FLIGHT STAKES
Track: Randwick | Distance: 1600m | Type: Group 1 3YO fillies SW | Rail Position: True | Condition: Soft 5 | Prizemoney: $750,000
Autumn Glow is the clear one to beat. Lazzura and Snow In May are key dangers.
Is the key target race for most of these 3yo fillies. Has been won by some top-quality fillies in recent years including Streama, Guelph, First Seal, Global Glamour, Alizee, Funstar & Montefilia.
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Historical Profiling:
2 nd up (1/7), 3rd up (5/42), 4th up (5/45), 5th up (1/18), 6 th up (1/6)
14-day break (12/77 off Tea Rose leadup), 21-day break (1/8 off Golden Rose leadup),
Other (0/37)
Career Starts 3-9 (13/110)
Career Wins 0-1 (3/61), 2-3 (9/51), 4-5 (1/10)
Randwick Starts 0 (0/31)
Tab Number 1-3 (9/38), 4-6 (3/37), 7+ (1/47)
Exchange Rank 1-3 (10/39), 4-5 (2/26), 6+ (1/57)
Same Jockey Last Start Yes 9/66, No (4/56)
Last Start 1400-1500 (13/102)
Last Start Class G1 (1/7), G2 (12/74), Other (0/41)
Last Start Settling Position 1-7 (13/82), 8+ (0/40)
Last 11 winners, 8 were in the top 3 on the turn, whilst 3 came from well back
(6 th /9 th /10 th ) on the turn.
SPEED MAP
Slow tempo predicted here. Autumn Glow could lead.
Lady Shenandoah, Lazzura and Miss Busslinger push forward too.
Snow In May and Wings Of Desire back of midfield.
Declichy Boulevard, Harlem Queen & Powers Of Opal out the back.
FLIGHT STAKES: KEY RUNNERS
Autumn Glow – Superstar filly. Has won 3 from 3 and been more and more impressive each start. Hard to see her getting beaten. – Snow In May – Won her first two starts then ran a strong 2 nd behind Autumn Glow last start.
Lazzura – Won first two starts. Led in the Tea Rose and run down into 3 rd . Trainer has a great record in this race and will get a soft lead. – Lady Shenandoah – Finished strongly with good late sectionals first up to win at G3 level beating Mayfair who placed in the G1 Golden Rose.
Declichy Boulevard – Ran strong sectionals when closing for 2 nd beaten a neck in the Listed Jim Moloney Stakes last start. Mile should suit. – Harlem Queen – Has finished well to win both starts this prep. Big jump in class here.
Powers Of Opal – Finished home strongly against the bias for 3 rd at Randwick last start, running the quickest closing sectionals of the day. –
TOP 4 SELECTIONS
1 – Autumn Glow
3 – Lazzura
2 – Snow In May
5 – Declichy Boulevard
FLIGHT STAKES: BETTING STRATEGY
No suggested bet
DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS
Units Outlayed: 429.0
Units Returned: 466.8
Profit On Turnover: 8.8%
G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24