UEFA Champions League Tips 2020/21

Our European Football Expert Daniel Garb is here to give his Champions League Tips for the 2020/21 tournament. He will preview major games in each stage of the tournament and give his expert tips along the way.

Liverpool v Real Madrid

Now let me clarify this before my tip. I’m not saying Liverpool will get through but they can win this game. There’s a two-goal buffer to overturn and Real Madrid are coming off a mentally draining El Clasico as they challenge for the La Liga title. That would have taken a bit out of them.

The Reds, in contrast, will be lifted by a late winner against Villa. Liverpool won’t have the magic potion of an Anfield Champions League crowd for this one and still seem to be missing a spark across the team but a win is a good option. Whether that’s enough to win the tie is another matter. Liverpool for me.

BACK — Liverpool at $2.06

PSG v Bayern Munich

Holding a 3-2 aggregate lead, PSG have the advantage but only a slight one and Bayern will fancy themselves to make the most of their away goals. But Robert Lewandowski is still missing with injury and that’s a monumental blow to go with the potential absence of last season’s hero from their final triumph in Kingsley Coman who limped off on the weekend. PSG will be primed for this and the value for them is just too great. They’ve been my tip all season so that price is a great one to take. PSG for me.

BACK — PSG at $3.00

Bayern Munich v Paris St-G

The big news heading into this blue ribbon fixture is the absence of Robert Lewandowski for Bayern who is irreplaceable as a finisher. PSG have been my tips all season so I’m not going to jump off them now considering that news and at this stage.

They went to the final last year, they’ll be better for the experience of that and without Lewandowski, Bayern is beatable. That being said, they’re still the reigning champions with an incredible mentality and supreme form heading into this. PSG to win the tie is the bet for me though.

BACK — PSG to qualify at $2.20

Porto v Chelsea

Porto is the outlier here as the weakest of the quarter-final teams on paper and they take on a Chelsea team coming off a shock loss against West Brom. That did come off an international break however and they just may have had one eye on this clash.

With that in mind, the value for them is probably a bit generous even being away from home. They’re simply a better team with a manager who has wonderful European experience so I like Chelsea here at the price and with a -1 handicap if you want extra value.

BACK — Chelsea at $1.81

Chelsea v Atletico Madrid

What a cracker of a second leg this promises to be. Chelsea has a 1-0 lead at home to the La Liga leaders and are in a good position to finish off the tie. Their draw with Leeds on the weekend gave the inkling that they already had one eye on this mammoth clash.

Atletico is leading the league in Spain and you’d forgive them for being focused on trying to close that out and making the domestic title the priority. You can’t rule them out here of course as they’re top class but I like Chelsea at home at a good price when you consider all of that.

BACK — Chelsea at $2.30

Real Madrid v Atalanta

It’s hard to believe the price for Real here. They hold a 1-0 lead as it stands and has returned to some pretty good form in La Liga. Their experience and credentials in the Champions League are as good as any team and they know how to win from this position, especially under Zidane. Atalanta is going well in Serie A but this is a big task for them. Take the Spanish giants at home.

BACK — Real Madrid at $2.15

Liverpool v Leipzig

The Champions League looks like being Liverpool’s saviour this season, for now anyway. They hold a 2-0 away goal lead here and should progress but the way they’re performing it’s hardly likely to be straight forward.

The clash is on neutral territory which may help Liverpool in the way of getting away from Anfield where they’ve lost six straight.

Leipzig are going well in Germany and the Reds defence is an absolute patchwork quilt at the moment so keeping the Germans out will be tough for Jurgen Klopp’s under-fire side. I like a draw here and the Reds to progress.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Draw at $3.75

PSG v Barcelona

We may have seen some crazy Champions League results in recent times but with a 4-1 lead away from home this tie is as good as over. I can’t see PSG being too adventurous and once Barca realise it’s over, their energy should fade as well with that in mind the under 2.5 goals here is very good value. Under 3.5 might be the play if you want to be a tad more conservative.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Under 2.5 Goals at $3.10

Atalanta v Real Madrid

This is a tough assignment for Zinedine Zidane’s side – away to an on fire Atalanta but the Spanish giants have been in supreme form as well. They’ve closed the gap at the top of La Liga to just three points and won four in a row in the process.

