Best Bets

Mitch Lewis
BACK: 2. Froebel Star (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $2.50)
At time of writing ART VOLANT still holds a place in the field but is unlikely to run you would think having won Thursday. FROEBEL STAR resumes here and looks a play fresh. Her first prep was successful when she managed a win before tackling a stronger race through the Queensland carnival. She maps well and has been trialing well, the feeling now is that she is progressive enough to be able to win a race of this level fresh and go on from there.
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HAWKESBURY PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | THURSDAY NOVEMBER 28TH 2024
RAIL: +3m 1100m-450m; True Remainder TRACK: Good 4
Fair conditions are forecast and expected so the track should play quite fairly with all runners getting their opportunity to win if good enough.
1. Hiawatha
2. Impunity
8. Thats’s Outstanding
7. Diamond Show
Betting Strategy
HIAWATHA looks as if he finds the right race at the right time now in his prep 3rd up and dropping down in grade for this now. Comes up quite short in the market though and not hugely appealing from a bet perspective but looks hard to beat.
7. The Grey
6. Kingsland
4. Donwon
11. Heraion
Betting Strategy
THE GREY also looks a runner who finds the right race here and is due a breakthrough after 3x placings so far into his career. He maps for a super run and looks hard to beat. But scratchings have taken a big effect on the market and he gets in very short for this race so doesnt appeal for a bet.
4. Reasonable
2. Shambretta
9. Al Flores
1. Blend Of Three
Betting Strategy
Competitive maiden race to be betting into here. Feeling race experience of REASONABLE may be the edge he needs for a breakthrough here and is drawn for a nice run near the speed, but there has been some really good trial work from SHAMBRETTA who wouldn’t surprise on debut here. Happy to have no bet here.
3. First Mission
1. Carnegie Hill
7. Lone Artist
9. Swift Gun
Betting Strategy
BACK: 3. First Mission (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $5.00)
Can entertain a small EW bet here on FIRST MISSION who showed good improvement last time out at Wyong when running into 2nd. The key for him here today is his race map, he has drawn well and has good enough early speed to be prominent in the run and he does have race fitness vs others in the field so up to the 1300m 3rd up may suit.
BACK: 3. First Mission (PLACE) for 1 unit
Can entertain a small EW bet here on FIRST MISSION who showed good improvement last time out at Wyong when running into 2nd. The key for him here today is his race map, he has drawn well and has good enough early speed to be prominent in the run and he does have race fitness vs others in the field so up to the 1300m 3rd up may suit.
2. How Much Better
6. Nantucket Island
3. Lucky Bay
5. Mahogany Girl
Betting Strategy
This is a very open betting race where I am making a strong case for at least 5 of the different runners in the field. I liked the last start effort of HOW MUCH BETTER, thinking that if he can hold that form, he should go very close in a race like this, but does meet touch challenges from a runner such as NANTUCKET ISLAND dropping in grade now. Tough race to have a confident opinion.
2. Froebel Star
4. Glorioso
3. Impulsivity
5. Inquisitive Legend
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2. Froebel Star (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $2.50)
At time of writing ART VOLANT still holds a place in the field but is unlikely to run you would think having won Thursday. FROEBEL STAR resumes here and looks a play fresh. Her first prep was successful when she managed a win before tackling a stronger race through the Queensland carnival. She maps well and has been trialing well, the feeling now is that she is progressive enough to be able to win a race of this level fresh and go on from there.
2. Cassiel
4. Cryptonic
7. Sumo Star
5. Missile Seeker
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2. Cassiel (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $3.00)
CASSIEL has threatened in his last 2 starts this prep having run 2x placings so 3rd up now and fitter it would appear that he has found a right level of race to now get that breakthrough. He has drawn an inside barrier, so should be able to settle close enough to the leaders and get a good run, given there looks plenty of speed from the outside barriers, he should get every chance to run over the top late.
4. Tuned
6. Sarrismo
7. Shelstein
10. Pocketing
Betting Strategy
Tough race to finish. It is another race that you can make solid cases for the winning chances for almost half of this field. The 2 stand outs though do look TUNED & SARRISMO who both map to push forwards and are recent winners. But then even SHELSTEIN has the highest last start rating. Its a very good race but tricky to be confident betting into.