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FEATURE PREVIEWS: FLIGHT STAKES

FLIGHT STAKES

Track: Randwick | Distance: 1600m | Type: Group 1 3YO fillies SW | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $750,000

Heavy track as it always is in Sydney, might never see a good track again.

Is the key target race for most of these 3yo fillies. Has been won by some top-quality fillies in recent years including Streama, Guelph, First Seal, Global Glamour, Alizee, Funstar & Montefilia.

Click here to view the Flight Stakes market odds on the Betfair Exchange.

Historical Profiling: 

2nd up (1), 3rd up (4), 4th up (5), 5th up (1), 6th up (1)

14-day break – 11 winners (off Tea Rose leadup), 21-day break – 1 winner (off Golden Rose leadup)

Last 10 winners, 7 were in the top 3 on the turn, whilst 3 came from well back (6th/9th/10th) on the turn.

SPEED MAP

Only an average tempo predicted here. Tropical Squall should lead them easily.

Tiz Invincible likely pushes forward from the wide gate. Kimochi and Miss Joelene push forward too.

Hasty Honey, Unique Ambition, Tutta La Vita forward of midfield.

Private Legacy, Summer Loving, Autumn Angel back of midfield.

French Endeavour, Mollynickers & Captain Amelia out the back.

10. Tutta La Vita – Hit the line well late for 7th in the Tea Rose beaten 4.5L. Magic Man hops aboard here and can settle closer. Can win.

12. Unique Ambition – Ran 2nd at first two starts, then held up throughout in the Tea Rose last start given no luck. Can win here.

FLIGHT STAKES: KEY RUNNERS

#1 – Tiz Invincible

#8 – Tutta La Vita

#12 – Unique Ambition

#3 – Tropical Squall

#2 – Kimochi

FLIGHT STAKES: BETTING STRATEGY

Tiz Invincible is the one to beat clearly. However if she gets caught wide from the outside gate, or doesn’t quite run the mile, then Tutta La Vita and/or Unique Ambition could run her down. Going to back them both and save on Tiz Invincible.

BACK #8 – Tutta La Vita for a 1.0 (WIN)

BACK #12 – Unique Ambition for a 1.0 (WIN)

BACK #1 – Tiz Invincible for a 1.0w (WIN)

DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 429.0
Units Returned: 466.8
Profit On Turnover: 8.8%

G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

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