tight turns, long straight, and often testing track conditions, Warwick Farm racing provides a unique challenge for punters — and that’s where expert Warwick Farm tips come in.
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