EXPERT RACING TIPS: EPSOM DERBY
EPSOM PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SATURDAY JUNE 1ST 2024
RAIL: Rail out 4 to 5 yards on Derby Course from 1m to finish. 14:00 +8 yards (approx) 14:35 +15 yards (approx) 15:10 +15 yards (approx) 15:45 +15 yards (approx) 16:30 +15 yards (approx) 17:10 +10 yards (approx) 17:40 +10 yards (approx) TRACK: Good to Soft
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Best Bets
Rory Flanagan
BACK: 11. Los Angeles (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $3.00)
I think on type and at this distance there is no logical reason for City Of Troy to be half the price of Los Angeles. Already a G1 winner, Los Angeles has improved from 2 to 3 and relished the trip first up at Leopardstown. He had Euphoric there as a pacemaker for him and picked up the leaders pretty comfortably on a leaders’ track. Euphoric will repeat that dose here and should set things up for LA.
back
Rory Flanagan
LAY: 4. City Of Troy (PLACE) for 5 units (Rated at $11.00)
Simply put City Of Troy has not grown. He looks a pony by comparison to most of these and was the smallest horse in the 1000 Guineas as well as the first beaten. Nothing here says he should be favourite based on that run and he’s being priced in the market on his 2yo form. We’ve seen time and time again that some freakish 2yos just don’t grow and need to stick to shorter trips like Too Darn Hot, Pinatubo, Air Force Blue, Wootton Bassett and more. Furthermore he likes to dictate and dominate his races from the front and if they’re putting a pacemaker in that will disrupt his pattern. Laid him at $1.73 last time and happy to lay the place here.
lay
7. Bubbles Wonky
11. Blake
2. Persica
8. Portsmouth
Betting Strategy
Any of the top 8 in market could win
8. Chic Colombine
5. Running Lion
7. Sparks Fly
2. Breege
Betting Strategy
BACK: 8. Chic Colombine (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $5.00)
Chic Colombine has only tasted defeat twice in her last 7 runs and steps down in grade from the French 1000 Guineas where she was given no chance and gets a hefty weight allowance now. Buick takes over and she’s drawn well. Can’t see that price remaining double figures.
2. Embesto
1. Highland Avenue
7. Sean
4. Regal Reality
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2. Embesto (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.50)
Embesto wasn’t ready last time out and will strip fitter for the run. Headgear goes on and often the Diomed is won by a horse rattling home from the back and as such the wide gate should be no issue. Highland Avenue the main danger if jumping and making all from the inside gate
11. Vince L’Amour
6. Blue Storm
7. Due For Luck
19. Enchanting
Betting Strategy
BACK: 11. Vince L’Amour (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $8.00)
Vince L’Amour was drawn in the wrong part of the track at York and is very suited to a downhill dash like this that favours those up on pace. If he’s able to skip away and get towards the stand’s side he is massive value considering his previous four starts were 3112
BACK: 6. Blue Storm for 1 unit
Blue Storm & Due For Luck are simply a stand’s rail bets. Often the winner here bounces out and makes all along the fence -except for last year when the wide gates opened half a second after the rest of the field and were declared fair starters
BACK: 7. Due For Luck (WIN) for 1 unit
Blue Storm & Due For Luck are simply a stand’s rail bets. Often the winner here bounces out and makes all along the fence -except for last year when the wide gates opened half a second after the rest of the field and were declared fair starters
12. Night On Earth
3. Silky Wilkie
1. Clarendon House
11. Live In The Moment
Betting Strategy
12. Night On Earth (WIN & PLACE) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)
Night On Earth will bounce out from the gates and be in the thick of the action. He’s a previous course and distance winner and the downhill suits him. If the track continues to dry he’s very well suited here with bottom weight and a claim on top of that. If he breaks smartly they might not run him down.
BACK: 1. Silky Wilkie for 2 units (Rated at $4.00)
Was the bad beat of the card last year and should have won doing handstands. Headgear goes on, carries 4kg less this year, massive winning chance and clear favourite. Meets most of his opponents better off at the weights now too.
BACK: 1. Clarendon House for 2 units (Rated at $4.00)
3/7 since gelding and a much improved performer. 3rd in this last year and now up 5kg in weights but clearly a better horse. Drawn to get a gun run if jumping with them and has the best closing burst in the field. A hefty impost of 9lb back to the next in the order, but shows the gulf in class between him and the rest this season.
