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FEATURE PREVIEW: KING CHARLES III STAKES

KING CHARLES III STAKES PREVIEW

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1600m | Race Type: Group 1 | Rail Position: +3m | Current Track Conditions: Good 4 |
Predicted Track Conditions: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $5,000,000

Some rain forecast for Thursday but clear otherwise, so the track should race in the Good 4 range yet again.

Previously named the George Main Stakes, now with a name change and significant prizemoney increase. Also set a bit later in the carnival. Always a quality race, won 3 times by Winx, with other recent winners including Anamoe, Kolding, Avilius, Kermadec, Sacred Falls, Streama, Shoot Out & Verry Elleegant.

HISTORICAL PROFILING (11 YEARS)

 

  • 14-day break & 3rd up (5), 28-day break & 2nd up (5), 154-day break & 1st up (1)
  • Chris Waller has historically dominated this race winning 8 of the last 11 editions
  • 4yo (2), 5yo (4), 6yo (4), 7yo (1)
  • Favourites have won 9. Highest priced winner $9.50

Betfair Exchange Rank: 1-4 (11)

SPEED MAP

Zaaki should lead on an above average speed and races best when sets a strong tempo, with Redeiner, Mr Brightside, Zeyrek, Light Infantry Man & Golden Mile settling on pace behind.
Think It Over, Buckaroo & Nugget likely to settle forward of midfield.
Kovalica, Hope In Your Heart, Democracy Manifest & My Oberon back of midfield.
Fangirl, Atishu & Huetor out the back.

KEY RUNNERS

1. Think It Over – Has come back well form a long break, winning the $1M 7 Stakes last start by a nose. Maps nicely here.

2. Mr Brightside – Absolutely flying with 5 wins in a row, including 3 in a row this prep. Simply cannot discount here.

3. Zaaki – 3-time G1 winner, plus won the All Star Mile. Ran 2nd beaten a nose in the $1M 7 Stakes last start. In the mix.

5. Light Infantry Man – Has had 6 runs in Europe since the Golden Eagle this time last year, for 5 placings, 4 at G1 level. 2nd beaten a head in France G1, then 3rd in the Queen Anne G1 at Royal Ascot. Miler in the Maher stable with Zac Purton aboard. Strong chance.

7. Buckaroo – Ran 4th beaten 0.5L in France G1, then 3rd in the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot, before 2nd in Ireland G1 beating home Victoria Road which is top form. J’Obrien trained with H Bowman abord. Strong chance. Wolferton winners/placegetters who have won G1s in Australia include Sir Dragonet, Addeybb, Magic Wand & Contributer.

12. Kovalica – Finished home strongly for 2nd beaten a nose in the Epsom Handicap. 3rd in the Doomben Cup and won the QLD Derby last prep. Has the class to figure here.

14. Fangirl – Won the Winx Stakes first up then hit the line well for 3rd in the $1M 7 Stakes last start. In the mix.

TIPS

5 – Light Infantry Man
7 – Buckaroo
2 – Mr Brightside
12 – Kovalica
14 – Fangirl

SUMMARY

Keen on the two imports here.
Light Infantry Man & Buckaroo both come with very high quality G1 European miler form overseas. Both rate on top.
Kovalica & Fangirl rate as the best C Waller chances in a race he has dominated historically.
Mr Brightside is absolutely flying this prep and comes here again with a big chance, but have to bet around him at the short quote.

BETTING STRATEGIES

Betting Strategy

BACK 5 – Light Infantry Man 1.5w

BACK 7 – Buckaroo 1.0w

BACK 12 – Kovalica 0.5w

BACK 14 – Fangirl 0.5w

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