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EXPERT RACING TIPS: MT GAMBIER

Best Bets

Lachlan Mosley

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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LAY: 5. Crackle N Burn (WIN) for 1 unit

Niccolite will find this much easier than recent racing after tackling the Wangoom Hcp and then a strong but small field at Sandown when slowly away and was never a factor after that. Like the fact that the blinkers are going on here. If she can produce anything like her best she would take a power of beating. Detnaw ran really well for 0.9L 3rd behind Crackle N Burn last start. He doesn’t know how to run a bad race and has a great record at Mt Gambier. Has a 4kg swing on Crackle N Burn. Think he can turn the tables. Thunder Park is another that meets last start winner much better at the weights. Gets a huge 6kg swing today. Caught the eye late when 2.1L 7th. Draws well and is in a powerful stable. Crackle N Burn drifted in the market and saluted or us last start but cannott entertain him as a winning hope here with the above information with weight swings. Might have more upside than the rest but worried about the weight.

Best Bets

Lachlan Mosley

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

Expand Betting Strategy

LAY: 5. Crackle N Burn (WIN) for 1 unit

Niccolite will find this much easier than recent racing after tackling the Wangoom Hcp and then a strong but small field at Sandown when slowly away and was never a factor after that. Like the fact that the blinkers are going on here. If she can produce anything like her best she would take a power of beating. Detnaw ran really well for 0.9L 3rd behind Crackle N Burn last start. He doesn’t know how to run a bad race and has a great record at Mt Gambier. Has a 4kg swing on Crackle N Burn. Think he can turn the tables. Thunder Park is another that meets last start winner much better at the weights. Gets a huge 6kg swing today. Caught the eye late when 2.1L 7th. Draws well and is in a powerful stable. Crackle N Burn drifted in the market and saluted or us last start but cannott entertain him as a winning hope here with the above information with weight swings. Might have more upside than the rest but worried about the weight.

MT GAMBIER PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | WEDNESDAY JUNE 12TH 2024

RAIL: +4m TRACK: Soft 5

7. Masked Marauder
11. Little Sandy
4. They Call Me Dusty
3. The Mariner

Betting Strategy

BACK: 7. Masked Marauder (WIN) for 2 units

Thought Masked Marauder looked hard to beat after what we have seen at the jump outs to date. Gets the booking of a South East rider in Jacob Opperman and Tom Dabernig places his horses very well across the border. Watch any betting moves. Little Sandy ran well first up in a small field at Werribee for 2L 3 rd . Will be fitter for the effort. Draws well and should appreciate the extra furlong here. In a powerful Country Victorian stable. They Call Me Dusty returns from a break and ran a couple of nice placings in the debut campaign. Sure to be thereabouts in a race like this. The Mariner led and gave a great sight at price last start at Hamilton. Likes the cut out the track so any rain around will help. Looks the likely leader and could take some mowing down.

5. Shot At The Night
8. Nextone
1. Zain Prince
9.Ive Got That

Betting Strategy

No bet.

14. Stokke (4th Emerg, unlikely starter)
7. Dreamzel
9. Unlimited Ability
5. Smart Return

Betting Strategy

BACK: 14. Stokke (WIN) for 2 units

Stokke is a smarter horse than these. Was a powerful debut winner before starting favourite in a strong Sandown BM64 Fillies race. Ran 6 th of 7 but was only 1L away and the run was great. Will win these race if she can get a run (4th Emergency) Dreamzel comes off a nice MDN win here over 900m last time out when leading all the way. She’s pretty honest and will take some mowing down again. Unlimited Ability was OK first up for 2L 5 th over the 900m trip. He will be better for the run and is a 2x winner here. Trained on the track and 2 nd up form is solid enough. Smart Return draws for an economic run here. This looks much easier than recent racing and gets the South East best rider in Dom Tourneur aboard.

2. A Touch Frosty
4. Savaboo
6. Wannaschmak
3. Imposing Suspect

Betting Strategy

A Touch Frosty doesn’t know how to run a bad race. Only really warmed up late for 6 th at Murray Bridge over the 1800m so the step to 2000m could be ideal. Draws barrier one and gets 1.5kg off for Maggie Collett. Hard to beat. Savaboo was a strong winner this track/distance last time out. He’s in the powerful staying camp of Paul Pruesker and by Savabeel, if there’s any rain around it will only help. Wannaschmak has been a bit hit n miss lately but always respect Nicole Irwins horses on Country tracks. Got home late over the unsuitable 1600m trip last time out so the step up to 2050m should be advantageous. Imposing Suspect was a little bit disappointing in the Millicent Cup last start but previous form was excellent. This is clearly a drop in grade and gets a good jockey change in Jack Hill.

8. Pensley
5. Hot Rod Boy
13. Zeydana
9. Just Atomic

Betting Strategy

BACK: 8. Pensley (WIN) for 1 unit

Pensley was excellent first up from a break when 0.5L 2nd. Looked the winner but was just grabbed on the line. Potentially condition just gave out late. Will only strip fitter for the effort and is a winner 2nd up in the past. Draws well and has a good record at Mt Gambier. Ticks a few boxes. Hot Rod Boy was a deserved winner last start coming with a sweeping run to get past Pensley last time out. Meets that horse 1.5kg worse at the weights which I think will turn the tables but no doubting he will run well. Draws well and loves the track/distance. Zeydana ran 11th first up but the run was actually pretty good without much luck. Will be fitter for that and can run a bold race at a price if she can sneak into the field. Just Atomic’s best wok was late for 7th behind Hot Rod Boy and Pensley. Meets them both better off at the weights and is open to improvement. Like the booking of Dom Tourneur.

BACK: 8. Pensley (PLACE) for 1 unit

1 Niccolite
6. Detnaw
8. Thunder Park
5. Crackle N Burn

Betting Strategy

LAY: 5. Crackle N Burn (WIN) for 1 unit

Niccolite will find this much easier than recent racing after tackling the Wangoom Hcp and then a strong but small field at Sandown when slowly away and was never a factor after that. Like the fact that the blinkers are going on here. If she can produce anything like her best she would take a power of beating. Detnaw ran really well for 0.9L 3rd behind Crackle N Burn last start. He doesn’t know how to run a bad race and has a great record at Mt Gambier. Has a 4kg swing on Crackle N Burn. Think he can turn the tables. Thunder Park is another that meets last start winner much better at the weights. Gets a huge 6kg swing today. Caught the eye late when 2.1L 7th. Draws well and is in a powerful stable. Crackle N Burn drifted in the market and saluted or us last start but cannott entertain him as a winning hope here with the above information with weight swings. Might have more upside than the rest but worried about the weight.

7. Phiwane
1. Pythagoras
8. Our Ellie Rose
5. Getonit

Betting Strategy

BACK: 7. Piwhane (WIN) for 2 units

Phiwane does have some ability when right. Has had a trainer change since last start. Always starts in the market and is usually around the mark. Was a tragedy beaten by a nose only start at this track. Is only 1 win from 19 but is a better horse than that. Might kickstart his SA Racing career with a win. Phythagoras ran a narrow 2nd in teh Warrnambool carnival right up in grade n a leader bias surface. Runs since have been OK. Was 3.4L away last start but the track might have been bottomless that day. Forgive that. Our Ellie Rose always races well here on her home surface. She draws for a soft run and should appreciate getting out in distance. Getonit is forever around the mark in races in the South East. Draws poorly but should still be able to make a sweeping run from the tail.

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