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EXPERT RACING TIPS: FLEMINGTON

Best Bets

Jackson Oldham

LAY: 1. Pisces (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $4.40)

Pisces is the wrong favourite for mine, he had all favours on the back of Sneaky Sunrise last start, looked to be going straight past at the furlong and just peaked late. He gets a weight swing on the second favourite but I have a big concern on him at the mile.

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Jackson Oldham

BACK: 7. Press Down (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.05)

Press Down broke the clock at Swan Hill, running very slick time, sitting on a hot tempo whilst also running the third-fastest last 100m split of the meeting. He gets down on the minimum, and I think he maps in the perfect spot back in the middle to inside, whereas a horse like Veloce Carro won’t be anywhere near as suited as people may be thinking (If my read of the track is correct).

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FLEMINGTON PREVIEW | SATURDAY THE 6TH OF JULY

RAIL: True TRACK: Soft 5

Expect horses in the back third of the field to be disadvantaged and horses up the inside and middle in the straight to be suited.

3. I Found You
2. Earth God
4. Aldolfito
1. Golden Warrior

Betting Strategy

I Found You produced a huge figure on debut in Sydney, running quicker than the colts and geldings 35 minutes later over the same trip, despite the leaders going 6L slower to the 600m. I’d need $1.8+ to bet, which looks unlikely at this early stage.

3. Berkshire Breeze
1. Born A King
4. Taramansour
2. Aberfeldie Boy

Betting Strategy

Berkshire Breeze won in good time and style last start, would only need to recreate that run to win again, there is very limited opposition in this race.

1. Rise At Dawn
2. Craig
8. La Fracas
7. Justadeel

Betting Strategy

My market is very similar to the current market. Craig is the best horse in the race but had all favours sitting in the out-out, one-back last start when Rise At Dawn went too hard.

2. Sneaky Sunrise
3. Jenni’s Meadow
6. Warparty
1. Pisces

Betting Strategy

LAY: 1. Pisces (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $4.40)

Pisces is the wrong favourite for mine, he had all favours on the back of Sneaky Sunrise last start, looked to be going straight past at the furlong and just peaked late. He gets a weight swing on the second favourite but I have a big concern on him at the mile.

2. Starlight Scope
7. Electric Impulse
4. Belle Et Riche
1. Belle Savoir

Betting Strategy

Starlight Scope was well supported last time and just got too much pressure in front and also pulled up lame. I expect the inside to be good on Saturday and the map looks cozier here than it did last start.

4. Steel Run
3. Piggyback
1. Aztec State
2. Eliud

Betting Strategy

No edge, little interest.

7. Press Down
4. Who Dares
10. Ranting
11. Veloce Carro

Betting Strategy

BACK: 7. Press Down (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.05)

Press Down broke the clock at Swan Hill, running very slick time, sitting on a hot tempo whilst also running the third-fastest last 100m split of the meeting. He gets down on the minimum, and I think he maps in the perfect spot back in the middle to inside, whereas a horse like Veloce Carro won’t be anywhere near as suited as people may be thinking (If my read of the track is correct).

1. Munhamek
7. Windstorm
4. Pounding
2. Duke De Sessa

Betting Strategy

A good race but not one I’m keen to bet into. I have this race $6 the field, lottery.

12. Pharari
2. Fleetwood
1. Bossy Nic
9. Right To Party

Betting Strategy

Pharari is a jet, she has put up big margins in two runs this preparation and had done it on the clock too. I have a slight niggle on her back on a good track and that’s enough to put me off at the current price.

Fleetwood on the quick back-up is an interesting tactic, the more I thought about it, the more I have my doubts. It wasn’t as though just because he missed the start it was a track gallop, he ran the fastest 600-400m split and the fastest 400m-200m split of the meeting on a testing wet deck. That must’ve taken a bit out of him and now he’s back on top of the ground.

Want to learn how to lay bet?

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When you place a lay bet, you are betting on something not to happen. Let’s think about the Melbourne Cup again. Remember: there can only be one winner. But what about the others trailing behind them? If you place a lay bet in a “Win” market, you can celebrate if the runner tails off at the back of the field.

FLEMINGTON RACECOURSE

SUMMARY

As the home of ‘the race that stops a nation’, the Melbourne Cup, Flemington is Australia’s most famous racecourse. The $8 million two-mile handicap, which is held on the first Tuesday in November each year and attracts leading staying horses from around the world, is one of 14 Group 1 races held at Flemington and is the pinnacle of the four-day Melbourne Cup Carnival. For Flemington tips across the world-famous Melbourne Cup Carnival and every meeting throughout the year, the Betfair Hub has you covered.  

FAST FACTS

  • The biggest ever attendance at Flemington came on Victoria Derby Day in 2006, when 129,069 spectators witnessed Efficient claim the Derby.

KEY EVENTS

While the Melbourne Cup, which was first run in 1861, is Australia’s most famous race, Victoria Derby Day – held the Saturday before the Cup – traditionally attracts the biggest crowd of the carnival. As well as the Derby, a 2500m contest for three-year-olds, the raceday features three more Group 1 contests in the Coolmore Stud Stakes, Cantala Stakes and Empire Rose Stakes. Two days after the Melbourne Cup, the Group 1 VRC Oaks headlines Ladies’ Day with Stakes Day, featuring the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes, bringing the curtain down on the Melbourne Cup Carnival. Betfair brings you Flemington best bets, with our team of experts giving punters the inside track on every meeting.  

TRACK PROFILE

Known for its wide expanses and ability to cope in any weather conditions, Flemington is renowned by punters as one of Australia’s fairest tracks. The racecourse is pear-shaped, with a six-furlong (1200m) straight known as the ‘straight six’. The track has a circumference of 2312m and a home straight of 450m. Whether it’s sprint or staying races, our resident team of experts do the form to deliver their Flemington tips on the Betfair Hub.     

HISTORY

The Flemington Racecourse site comprises 1.27 square kilometres of crown land. The course was originally leased to the Victoria Turf Club in 1848, which merged with the Victoria Jockey Club in 1864 to form the Victoria Racing Club. The first running of the Melbourne Cup was held in 1861 and 10 years later the Victoria Racing Club Act was passed, which gave the VRC legal control of Flemington Racecourse.

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