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EXPERT RACING TIPS: ROYAL ASCOT

ROYAL ASCOT PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SATURDAY JUNE 21ST 2024

  TRACK: Good to firm

They’ve managed to obliterate the track with the overwatering so straight races are now a lottery entirely. Round course races might have to be the confident plays instead.

Best Bets

Rory Flanagan

BACK: 9. Rebel’s Romance (WIN) for 5 units (Rated at $2.00)

Initially didn’t think Rebels romance would line up here but he does and he is the one to beat by a long way. Smashed them in the Breeders’ Cup and hit the front in the Sheema Classic way too early and got swallowed up after trading odds-on. Incredibly he’s won 17 races in his 25 start career and there’s no Coolmore team tactics aimed at wearing him down.

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2. Humidity
4. Thesecretadversary
8. Moments Of Joy
5. Treanmor

Betting Strategy

Not playing

9. Rebel’s Romance
1. Al Aasy
7. Ghostwriter
6. Epic Poet

Betting Strategy

BACK: 9. Rebel’s Romance (WIN) for 5 units (Rated at $2.00)

Initially didn’t think Rebels romance would line up here but he does and he is the one to beat by a long way. Smashed them in the Breeders’ Cup and hit the front in the Sheema Classic way too early and got swallowed up after trading odds-on. Incredibly he’s won 17 races in his 25 start career and there’s no Coolmore team tactics aimed at wearing him down.

8. Lazzat
11. Satono Reve
6. James’s Delight
10. Sajir

Betting Strategy

BACK: 8. Lazzat (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.50)

Lazzat showed unbelievable pace last time out and torched his rivals to the tune of 6L. That was enough to have connections plot for this and he then fetched a huge sum when sold to Wathnan. He is completely bombproof but the one negative is the barrier after the watering fiasco.

BACK: 11. Satono Reve (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $4.00)

Satono Reve brings elite Ka Ying Rising form to this and aims to be Japan’s first Royal Ascot winner. The firmer the footing the better for him and it might just be a case of Moreira needing to position him with how the track played yesterday. The worst thing he can do is get caught in no man’s land and he’d be better off gunning straight to the rail and running his own race.

BACK: 6. James’s Delight/10. Sajir (WIN) for 1 unit

0.5u stakes on the key runners drawn low.
Some rank outsiders were able to succeed in the straight races yesterday despite not being fancied at all and they all came from very low barriers so I’m on this pair on that basis. The stand’s side is still the better ground but for whatever reason the jockeys shunned it yesterday and didn’t fully commit to going over.

BACK: 6. James’s Delight/10. Sajir (WIN) for 1 unit

0.5u stakes on the key runners drawn low.
Some rank outsiders were able to succeed in the straight races yesterday despite not being fancied at all and they all came from very low barriers so I’m on this pair on that basis. The stand’s side is still the better ground but for whatever reason the jockeys shunned it yesterday and didn’t fully commit to going over.

10. Remmooz
15. California Dreamer
13. Spy Chief
5. Dhitjari

Betting Strategy

BACK: 13. Spy Chief (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $8.00)

Spy Chief took a massive step forward on turf last time and that might be the key having had two pass-mark runs on the Kempton synth. He bounced out at Yarmouth and just kept rolling all the way to the line giving nothing else a chance and I imagine that’ll be the case here. Whether or not he sticks on uphill with the extra furlong is the question but $17 to find out is enough for me.

BACK: 10. Remmooz (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $3.00)

Remmooz looked top class when building on his debut success by bolting up last time. Seems genuine with gears and in a disappointing renewal of the Jersey he can be the shining light and improve past G3 level.

BACK: 15. California Dreamer (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $5.00)

California Dreamer might be the punted horse after her closely-matched rival Cercene yesterday won the Coronation. She finished 0.75L behind her in a Guineas trial before finishing in front of her in the Irish 1000 Guineas and if that form can win a G1, I don’t see why she can’t win a G3.

21. More Thunder
10. Ten Pounds
18. Aramram
24. Woodhay Wonder

Betting Strategy

BACK: 21. More Thunder (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.00)

I keep opposing More Thunder and it keeps finding a way to win even when racing against the pattern. Stable won this last year and look set to go close once more with an unexposed sprinter that I fancy will end up in G1 company eventually. Continues to rattle home at every start.

12. Roosevelt
6. El Burhan
4. Best Secret
2. Sallaal

Betting Strategy

BACK: 12. Roosevelt (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)

Roosevelt has been completely hit or miss in his three starts, running last, first, and last. Most recent run can be ignored as he choked down and now connections add a tongue tie. Also steps up from 1400m to 2000m and as a winner over 2400m when bowling along in front I can envisage Ryan Moore taking up the running and trying to repeat the dose with Rock Of Cashel sitting alongside as a blocker.

