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EXPERT RACING TIPS: LEOPARDSTOWN

OVERVIEW

Rail: out 4y on circuit

Stalls: Inside
Track Conditions: good
Expected advantage: Close to rail first 3-4 races, then wide down the outside in straight later in card. On-speed before the corner where the breeze slows wider horses so cover around the bend is optimal. Backmarkers traditionally a non-event at this meeting.

It’s Irish Champions Weekend where the best of Irish racing culminates with some of the highest-rating races of the season on the Emerald Isle. The Irish St Leger card is tonight, complemented by three G1’s and other group races on the undercard.

Best Bets

BEST BACK OF THE DAY

BACK: Race 6 | #3 Kyprios (WIN) for 6 units 

Really weak Irish St Leger where KYPRIOS resuming has scared most of the field off. If fit, none of these get near him as they want wet ground. It’s a coin toss to know if he’s ready to go and we’re getting a price better than coin toss odds. Happy to lump.

NEXT BEST BACK OF THE DAY

BACK: Race 3 | #1 Art Power (WIN) for 3 units 

ART POWER only seems to want to be a racehorse at the Curragh and has won all four races at this track he’s contested. This looks winnable again as the two favourites had their colours lowered at York when given every possible. If he jumps smartly again, they might not even look like catching him.

RACE 1

24. SECRET MAGICIAN
8. DANDYVILLE
5. BIG GOSSEY
13. PRISONER’S DILEMMA

Betting Strategy

Wide open race with no indication of where the best ground will be. Happy to sit out.

RACE 2

6. JACKIE OH
7. LUMIERE ROCK
11. UNLESS
2. INSINUENDO

Betting Strategy

BACK: #6 Jackie Oh (WIN) for 2.5 units

I’ve had a big opinion of JACKIE OH for some time and I think she showed her true ability last start. If she can offset the bad gate she’s a big winning chance here.

UNLESS should lob up front and lead here if Trevaunance doesn’t. Chance if able to make all, otherwise putting the pace on for Jackie Oh.

INSIUENDO wants it wet.




BACK: #7 Lumiere Rock (WIN) for 1.5 units

LUMIERE ROCK has been ultra consistent of late and deserves to win a race. She’s simply just found a few better in G1 company. Breeding says she wants the rain to stay away.

RACE 3

1. ART POWER
6. BRADSELL
9. HIGHFIELD PRINCESS
5. AESOP’S FABLES

Betting Strategy

BACK: #1 Art Power (WIN) for 3 units

ART POWER only seems to want to be a racehorse at the Curragh and has won all four races at this track he’s contested. This looks winnable again as the two favourites had their colours lowered at York when given every possible. If he jumps smartly again, they might not even look like catching him.

BRADSELL and HIGHFIELD PRINCESS are drawn right near Art Power so all the action should unfold middle-stand’s side. They both had to settle for minor placings when unable to reel in a 33-1 roughie in the Nunthorpe and if giving too much rope to Art Power there could be a repeat. I still think the pair of them are the best horses in the race but the prices are a little too thin for my liking.

RACE 4

5. PORTA FORTUNA
9. YLANG YLANG
4. PEARLS AND RUBIES
3. BRILLIANT

Betting Strategy

BACK: #5 Porta Fortuna (WIN) for 1.5 units or 2 units without the favourite

PORTA FORTUNA ran a great race at G1 level last time and simply bumped into a top tier colt. She’s drawn the inside here and should be tough to run down provided she gets away cleanly from the gates and isn’t clobbered again. The issue for Frankie here is he’s going to have Coolmore drawn 2, 3, 4 outside him and box him in. The team tactics worked perfectly for Auguste Rodin and they may well work again.






BACK: #9 Ylang Ylang (WIN) for 3 units

YLANG YLANG will track her all of the way and looks the horse to beat but I can’t have that price. I’m hopeful they try and lead on Ylang Ylang as the pace on might cause her to pop with 100m to go.

BACK: #4 Pearls and Rubies (WIN) for 0.25 units

PEARLS AND RUBIES is a sprinter and the obsession with her needing extra distance because she finishes her races off well misses the mark. She simply needs a tempo and doesn’t race tractably without it. I’ve seen way worse 80-1 shots and to see her ridden upside down and her ears scrubbed off to make use of her wouldn’t shock.

BACK: #3 Brilliant (WIN)

BRILLIANT will be part of the shenanigans to set the race up for Ylang Ylang.

RACE 5

2. CITY OF TROY
1. BUCANERO FUERTE
5. HENRY LONGFELLOW
4. GIVEMETHEBEATBOYS

Betting Strategy

Can’t see any sane reason to take on the fav CITY OF TROY here but if Porta Fortuna franks the form in the previous race I’ll have 2u on BUCANERO FUERTE, who beat the filly by 4L and is 3/3 at the Curragh.

RACE 6

3. KYPRIOS
1. DAWN RISING
5. EMILY DICKINSON
2. ELDAR ELDAROV

Betting Strategy

BACK: #3 Kyprios (WIN) for 6 units

Really weak Irish St Leger where KYPRIOS resuming has scared most of the field off. If fit, none of these get near him as they want wet ground. It’s a coin toss to know if he’s ready to go and we’re getting a price better than coin toss odds. Happy to lump.



RACE 7

Betting Strategy

Auction race with terrible form. No thanks.

RACE 8

22. GOLDEN SPANGLE
16. GENUINE ARTICLE
18. STARRY EYED
13. TAKE HEART

Betting Strategy

Not betting here, too open.

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