FEATURE PREVIEWS: ROSEHILL GUINEAS

Group 1 | Set Weights, Three-Years-Old, Apprentices cannot claim | $750,000 | Rail: +2m | Track Conditions: Good 4

The Group 1 Rosehill Guineas for the 3YO’s over 2000m won last year by Riff Rocket. Three horses have done the Randwick Guineas, Caulfield Guineas double with The Autumn Sun the latest in 2019.

• 3rd up (6/52), 4th up (4/50), 5th up+ (1/35)
• 14-day break (10/75), 21-day break (2/33), Other (0/37)
• Settled 3rd-6th (7), 9th-11th (4)
• Average Prizemoney Index $200K+ (3/4)
• Average prizemoney index rank 1-5 (11/60), 6+ (1/85)
• Barrier 1-8 (11/93), Barrier 9+ (1/52)
• Career Wins 0-2 (1/80), 3+ (11/65)
• SP1-3 (10/12)
• Last start distance 1600m (10/87), 2400m (2/19), Other (0/39)
• Colt (9/87), Gelding (3/55), Filly (0/3)
• Total Prizemoney Earnings $300k+ (10/66), $200k and under (2/79)
• Rosehill Win % 60%+ (4/6)
• Last Start Race Class G1 (12/102), Other (0/43)
• Career Win 60% (5/13)
• Last Start Track Randwick (8/63), Ellerslie (2/19), Warwick Farm (1/7), Flemington (1/19), Other (0/37)
The Hobartville then the Randwick Guineas, coming into this race 3rd up, is the key leadup profile required to win this race historically.

Riff Rocket dominated as favourite in 2024, with a $2.51 BSP that was on parity with the corporate average.

Lindermann’s 2023 victory at $7.81 was 8.6% better across the board.

Anamoe blitzed them in 2022 at the $1.59.

There doesn’t look an abundance of speed on paper with the most likely leader #9 MAJORCA SUNSET after he settled on speed at his first go out to the 1600 last time out. #2 GOLDRUSH GURU has early speed and suggest Jamie Melham will want him close to the leaders as he was in his VRC Derby win. Suggest J Mac slides forward and tries to find a position on #1 BROADSIDING. #11 AELIANA settles closer from the inside gate. Speed looks average at best on paper.

Many expected #1 BROADSIDING to simply turn up and win last start in the Randwick Guineas, but he couldn’t run down Linebacker after appearing to have every chance. He was very good winning the Hobartville 1^st up and gets back to a Rosehill track he has a great record on. His only 2000m run was his 3^rd place effort in the Cox Plate which is clearly supreme form for this event. With the moderate tempo expected, he should be able to settle close enough to be within striking distance turning. He is the favourite here at $2.30 but there are certainly enough doubts/dangers to think that looks on the short side.

#3 SWIFTFALCON has chased Broadsiding home in both of his runs this prep and he looks to be going superbly. He’s been giving them a start over the 1400/1600 but up to 2000 looks perfect for him and he must be a massive chance to turn the tables on the favourite. He disappointed out to 2000m last prep in the Spring Champion, but he was given a mountain of work to do on that occasion and we think he has come back a better horse.

#11 AELIANA comes through the same lead ups and gets the 2kg weight allowance as a filly contesting this. Both of her runs this time in have been great and thought she looked to just be warming into it late on their heels in the Randwick Guineas. She draws 1 and will no doubt settle right behind the speed out to the 2000. The way she went last time told us that she is ready for the 2000 and being by Castelvecchio, we may see her go to a new level at her first go at this distance.

#2 GOLDRUSH GURU, the VRC Derby winner, comes through the Victorian lead up races. He looked gone in the C S Hayes but picked up again and was strong through the line before a very good run in the Australian Guineas. He was again left flat-footed when they sprinted, but his last 100m was excellent and he seems to be going particularly well this time in. Out to the 2000 4^th up with what looks a prefect map and Jamie Melham to ride are all in his favour. First time Sydney way is the unknown.

#2 GOLDRUSH GURU
#1 AELIANA
#4 SWIFTFALCON
#1 BROADSIDING

Have #2 GOLDRUSH GURU on top. Follow The Trial Files in the Betfair App to receive any late mail betting notifications.

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The Rosehill Guineas is a premier Group 1 race held annually at Rosehill Gardens in Sydney. Run over 2000 metres for three-year-olds, this weight-for-age event is a key lead-up to the Australian Derby and attracts some of the best young stayers in the country.

For punters seeking an edge, Rosehill Guineas tips are invaluable. Expert analysis provides insights into various factors, including recent form, barrier draws, track conditions, and historical trends, to offer comprehensive predictions. While the field often features a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, certain patterns have emerged over the years that can inform betting decisions.

Predictions for the Rosehill Guineas often highlight the importance of consistent form leading up to the race. Horses that have demonstrated strong performances in lead-up races, particularly over the 2000m distance, tend to be well-suited to the demands of the Rosehill Guineas. Additionally, the barrier draw plays a crucial role; inside barriers can offer a tactical advantage, allowing jockeys to position their mounts effectively in the early stages of the race.

When making informed decisions, expert racing tips are essential. These tips consider a range of factors, including jockey experience, trainer statistics, and the horse’s racing history. By combining these elements, punters can form a clearer picture of each runner’s prospects and identify potential value bets.

Betting on the Rosehill Guineas requires a strategic approach. While it’s tempting to back the favourite, value can often be found further down the market. Horses that are underrated but have the right conditions can offer attractive returns. It’s also wise to consider exotic bets, such as quinellas and trifectas, which can yield higher payouts.

For those seeking the best bets, staying updated with the latest information is crucial. Changes in track conditions, late scratching, or shifts in betting markets can all influence the outcome. Regularly checking expert analyses and race previews can provide the most current insights and help refine betting strategies.

The Rosehill Guineas continues to build on its reputation as a must-watch event for racing fans and a challenging, yet rewarding contest for punters. Each year, it showcases emerging talent and creates opportunities for thoughtful, well-researched betting approaches. Rosehill Guineas tips remain a trusted part of preparation, helping fans and punters navigate the complexity of this high-stakes race.