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EXPERT RACING TIPS: FLEMINGTON

Best Bets

Jackson Oldham

LAY: 10. Bold Secret (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $6.75)

Over the years, I have kept the lights on by laying first starters who are hard in the market down the Flemington straight against raced horses. Bold Secret has jumped out extremely sharply, nothing against the horse at all but it is such a big ask to win on debut against more experienced horses.

From A Distance clearly should’ve won last start and Everain is a talent, I’m seat A1 in his fanclub but even I’m surprised how well he has been supported from an opening double figure quote.

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Jackson Oldham

BACK: 8. La Fracas (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $2.20)

La Fracas backed up his first-up victory with a bullet at Sandown, running very good closing splits to win again. Getting away from a heavy track may be a negative and gate one down the straight will be a query but if he runs up to his first two ratings he wins, although I am aware it is likely not that simple.

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FLEMINGTON PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SATURDAY JULY 5TH 2025

RAIL: 3m TRACK: Soft 5

Expect the wind to play havoc with conditions today, as of 9:30am it is only at a 25km/h Northerly but that is expected to increase in the early afternoon. That should make it tricky for horses to lead and expect cover to be at a premium.

3. Duchess Zou
2. Just For Show
1. Harry’s Yacht
4. Legacy Bay

Betting Strategy

Duchess Zou brings in some very likeable different form, she ran great splits at Sale three back, then put a good figure on the board along with an impressive margin at Geelong. She was good last start in a harder race but the market hasn’t missed her here either.

2. Arcora
1. Bayou Music
7. Zuppa Inglese
4. Bermondsey

Betting Strategy

A tricky race, Arcora looked like he was going to go cartwheeling out the back of the TV screen at the 600m last start but just battled away to run a place. He will be suited up in trip but it does look like he will already need 2000m+.

6. All Business
4. Em Sixty
3. Zorro’s Flight
8. Aloysius

Betting Strategy

All Business is in the zone, she looked like winning by three at the furlong at Sandown last start but did run into a horse on a four-day back-up who was hard fit, they gapped third and she now claims under the minimum.

3. Oyster Lane
1. Shining Smile
4. Yamashita’s Gold
6. Ornos

Betting Strategy

LAY: 10. Bold Secret (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $6.75)

Over the years, I have kept the lights on by laying first starters who are hard in the market down the Flemington straight against raced horses. Bold Secret has jumped out extremely sharply, nothing against the horse at all but it is such a big ask to win on debut against more experienced horses.

From A Distance clearly should’ve won last start and Everain is a talent, I’m seat A1 in his fanclub but even I’m surprised how well he has been supported from an opening double figure quote.

3. Cindy Falls
2. Pariah Pearl
10. Jazz Affair
7. Sound It Out

Betting Strategy

The Rising Stars final, a big field in high winds, goodluck everyone. The early tempo could either be 20L above average or 10L below, who knows.

8. La Fracas
11. De Bergerac
6. Moby Dick
3. Eye Of The Fire

Betting Strategy

BACK: 8. La Fracas (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $2.20)

La Fracas backed up his first-up victory with a bullet at Sandown, running very good closing splits to win again. Getting away from a heavy track may be a negative and gate one down the straight will be a query but if he runs up to his first two ratings he wins, although I am aware it is likely not that simple.

14. Muktamil
8. Mormona
4. Bold Soul
13. Sameul Langhorne

Betting Strategy

A great race with plenty of history but not one I am interested in.

7. Sayedaty Sadaty
12. Flash Feeling
1. Casino Seventeen
9. Milford

Betting Strategy

I am interested to see what the late Betfair market here, they were all over Sayedaty Sadaty last start, expect him to land in the one-one here.

2. Losesomewinmore
1. Beast Mode
12. Documentary
15. Hajra

Betting Strategy

A very open finish to proceedings, Losesomewinmore likely maps well.

Want to learn how to lay bet?

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When you place a lay bet, you are betting on something not to happen. Let’s think about the Melbourne Cup again. Remember: there can only be one winner. But what about the others trailing behind them? If you place a lay bet in a “Win” market, you can celebrate if the runner tails off at the back of the field.

FLEMINGTON RACECOURSE

SUMMARY

As the home of ‘the race that stops a nation’, the Melbourne Cup, Flemington is Australia’s most famous racecourse. The $8 million two-mile handicap, which is held on the first Tuesday in November each year and attracts leading staying horses from around the world, is one of 14 Group 1 races held at Flemington and is the pinnacle of the four-day Melbourne Cup Carnival. For Flemington tips across the world-famous Melbourne Cup Carnival and every meeting throughout the year, the Betfair Hub has you covered.  

FAST FACTS

  • The biggest ever attendance at Flemington came on Victoria Derby Day in 2006, when 129,069 spectators witnessed Efficient claim the Derby.

KEY EVENTS

While the Melbourne Cup, which was first run in 1861, is Australia’s most famous race, Victoria Derby Day – held the Saturday before the Cup – traditionally attracts the biggest crowd of the carnival. As well as the Derby, a 2500m contest for three-year-olds, the raceday features three more Group 1 contests in the Coolmore Stud Stakes, Cantala Stakes and Empire Rose Stakes. Two days after the Melbourne Cup, the Group 1 VRC Oaks headlines Ladies’ Day with Stakes Day, featuring the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes, bringing the curtain down on the Melbourne Cup Carnival. Betfair brings you Flemington best bets, with our team of experts giving punters the inside track on every meeting. For tips on the Melbourne Cup, visit our Melbourne Cup tips page. 

TRACK PROFILE

Known for its wide expanses and ability to cope in any weather conditions, Flemington is renowned by punters as one of Australia’s fairest tracks. The racecourse is pear-shaped, with a six-furlong (1200m) straight known as the ‘straight six’. The track has a circumference of 2312m and a home straight of 450m. Whether it’s sprint or staying races, our resident team of experts do the form to deliver their Flemington tips on the Betfair Hub.     

HISTORY

The Flemington Racecourse site comprises 1.27 square kilometres of crown land. The course was originally leased to the Victoria Turf Club in 1848, which merged with the Victoria Jockey Club in 1864 to form the Victoria Racing Club. The first running of the Melbourne Cup was held in 1861 and 10 years later the Victoria Racing Club Act was passed, which gave the VRC legal control of Flemington Racecourse.

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