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EXPERT TIPS: EPL 2023/24

MATCHDAY 24 | BEST BETS

CRYSTAL PALACE VS CHELSEA

A tough home game for Palace this one. They will be without at least four front line players and whilst Chelsea have a few of their own out injured, they are not as hard to replace as the Palace players with less depth in their squad. It should be one way traffic. Chelsea could win 13 league matches in a row against the same opponent for the first time in their history. That is some record. For Crystal Palace, it would also be a club record-extending 13th consecutive Premier League defeat against one club.

The safest play here is to just lay the draw. There has not been a draw in 26 meetings since it finished goalless in the Premier League at Stamford Bridge in March 1995. Stats can be a strange thing to assess. Palace have lost three of their past five games, yet could equal the club record of three home wins in a row. They have not kept a clean sheet for 12 league matches, the longest such run in the Premier League. Even manager Roy Hodgson can’t escape the terrible records. He has lost 16 Premier League games versus Chelsea, more than against any other club.

Here is the big issue. Half of Palace’s 26 Premier League goals this season have been scored or assisted by at least one of Eberechi Eze or Michael Olise, who are both out injured. They have won just one of the six league matches in which neither Eze nor Olise have started this season: a 2-0 win at Burnley in November. Spare a thought for Jordan Ayew. He has lost all 15 Premier League games he has played against Chelsea (for Aston Villa, Swansea and Palace), which is a competition record. Maybe Roy Hodgson should leave him out to give them a chance. Despite everything looking so dark for Palace, Chelsea are in danger of losing three league games in a row for the first time this season. They could also concede multiple goals in seven successive league away matches for the first time since 1990. They have lost five of their last six away fixtures in the Premier League.

Chelsea Head coach Mauricio Pochettino has won 12 of his 14 Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, more than
he’s won against any other opponent. This is his favourite team to play. He has also won all six Premier League games as a manager versus Roy Hodgson. Nonetheless, he’s in danger of losing three consecutive league matches as a manager for the first time since
2013 when in charge of Southampton. We can see the huge gulf between the sides in the Head to Head but let’s look at what has
happened so far this season. In 11 home games, Palace were 1/9 before beating Brentford 3-1 and then Sheffield United 3-2 in their last two home games. Chelsea have lost five of six away games. losing to Liverpool 1-4, Wolves 1-2, Everton 0-2, Manchester United 1-2 and Newcastle 1-4. They did beat Luton 3-2 but that’s hardly title winning form. In the 11 home games so far for Palace, seven saw both team score. Only five had a first half goal and nine had a second half goal. Six games went Over 2.5 goals four went Over 3.5 goals. For Chelsea away, seven of the past eight went Over 2.5 goals and the scores were 1-4, 3-2, 1-2, 0-2, 1-2, 1-4, 4-1 and 4-1.

I am more than happy to bet this one goes over as well. I will leave the both teams to score out of the equation as I don’t trust Palace enough although they really should score at least one. Due to Chelsea conceding at least twice in seven successive away games.
Chelsea really should win this with the players Palace have missing.

Betting Strategy

LAY: The Draw for 1 unit at $4.10

BACK: Over 2.5 goals for 3 units at $1.90

EPL TIPS

The English Premier League (EPL) is the number one football competition in England. It consists of the 20 best teams playing 38 home and away games with the season running from August through to May. Teams are awarded 3-points for a win, 1-point for a draw and no points for a loss with the winner of the league title being the team with the most points at the end of the season. With the best club football competition in the world fast approaching, Betfair wants to help you find a winner by providing expert English Premier League tips on the latest fixtures plus futures markets.

The EPL operates on a promotion and relegation system with the English Football League (EFL). The top-3 teams at the end of the EFL season are promoted to the EPL and the bottom-3 in the table are relegated to the EFL. The current list of teams in the EPL for the 2023/24 season are: Arsenal, Aston Villa, Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Bournemouth, Burnley, Chelsea, Crystal Palace, Everton, Fulham, Liverpool, Luton Town, Manchester City, Manchester United, Newcastle United, Nottingham Forest, Sheffield United, Tottenham Hotspur, West Ham and Wolverhampton Wanderers. Sign up to Betfair now to keep up to date with the latest EPL markets on Australia’s largest betting exchange, and follow along on the Betfair Hub for our expert EPL tips, strategies and analysis.

To ensure you capitalise on the 2023/24 EPL season, be sure to follow Betfair’s latest updated expert EPL tips across the entire season. Betfair’s analysts provide head-to-head selections, total goals picks, goal scorer tips, advice on which individual players we think will play well, game previews, analysis plus much more!

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EPL Title:

2022/23: Manchester City

2021/22 : Manchester City

2020/21: Manchester City

2019/20: Liverpool

2018/19: Manchester City

2017/18: Manchester City

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