The Italians have nothing to lose here but the value for Real is just too good. Take them at that price to win the first leg and be in a strong position to emerge from the tie.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Real at $3.10

Atletico Madrid v Chelsea

This is a beauty of a match-up and one that presents plenty of value. Atletico sits top in La Liga and have been the pacesetters in Spain all season but have hit some speed bumps over the last couple of weeks and dropped points at the most inopportune time.

Chelsea in contrast has been on a great run since Thomas Tuchel took over from Lampard but this clash comes very early on in his tenure with doubts over whether he’s fully set tactically for a game of this magnitude. Atletico are Champions League masters and at home I expect them to click. A narrow first leg win for the Spaniards is the tip and I predict they’ll qualify as well.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Atletico at $2.88

BACK — Atletico to qualify at $1.95

Porto v Juventus

It’s been a weird season for Juventus who are off the pace in Serie A for the first time in what feels like decades but that might just play into their favour in the Champions League. This has been the goal for them for a while. It’s a large part of the reason for bringing in Ronaldo.

They want to win it again desperately for the first time since 1996 and they’d have been setting themselves mentally for this tie. Porto isn’t travelling that well either so the value for Juve away from home is excellent.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Juventus at $2.10.

Barcelona v PSG

This is the glamour clash of the Round of 16 as the five-time winners in Barca go up against last season’s finalists in PSG. Form wise, it’s hard to separate them. Both are on good runs, surprise surprise, but on closer inspection, Barca have struggled a bit against top-quality opponents and had some issues defensively.

The worry for PSG, as per normal, is that this is such a big step up in class from their usual opponents they might be found out. But I’m sticking with my pre-tournament tip and a side that has looked more solid all season long. And in Mauricio Pochettino they have a top-quality manager to help navigate them through this hugely difficult tie. My tip is simply for PSG to qualify, so get on before the first leg.

Betting Strategy

BACK — PSG to qualify for the next round at $2.00

Ajax v Atalanta

Another game with serious value with progression hopes on the line. Liverpool has topped this group so it’s down to this clash to see who goes through with them. Neither side is in great touch right now but Ajax is probably in slightly better nick and looked threatening against Liverpool last time out. At home as well, I’m backing them to win and go through with the Reds to the knockouts.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Ajax at $2.30

Real Madrid v Mgladbach

This group remains wide open but all eyes will be on Madrid to see if the most successful team in competition history can avoid group-stage elimination for the first time in their history. Real are struggling right now but Borussia have their battles domestically as well and with so much on the line the experience of the 13-time champions should come to the fore.

I can see them finding a way here to ensure progression but with Inter and Shakhtar still a chance to progress as well it’s going to be a crazy morning to see who makes the round of 16.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Real Madrid at $1.78

Barcelona v Juventus

The clash we’ve all been waiting for finally arrives. Messi v Ronaldo head to head. Barca have been disastrous in La Liga this season and Juve below their best in Serie A as well but they’ve both cruised in the Champions League and it’s merely the tussle for top spot that remains.

It’s a tight game to call but Barca at home with superb Champions League form – five from five this season – seems the smart play. The draw is another value option.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Barcelona at $2.12

RB Leipzig v Man Utd

It’s for sheep stations, this is. With PSG at home to Istanbul, a win for them seems guaranteed so it could well come down to the winner of this to see who goes through to the knockouts. United battered Leipzig in their last meeting but the Germans have settled since.

United have another Paul Pogba controversy to deal with following his agent’s comments that he wants out of the club but their form in the league is fantastic right now. It’s up and down in Europe though and away from home the Germans may just have too much steel for them. Tough game to call but Leipzig at home is the shrewder move for mine.

Betting Strategy

BACK — RB Leipzig at $2.44

Man United v PSG

What a game this will be. United turned the group on its head with a shock win against PSG in France in the group opener. PSG should be out to make amends here albeit against a United side on a four-game winning streak. Last season’s runners up aren’t in the best form but with the stakes raised here, I’m backing them to lift. PSG to win.

