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FEATURE PREVIEWS: GOLDEN ROSE STAKES

GOLDEN ROSE

Track: Rosehill | Distance: 1400m | Rail Position: True | Current Track Condition: Good 4 | Predicted Track Conditions: Soft 6 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000

Stallion making race with some outstanding colts having won it previously including Zoustar, The Autumn Sun, Bivouac, Ole Kirk, In The Congo & Militarize.

 

Historical Profiling (last 13 years):

  • 1st up (0/3), 2nd up (9/65), 3rd up (2/55), 4th up (2/16), 5th up+ (0/11)
  • 14-day break (11/104), 21-day break (1/26), 28-day break (1/5)
  • Colts (12/116), Geldings (1/15), Fillies (0/19)
  • 10 won a black type race as a 2yo. Usually ran very well in the lead up, predominantly the Run To The Rose
  • Last Start Distance 1200m (10/99), 1300m-1400m (1/37), 1500m (2/11)
  • Godolphin have won 4 times (Bivouac, Astern, Exosphere & Epaulette). All of them ran in the Run To Rose as the leadup. 3 of them winning. Waller has won it 3 times.
  • 21 fillies have run for four 2nd placings, two of them at SP $4.40 and one at SP $2.35
  • 10 winners BFSP $8 or less. One $12 and one $42 winner.
  • Total Prizemoney Earnings $0K-$100K (1/76), $200k-$500k (11/52), $600k+ (1/22)
  • Tab Number 1-5 (13/63), 6-17 (0/87)
  • Official Handicap Rating 1-6 (13/78), 7+ (0/72)
  • Last Start Finishing Position 1-5 (13/117), 6+ (0/33)
  • Last Start Class G2 (8/62), G3 (5/59), Other (0/29)
  • Blinkers/Blinkers Again (3/11)
  • Career Wins 0-1 (1/58), 2+ (12/92)
  • Career Starts 1-4 (3/58), 5-7 (9/74), 8+ (1/18)
  • Trained at Rosehill N (8/110), Y (5/40)
  • Exchange Rank Rating 1-3 (11/39), 4+ (2/111)

Over the past 13 years, only Bivouac and In The Congo has led/sat outside leader and won. All other winners have settled between 5th and 14th. Note in editions with 13 runners or more the settling positions in run have been 1st, 6th, 10th, 11th, 13th, and 14th.

SPEED MAP

Fast speed predicted here. Mayfair, Anode and Storm Boy all push to lead with Daggers also forward.
Linebacker, Fearless and Traffic Warden will be jostling for midfield positions.
Emirate, Broadsiding, Clear Proof & Tropicus out the back.

GOLDEN ROSE | FINAL FIELD – KEY CHANCES

1. Broadsiding – Has won past 4 starts, including two G1 races over a mile. Only 3 horses have attempted this race first up, and none have won or placed. But Broadsiding is the best credentialled and the wet track suits. However he has later targets over 1600m-2000m so won’t be fully wound up here.

2. Traffic Warden – Led all the way to win the G2 VRC Sires Produce, was a close 4th in the Golden Slipper, then 2nd beaten a nose in the G1 ATC Sires Produce. Trialled very nicely ahead of the Run To The Rose which he won with impressive late sectionals. Godolphin have won this race 4 times (Bivouac, Astern, Exosphere & Epaulette). All of them ran in the Run To Rose as the leadup, with 3 of them winning. Handles the wet and looks very hard to beat.

3. Storm Boy – Magic Millions winner who has always had a big boom on him. Has raced 4 times at G1/G2 level for 1 win, two 3rds and a 4th. Was a big run in the The Run To The Rose when 3rd beaten 0.9L as was slow away and then had to work to lead. His tendency to miss the start can be costly. If he jumps with them he will certainly be the one they have to all run down.

4. Linebacker – Was impressive in first prep winning at G3 level at his second start and then 2nd at G1 level at his 3rd start. Ran the quickest last 1000m sectionals in the Run To The Rose when 4th. In the mix.

5. Anode – Ran 2nd beaten a nose in the Run To The Rose. Did run 2nd beaten a nose to Linebacker last prep. Doesn’t appear to enjoy wet tracks much. Place chance.

6. Fearless – Underrated colt who was only beaten 2L in the G1 Blue Diamond and ran 3rd in the G1 Champagne Stakes. Was beaten 3.3L first up in the Run To The Rose when had its chance. Place chance.

8. Emirate – Ran solid closing sectionals first up in the Run To The Rose. Place hope.

9. Tropicus – Ran solid closing sectionals in the Run To The Rose. Place hope.

DEAN EVANS TOP 5 SELECTIONS

2 – Traffic Warden
3 – Storm Boy
1 – Broadsiding
4 – Linebacker
6 – Fearless
5 – Anode

SUMMARY

Traffic Warden rates clearly on top and looks hard to beat.

Storm Boy, Broadsiding & Linebacker are the key dangers.

Fearless & Anode knockout hopes.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) 2.Traffic Warden for 2 units

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