FEATURE PREVIEWS: THE EVEREST

Track: Randwick | Distance: 1200m | Rail Position: True | Current Track Condition: Soft 6 | Predicted Track Condition: Soft 6 | Prizemoney: $20,000,000

A remarkable innovation, with $20M prizemoney and enormous intrigue and anticipation. Always a great race with Redzel, Yes Yes Yes, Classique Legend, Nature Strip, Giga Kick & Think About It the previous winners.

• If we combine analysis of the TJ Smith G1 1200m at Randwick with the Everest, from the last 12 years (19 races), 12/95 have won 3rd up and 5/34 have won 4th up. Only 2 horses have won 2nd up. 1st/2nd up horses only 2/78 runners.
• 3yo (2/10), 4yo (0/17), 5yo (3/25), 6yo (1/18), 7yo (1/8), 8yo+ (0/6)
  
• Barrier 1-3 (1/21), 4-6 (4/21), 7-9 (1/21), 10-12 (1/21)
  
• Days since last start 7 (0/2), 14 (4/30), 21 (1/10), 28 (2/19), 30+ (0/13)
  
• 1st up (0/9), 2nd up (1/25), 3rd up (5/37), 4th up (1/11), 5th+ up (0/2)
  
• Fillies and Mares have struggled to date, none running a place so far from 19 runners.
  
• Gelding (6/47), Colt (1/6), Mare (0/16), Filly (0/3), Entire (0/12)
  
• Last Start Favourite No (2/50), Yes (5/34)
  
• Last Start Finishing Position 1-2 (6/47), 3-5 (1/26), 6+ (0/11)
  
• Second Last Start Finishing Position 1 (6/32), 2 (1/15), 3+ (0/37)
  
• Last Start Starting Price 1-4 (7/44), 5+ (0/40)
  
• Last Start Settling Position 1-6 (7/54), 7+ (0/30)
  
• Last Start G1 (1/25), G2 (6/54), Other (0/5)
  
• Last 3 starts average margin -0 (5/30), 0 (1/28), 1 (1/18), 2+ (0/8)
  
• Last Start 1000 (0/9), 1100 (3/20), 1200 (3/37), 1400 (1/14)

The pace should come from I Am Me on the fence, and the 3yos Storm Boy, Lady Of Camelot and Growing Empire. Traffic Warden should get a nice run on the fence, and Bella Nipotina is versatile but just needs to find cover from the wide gate. Joliestar, Sunshine In Paris and Giga Kick back of midfield. Private Eye, Stefi Magnetica & I Wish I Win out the back.

1. I Wish I Win  – Has been set for one race this prep and has hit the line solidly both runs at Moonee Valley after getting well back. Over this track/distance at G1 level he has won a TJ Smith, run a close 3rd in the TJ Smith when first up, and run 2nd in the Everest after being held up and drawing barrier 1. Is the one to beat.

3. Private Eye  – Has hit the line well in both Randwick leadup races over distances short of his best so far this prep. Ran 2nd in the Everest two years ago, and ran a close 3rd after racing wide no cover last year. Can surprise.

4. Bella Nipotina  – Ultra consistent mare. Last 16 starts, mostly at G1 level, have yielded 3 wins and 7 placings, with the worst result 5th beaten 2L. Should have won the TJ Smith last prep when 2nd beaten a head after racing wide no cover throughout. Can win if gets cover with a wet track.

5. I Am Me  – Has won both leadup races this prep at Randwick, and maps to get a nice run on speed here from gate 1. Can figure.

9. Growing Empire  – Boom 3yo colt who won 4 in a row before 2nd beaten a nose in the G1 Manikato with a decent gap to 3rd. Can’t discount. 

10. Traffic Warden  – – Impressed winning the Run To The Rose first up, then 2nd beaten a nose by Broadsiding in the G1 Golden Rose. Maps beautifully here. 

1.I Wish I Win
4.Bella Nipotina
3.Private Eye
10.Traffic Warden