FEATURE PREVIEW: CAULFIELD GUINEAS

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1600m | Race Type: Group 1 3YO Set Weights | Rail Position: True | Current Track Conditions: Good 4 |
Prediction Track Conditions: Soft 5 | Prizemoney: $3,000,000

High quality honour roll in recent years including All Too Hard, Press Statement, The Autumn Sun, Ole Kirk & Anamoe.

Last year’s edition of the race was won in spectacular fashion by Griff, breaking a recent trend of favourites saluting in the time honored Group 1.

Griff’s victory came with a post commission BSP of $44.39 which dwarfed the corporate average (Ladbrokes, TAB, Sportsbet) by 28%. With those markets trading at $35 on average.

It amounts to an additional $93.90 in the pocket for a $10 outlay on the winner.

The other notable price advantage in the last five years came in 2020 when Ole Kirk delivered the goods with a 12% edge at the $4.80 BSP.

• 1st/2nd up (0/7), 3rd up (2/49), 4th up (9/83), 5th up (2/26), 6th up+ (0/12) 
• 3rd up horses were The Autumn Sun off a 1500m first up run and then winning the 1400m Golden Rose after winning a 1600m G1 as a 2yo in the winter, and Anamoe off a Golden Rose nose defeat. 
• 7-8 day break (0/8), 13-14-day break (9/89), 15-day break (2/35), 21-day break (2/26), 27+ day break (0/6) 
• Colts (12/142), Geldings (1/33), Fillies (0/2) 
• Tab No 1-6 (12/73), 7+ (1/104) 
• Official Handicap Ranking 1-6 (12/78), 7+ (1/99) 
• Average Prizemoney Index 1-6 (12/78), 7+ (1/99) 
• Black Type Winner or G1 placed as a 2yo (8) 
• SP $7.50 or under (10), $12 (1), $31 (1), $101 (1) 
• Lead Up – Golden Rose (4), Guineas Prelude (3), Bill Stutt (2), Stan Fox (3), George Main (1) 
• Last Start Performance 1st (6/46), 2nd (2/31), 3rd (1/27), 4th (3/24), 5th (1/12), 6th+ (0/37) 
• Last Start G1 (5/22), G2 (5/48), G3 (3/72), Other (0/35) 
• Last Start 1400 (7/113), 1500 (3/9), 1600 (3/46) 
• Last Start Rosehill (7/26), Randwick (1/4), Moonee Valley (2/40), Caulfield (3/79), Other (0/28) 
• Career Starts 1-4 (1/57), 5-7 (10/85), 8+ (2/35) 
• Career Wins 0-1 (1/72), 2+ (12/105) 
• Barriers 1-8 (10), Barriers 13-15 (3) 
• Had previously run over 1500m+ (9) 
• First Prep (0)

Above average speed expected here with Wanaruah leading Mayfair. Feroce should get the trail and Public Attention the 1×1. Private Life, Rue De Royale and Evaporate need to try and slot in midfield from out wide. Tropicus, Angel Capital, Broadsiding and Vianarra out the back.

1. Broadsiding  – High class colt with 5 wins in a row. 3 at G1 level, the past 4 all $1M races. Rates well on top but does come into this 2nd up which has never been done successfully before. 

3. Evaporate  – Has won 4 in a row including last start in the G2 Stutt Stakes.

4. Angel Capital  – Has been strong this prep winning both starts including the Guineas Prelude last start. Quality colt.

5. Mayfair  – Keeps improving each start. Was a close 3rd last start in the G1 Golden Rose.

7. Public Attention  – Had no luck at second start, then wide no cover throughout in the Guineas Prelude and running a strong 2nd. Capable of winning.

11. Private Life – Was a close 4th in the Guineas Prelude. Can measure up.

1. Broadsiding
4. Angel Capital
7. Public Attention
5. Mayfair

Units Outlayed: 325.2
Units Returned: 336.6
Profit On Turnover: 3.5%

BIG WINNERS (Betfair SP)

• 2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)
• 2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment ($28.26)
• 2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23.00)
• 2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)
• 2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)
• 2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18.00)
• 2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15.00)