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FEATURE PREVIEWS: MOIR STAKES

MOIR STAKES

Track: The Valley | Distance: 1000m | Type: Group 1 WFA | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000

G1 WFA sprint won in recent times by Nature Strip, Extreme Choice, She Will Reign, Coolangatta, Viddora, Pippie, Wild Ruler, Buffering & Imperatriz.

Historical Profiling: Trend from Last 9 Years (Race Run at 1000m)

  • 1st up – 5 winners (132-292 day break), 2nd up – 4 winners (20 day break)
  • 5kg (3), 56.5 kg (3), 52kg (1), 50kg (2)
  • 5 colts have contested for 1 win and 5 fillies have contested for 2 wins
  • Wide range of ages (3 to 8), genders, and barriers
  • 3 leaders have won drawing 1-6. 4 swoopers have won drawing 5-9.
  • Career Starts Under 18 (6), 26+ (3)
  • Betfair Exchange Rank 1-3 (7), 4-5 (2)
  • Race Distance Change -200 (5), 0 (4)
  • Total Prizemoney Earnings $1m+ (8), $500k (1)
  • Average Prizemoney Index Rank 1 (5), 3-5 (4)
  • 4 leaders have won, with the other winners settling 4th, 6th, 7th, 8th, and 11th.
  • 7 winners of past 9 years were a previous G1 winner over 1100m-1200m
  • All 9 winners had at last G1 placed over 1100m-1200m

All 9 winners had won a G1 and/or $1M+ race over 1100m-1200m

SPEED MAP

Only an average speed here with Estriella pushing to lead over Lady Of Camelot and Chain of Lightning.

Johnny Rocker, Mornington Glory and Caballus can all settle handy.

Coleman, I Wish I Win & Hayasugi out the back.

KEY RUNNERS

1. I Wish I Win – Superstar sprinter and Everest favourite. Being set for the Everest and wouldn’t expect him to be wound up here first up. Will be hitting the line hard late.

5. Chain Of Lightning – Flew last prep winning the TJ Smith. Can sprint well fresh. Hint of rain aids chances.

6. Estriella – Boom mare looking to prove herself at G1 level here. Bolted in winning 3 in a row last prep including the $1M Inglis Sprint before 5th in the G1 Robert Sangster. Resumed with a good Cranbourne 800m trial win under a hold by 4L in +1.2 time.

8. Lady Of Camelot – Sat on a hot speed when a close 2nd in the G1 Blue Diamond, then won the G1 Golden Slipper. Won Randwick Kensington 850m trial by 1.3L beating Giga Kick in +5.1, which was 3.6L faster than Storm Boy on the same day who bolted in last Saturday.

9. Hayasugi – Won the Blue Diamond Preview, Blue Diamond Prelude and Blu Diamond Stakes last prep, then forget went around in the Golden Slipper. Looked good in recent Cranbourne 800m 26 Aug trial when 3rd under a hold.

DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS

8 – Lady Of Camelot
9 – Hayasugi
6 – Estriella
1 – I Wish I Win
5 – Chain Of Lightning

SUMMARY

There look to be 3 genuine winning chances here.

3yos have an excellent record in this race, and the fillies get a big weight pull on the rest of the field.

Lady Of Camelot was excellent as a 2yo, and her trials suggest she has come back well.

Hayasugi has done nothing wrong and also appears to have come back well.

Estriella is the boom mare, has trialled well and will be the one they will need to run down.

Backing Lady Of Camelot and Hayasugi. Saving on Estriella.

BETTING STRATEGIES

Betting Strategy

BACK: 8. Lady of Camelot (WIN) for 2 units

Sat on a hot speed when a close 2nd in the G1 Blue Diamond, then won the G1 Golden Slipper. Won Randwick Kensington 850m trial by 1.3L beating Giga Kick in +5.1, which was 3.6L faster than Storm Boy on the same day who bolted in last Saturday.

BACK: 9. Hayasugi (WIN) for 1 unit

Won the Blue Diamond Preview, Blue Diamond Prelude and Blu Diamond Stakes last prep, then forget went around in the Golden Slipper. Looked good in recent Cranbourne 800m 26 Aug trial when 3rd under a hold.

BACK: 6. Estriella (WIN) for 1 unit

Boom mare looking to prove herself at G1 level here. Bolted in winning 3 in a row last prep including the $1M Inglis Sprint before 5th in the G1 Robert Sangster. Resumed with a good Cranbourne 800m trial win under a hold by 4L in +1.2 time.

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