RANVET STAKES
Track: Rosehill | Distance: 2000m | Condition: Slow 6 | Rail Position: 2m | Prizemoney: $1 mil
Won in recent years by the likes of Montefilia, Verry Elleegant, Addeybb, Avilius, Our Ivanhowe, Contributer, Silent Achiever, Foreteller and Manighar.
HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 12 YEARS)
1st up (3/10), 2nd up (1/14), 3rd up (4/54), 4th up (3/21), 5th up+ (1/7)
7-day break (1/11), 14-day break (5/50), 21-day break (2/27), 28-day break (1/3), 90-200 day break (3/9)
4yo (1/31), 5yo (5/30), 6yo (4/25), 7yo (2/13), 8yo+ (0/6)
Last start distance over 2000m (1/4), 2000m (7/41), under 2000m (4/61)
Gelding (6/48), Entire (3/29), Mare (3/29)
Wins at today’s distance 0 (0/23), 1+ (12/83)
Win % rank 1-2 (8/24)
Last start race class G1 (11/69), G2 or worse (1/37)
Last start location VIC (6/36), Overseas (3/14), NSW (3/56)
SPEED MAP
Slow speed here in what will be a tactical affair. Very difficult map to assess given most runners are backmarkers and there are two overseas imports running. Military Mission and Think It Over are the two most likely leaders, but Bois Dargent or one of the imports could also push forward.
RANVET STAKES | FINAL FIELD
1.Think It Over – Multiple G1 winner who was strong beating Fangirl last start. Despite a Heavy Track G1 win when Nash got him in the best part of the track, has historically been better on dry ground than wet ground.
2. Military Mission – Underrated stayer who won the Newcastle Cup, Herbert Power and Zipping Classic last prep. Ran well first up with a big weight. Handles the wet. Can give this a shake.
3. Buckaroo – Talented entire who has been set for this race. Ran well first up 3.4L behind Fangirl. Handles the wet. Never won past a mile.
4. Zeyrek – Forget first up run when had no luck. Races well early in prep and handles the wet. Can surprise here.
6. Via Sistina – Has excellent G1 form in Europe and was purchased for a big sum. Can win.
7. Place Du Carrousel – Another imported mare with a G1 win in France and handles the wet.
RANVET STAKES: TOP 5 SELECTIONS
1. 6 – Via Sistina
2. 7 – Place Du Carrousel
3. 2 – Military Mission
4. 3 – Buckaroo
5. 4 – Zeyrek
SUMMARY
Too difficult to confidently and accurately assess with the 2 imports in the race. Wouldn’t be surprised if any of the 6 runners named above, win this.
RANVET STAKES | BETTING STRATEGY
No bet.
RESULTS
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00
2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24