MATCHDAY 24 | BEST BETS
CRYSTAL PALACE VS CHELSEA
A tough home game for Palace this one. They will be without at least four front line players and whilst Chelsea have a few of their own out injured, they are not as hard to replace as the Palace players with less depth in their squad. It should be one way traffic. Chelsea could win 13 league matches in a row against the same opponent for the first time in their history. That is some record. For Crystal Palace, it would also be a club record-extending 13th consecutive Premier League defeat against one club.
The safest play here is to just lay the draw. There has not been a draw in 26 meetings since it finished goalless in the Premier League at Stamford Bridge in March 1995. Stats can be a strange thing to assess. Palace have lost three of their past five games, yet could equal the club record of three home wins in a row. They have not kept a clean sheet for 12 league matches, the longest such run in the Premier League. Even manager Roy Hodgson can’t escape the terrible records. He has lost 16 Premier League games versus Chelsea, more than against any other club.
Here is the big issue. Half of Palace’s 26 Premier League goals this season have been scored or assisted by at least one of Eberechi Eze or Michael Olise, who are both out injured. They have won just one of the six league matches in which neither Eze nor Olise have started this season: a 2-0 win at Burnley in November. Spare a thought for Jordan Ayew. He has lost all 15 Premier League games he has played against Chelsea (for Aston Villa, Swansea and Palace), which is a competition record. Maybe Roy Hodgson should leave him out to give them a chance. Despite everything looking so dark for Palace, Chelsea are in danger of losing three league games in a row for the first time this season. They could also concede multiple goals in seven successive league away matches for the first time since 1990. They have lost five of their last six away fixtures in the Premier League.
Chelsea Head coach Mauricio Pochettino has won 12 of his 14 Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, more than
he’s won against any other opponent. This is his favourite team to play. He has also won all six Premier League games as a manager versus Roy Hodgson. Nonetheless, he’s in danger of losing three consecutive league matches as a manager for the first time since
2013 when in charge of Southampton. We can see the huge gulf between the sides in the Head to Head but let’s look at what has
happened so far this season. In 11 home games, Palace were 1/9 before beating Brentford 3-1 and then Sheffield United 3-2 in their last two home games. Chelsea have lost five of six away games. losing to Liverpool 1-4, Wolves 1-2, Everton 0-2, Manchester United 1-2 and Newcastle 1-4. They did beat Luton 3-2 but that’s hardly title winning form. In the 11 home games so far for Palace, seven saw both team score. Only five had a first half goal and nine had a second half goal. Six games went Over 2.5 goals four went Over 3.5 goals. For Chelsea away, seven of the past eight went Over 2.5 goals and the scores were 1-4, 3-2, 1-2, 0-2, 1-2, 1-4, 4-1 and 4-1.
I am more than happy to bet this one goes over as well. I will leave the both teams to score out of the equation as I don’t trust Palace enough although they really should score at least one. Due to Chelsea conceding at least twice in seven successive away games.
Chelsea really should win this with the players Palace have missing.
LAY: The Draw for 1 unit at $4.10
BACK: Over 2.5 goals for 3 units at $1.90
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