BACK: 6. El Burhan (WIN & PLACE) for 1 unit (Rated at $5.00) Very likeable, genuine horse who keeps doing his best work late. Pulled out a bit extra to win at Chester in a bunched finish and he’ll find the line strongly again. $13 looks a very appealing price.

BACK: 6. El Burhan (PLACE)

Very likeable, genuine horse who keeps doing his best work late. Pulled out a bit extra to win at Chester in a bunched finish and he’ll find the line strongly again. $13 looks a very appealing price.

BACK: 4. Best Secret (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $6.00)

Set keep in play $10 odds
He’ll have to be pretty smart to get up here in the manner he did in France but he looks to have the motor to do so. Has form behind some smart Group horses and the way he quickened past all bar 1 of his 15 rivals and still pulled 3L clear. He’s one to back in-running for the better price.

3. Samui
1. Sober
11. Wild Waves
8. Dallas Star

Betting Strategy

BACK: 3. Samui (WIN & PLACE) for 1 unit (Rated at $4.00)

Samui ran a stormer over shorter here on Tuesday. Plenty of horses can handle the backup and he’s a likely contender to serve it up to the favourite especially with preferred ground.

BACK: 3. Samui (PLACE) for 1 unit

Samui ran a stormer over shorter here on Tuesday. Plenty of horses can handle the backup and he’s a likely contender to serve it up to the favourite especially with preferred ground.

ROYAL ASCOT RACING TIPS

Royal Ascot is one of the world’s most revered race meetings, held across five days at Ascot Racecourse in the middle of June. With the Queen in attendance, the famous meeting kicks off with three Group 1 races on Tuesday – the Queen Anne Stakes, King’s Stand Stakes and St. James’ Palace Stakes – and concludes on Saturday, when the Platinum Jubilee Stakes brings the Group 1 action to a close. Australian horses have enjoyed great success at the carnival down the years, headlined by Black Caviar’s heartstopping victory in the 2012 Golden Jubilee Stakes. Be sure to head to the Betfair Hub for your Royal Ascot tips.                 

FEATURE RACES

The King’s Stand Stakes, run over five furlongs (1000m) on the opening day of the carnival, has been a very happy hunting ground for Australian sprinters. Choisir blazed a trail, becoming the first Australian-trained horse to win the race in 2003. Four days later, trainer Paul Perry backed up his stable star in the Golden Jubilee Stakes (1200m) and Choisir promptly won again, which led to him being named Europe’s Champion Sprinter for 2003. Choisir’s performance persuaded an increasing number of Australian trainers to send their sprinters to the royal meeting, with Takeover Target (2006), Miss Andretti (2007) and Scenic Blast (2009) subsequently adding their names to the roll call of champions for the King’s Stand Stakes. However, undoubtedly the most famous Australian victory at Royal Ascot came in 2012, when Black Caviar (aka ‘Nelly’) put her unbeaten record on the line in the Golden Jubilee Stakes. Despite an interrupted build-up, Black Caviar seemed to have the race at her mercy at the 200 metre-mark, only for jockey Luke Nolen to drop his hands in the closing which allowed Moonlight Cloud to rapidly close in on her. After an agonising wait for the photo finish judge to deliver his verdict, Black Caviar was declared the winner and, by the narrowest of margins, kept her flawless race record intact. For Royal Ascot racing tips and in-depth analysis, the Betfair Hub is well worth a visit.           

TRACK PROFILE

With a circumference of 2,800m and a long home straight measuring 500m, Ascot Racecourse is renowned as one of the UK’s finest and fairest tracks. There is a deceptively steep incline up the home straight, testing the stamina of horses at the end of races. All races run over 1400m or less are held on the straight course. With every horse generally getting their chance, punters can bet with confidence at Ascot. Our Royal Ascot betting tips are posted on the Betfair Hub every day of the carnival.       

HISTORY

Over its 300-year history, Ascot has become a national institution with the royal meeting forming the centrepiece of Britain’s summer social calendar each June. The racecourse was founded in 1711 by Queen Anne, with the inaugural race meeting staged in August of that year. In 1768, Ascot staged its first four-day meeting although the Royal Ascot as we know it today only began to take shape with the first running of the Ascot Gold Cup in 1807. For tips on the Gold Cup and Royal Ascot best bets, visit the betfair Hub during the royal meeting. 

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