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EXPERT RACING TIPS: GEELONG

GEELONG PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | THURSDAY JUNE 6TH 2024

RAIL: True TRACK: Good 4

The rail goes back in the true position from the 8m last meeting and with no wind or rain around, I’m expecting horses forward of midfield to provide most of the winners today.

Best Bets

Jackson Oldham

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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LAY: 7. Perfect Gold (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $6.00)

Perfect Gold is in the right camp to improve, is down in class and will be fitter but I think she is a limited horse, who is yet to post a rating that indicates she has the ability that would warrant being $3.5 favourite in this race.

Jackson Oldham

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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BACK: 11. Elba (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.55)

Elba overcame difficulties to win over an unsuitable trip first-up at Cranbourne, she was well backed at Werribee subsequent to that and ran a good race behind one who is potentially above average then was given no hope at Flemington, I’ve been waiting for her to get up in trip, gets a big positive jockey switch and looks the one here.

RACE 1 | SELECTIONS

3. Oodnadatta
14. Treasurethe Moment
12. Princess Montecito
13. Runway Ruler

Betting Strategy

Tricky two-year-old maiden to start proceedings, Oodnadatta has jumped out well at Cranbourne, the stable is lethal with debutants and I’m expecting him to roll forward and be hard to beat, he has already been well supported in early markets so no juice at the current price.

RACE 2 | SELECTIONS

11. Lowlands
17. Buzz City
13. Pardon My French
14. Single Mamma

Betting Strategy

BACK: 11. Lowlands (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $2.40)

Loved the jumpouts of Lowlands, why she opened double the price of her stablemate Pardon My French is a mystery to me, I’d be surprised if the latter beat the former home. The danger is the race fit Buzz City with Shinn on, gets the crossover nose band off and was very well supported late in betting last start.

RACE 3 | SELECTIONS

5. Loch Tay
9. Write Your Own
3. Flanagan
1. Al Duca

Betting Strategy

BACK: 5. Loch Tay (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $9.10)

Loch Tay will need to improve his manners from his debut run but ran some strong closing sectionals relative to the meeting in a decent maiden, the step in distance suits and you can poke holes in most of the horses in the market here.

RACE 4 | SELECTIONS

7. Rezone
14. Savilla
6. Onlygoldwilldo
13. Perfume River

Betting Strategy

Rezone was very well backed versus a smart one at Pakenham last start, maps to me on-speed, race fit. Savilla only looks knee high to a grasshopper, likely has plenty of growing and improving to do but she jumped out sharper than one would expect for a horse on debut at 1700m.

RACE 5 | SELECTIONS

1. Rolling Moss
9. Adki
8. Superior Zara
7. Perfect Gold

Betting Strategy

BACK: 1. Rolling Moss (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.20)

Rolling Moss is nearing a victory, he was good enough first-up off 153-days at Moe against a Stakes class horse and then I thought his effort last start at Mornington to stick on in what was clearly the inferior ground was terrific. Maps in the perfect spot and should be favourite.

LAY: 7. Perfect Gold (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $6.00)

Perfect Gold is in the right camp to improve, is down in class and will be fitter but I think she is a limited horse, who is yet to post a rating that indicates she has the ability that would warrant being $3.5 favourite in this race.

RACE 6 | SELECTIONS

1. Superset
10. Diamond City
12. Wellie Belle
7. Feudel Empire

Betting Strategy

Superset hardest to beat but I have absolutely no interest in betting in this race.

RACE 7 | SELECTIONS

7. Boga Legend
2. Edzel
6. Mahrez
4. Northern Barrage

Betting Strategy

I was against Boga Legend last start off having what I thought was all favours at Warrnambool first-up and I truly couldn’t have been more wrong, he bolted in and deserves his spot at the top of the market. Mahrez the improver second-up, up in trip. I think Edzel has some ability but is likely to be last, which isn’t the spot to be on this track when it’s dry.

RACE 8 | SELECTIONS

11. Elba
7. Asawin
14. Born To Shine
8. Night People

Betting Strategy

BACK: 11. Elba (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.55)

Elba overcame difficulties to win over an unsuitable trip first-up at Cranbourne, she was well backed at Werribee subsequent to that and ran a good race behind one who is potentially above average then was given no hope at Flemington, I’ve been waiting for her to get up in trip, gets a big positive jockey switch and looks the one here.

RACE 9 | SELECTIONS

2. Cape Doctor
4. Gin O’clock
12. Porter
3. Lodbrok

Betting Strategy

Less than no opinion in the last, maybe Gin O’clock is overs at a double figure price but I wouldn’t risk my hard earned on the race.

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