11. Los Angeles
2. Ancient Wisdom
1. Ambiente Friendly
3. Bellum Justum
Betting Strategy
BACK: 11. Los Angeles (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $3.00)
I think on type and at this distance there is no logical reason for City Of Troy to be half the price of Los Angeles. Already a G1 winner, Los Angeles has improved from 2 to 3 and relished the trip first up at Leopardstown. He had Euphoric there as a pacemaker for him and picked up the leaders pretty comfortably on a leaders’ track. Euphoric will repeat that dose here and should set things up for LA.
LAY: 4. City Of Troy (PLACE) for 5 units (Rated at $11.00)
Simply put City Of Troy has not grown. He looks a pony by comparison to most of these and was the smallest horse in the 1000 Guineas as well as the first beaten. Nothing here says he should be favourite based on that run and he’s being priced in the market on his 2yo form. We’ve seen time and time again that some freakish 2yos just don’t grow and need to stick to shorter trips like Too Darn Hot, Pinatubo, Air Force Blue, Wootton Bassett and more. Furthermore he likes to dictate and dominate his races from the front and if they’re putting a pacemaker in that will disrupt his pattern. Laid him at $1.73 last time and happy to lay the place here.
BACK: 2. Ancient Wisdom (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $4.50)
Long been on this horse as a prospect for the Derby as he’s shown bags of stamina as a 2yo, especially getting through the testing going in the Futurity. He was conquered by Rosallion at Ascot but that was much too dry and quick for him, and look what that horse has gone on to do. The Dante was a struggle on fast ground but the winner looks immensely talented and he was warming to the task late on with now an extra 400m to assist his chances and sticky ground. Aidan’s pacemaker here could further aid his chances instead of City Of Troy
13. Kotari
7. Ziggy
3. If Not Now
2. Relentless Voyager
Betting Strategy
Always a messy race. Sit out.
3. Apollo One
7. Aleezdancer
9. Russet Gold
1. Misty Grey
Betting Strategy
Too hard basket, I’d be happy to back any of the top 7
EPSOM TIPS
Epsom racecourse is one of the most famous and historic racecourses in the world, located in Epsom, Surrey, England. The racecourse is home to two of the most iconic races in the horse racing calendar – The Derby and The Oaks. These races have been held at Epsom since the 18th century and have attracted some of the greatest horses, jockeys, and trainers of all time.
The history of Epsom racecourse dates back to the 17th century when it was used as a popular spot for horse racing. The first recorded race at Epsom was in 1661, and since then it has become one of the most famous racecourses in the world. The racecourse has undergone many changes and renovations over the years, but it has always maintained its prestige and reputation as one of the best racecourses in the world.
One of the most famous horses to have won at Epsom is Eclipse, who won The Derby in 1769. Eclipse was considered one of the greatest horses of all time and is still remembered today as one of the greatest horses to have ever graced the Epsom racecourse. Other famous horses that have won at Epsom include Secretariat, who won The Derby in 1973, and Shergar, who won The Derby in 1981.
Some of the most famous jockeys to have won at Epsom include Lester Piggott, who won The Derby a record nine times, and Frankie Dettori, who has won The Derby three times. These jockeys have become synonymous with Epsom racecourse and have become legends in the horse racing world.
Trainers such as Sir Henry Cecil and Aidan O’Brien have also had a great deal of success at Epsom. Sir Henry Cecil trained The Derby winners Slip Anchor, Reference Point, and Commander in Chief, while Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner of The Derby five times.
The Derby and The Oaks are the two biggest races held at Epsom each year. The Derby is a Group 1 race for three-year-old colts and fillies, and it is considered one of the most prestigious horse races in the world. The Oaks is a Group 1 race for three-year-old fillies and is also considered one of the most prestigious horse races in the world. Both of these races are held on the first Saturday in June and attract thousands of horse racing fans from all over the world.
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In conclusion, Epsom racecourse is a historic and prestigious racecourse that has been home to some of the greatest horses, jockeys, and trainers of all time. The Derby and The Oaks are the two biggest races held at Epsom each year and attract thousands of horse racing fans from all over the world. Epsom tips, Epsom racing tips, and Epsom race tips can be found at the Betfair Hub, along with best bets for each day of racing. Find them all and much more by heading to the Betfair Hub today!