Betting Strategy

BACK — PSG at $2.48

Sevilla v Chelsea

Another cracker of a clash that will go a long way to deciding the group winners. Chelsea is on a great run but after a mammoth clash v Spurs on the weekend you start to worry about a bit of blockbuster fatigue coming into this for a squad that is still maturing. Sevilla is in great form off the back of five wins in a row so at home I like them for all three points here.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Sevilla at $2.98

Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich

A crunch game that Atletico needs to win to guarantee qualification. They’re unbeaten in their last eight games with four clean sheets in a row against Bayern side that’s already qualified and has the top spot in the group secured. With a superb form line and more to play for – Atletico is the smart tip as well as under 3.5 goals.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Atletico at $2.02

BACK — Under 3.5 Goals at $1.47

Mgladbach v Inter Milan

I did pick the Germans to be a surprise packet this season in the CL and they’ve proven that by sitting top of the group with two games remaining but they need a win here to lock things away. Inter have struggled hugely and while they’re still a chance to qualify that looks unlikely. The form and home advantage is with the Germans. Take them for the win.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Mgladbach at $3.05

Inter v Real Madrid

The clash of the gameweek in the Champions League. Two giants with similar inconsistent form lines coming into this in need for a win to ensure progression to the knockout stages. Inter more so than Real, of course, and that could be the key here.

Zidane’s side can come away from this with a draw and still be in a solid position to get out of the group. The draw here is a serious chance as a result or even Real with the +1 handicap – that looks over the odds and a smart play.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Draw at $3.90

BACK — Real Madrid +1 at $1.83

Bayern v RB Salzburg

Top v bottom in the group. The reigning champions against a minnow. Bayern will look to get the group run and won quickly and then start preparing for the knockout stages so a comfortable win here is on the cards – look for the half/full double or -2 handicap for Bayern.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Bayern HT/FT at $1.70

BACK — Bayern -2 at $2.28

PSG v RB Leipzig

What a massive match-up this is for last season’s finalists in PSG. A loss here and their chances of getting out of the group take a massive hit. They’re coming off a loss to Monaco in the league but they probably had one eye on this clash against a German side struggling for real consistency in the Bundesliga.

PSG have never lost back to back home games in the Champions League and I expect that record to stay intact. With 11 goals in their last five games, the over 3.5 goals looks a good price as well.

Betting Strategy

BACK — PSG at $1.62

BACK — Over 3.5 Goals at $2.14

Rennes v Chelsea

The only worry here for Chelsea is that they have a huge clash with Spurs on the weekend and that could be in the back of their mind.

Otherwise, they really should have too much class for a Rennes side that has lost their last three games and failed to score in all three including a 3-0 defeat to Chelsea last time they met. Lampard’s side is flying right now and should win without being troubled too much.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Chelsea at $1.61

Group A: (Bayern Munich, Atletico Madrid, Red Bull Salzburg, Lokomotiv Moscow)

The reigning champions in Bayern lead off Group A and should have no issue cruising through to the knockout stages.

Remember that team in juniors that would intimidate you during the warm-up just by looking at them? Yeh, that’s Atletico Madrid now that they’ve acquired Luis Suarez to go with Diego Costa and of course the ‘dressed in all-black-everything’ Diego Simeone on the sideline.

They’re too seasoned a team to miss the knockout stages but Red Bull Salzburg are the club that produced Erling Haaland and with more top talents coming through can’t de discounted.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Bayern and Atletico to progress. Don’t rule out RB Salzburg though.

Group B: (Real Madrid, Inter Milan, Shakhtar Donetsk, Borussia Mönchengladbach)

This group is really intriguing. Okay, you can’t really bet against Real Madrid that would be too risky but it could be open for second.

I do like Inter Milan. They’re coming off a second-place finish in Serie A and the Europa League final so they’re my tip to get through as well but Borussia Mönchengladbach is a promising outfit who share around the goals.

Watch out for Marcus Thuram upfront the son of the great Lilian! Shakthar is always tricky and have so much experience in Europe but there start to the season has been shaky.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Real and Inter to get through but Borussia and Shakhtar can’t be discounted!

Group C: (Porto, Manchester City, Olympiakos, Marseille)

Did Man City blow their golden Champions League chance under Pep last season? Quite possibly. They’ll be in the knockout stages again but that defence still looks structurally shaky when it comes to achieving glory.

The spot to emerge with them from this group is wide open though. I’m picking Porto after some handy deadline day acquisitions and an ordinary start to the season from Marseille but anything could be possible here.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Man City to top the group. Porto to get through but not with much conviction.

Group D: (Liverpool, Ajax, Atalanta, Midtjylland)

A glamour group of the Champions League and one with a Socceroo featuring! The 18/19 winners in Liverpool have shown some defensive frailties early this season but they should stabilise and get through the group without too much of a worry.

Atalanta is the tip to join them. They sit top of Serie A after three games with a scary 13 goals scored in that time. Ajax is a legendary European team but they’ve sold some of their top talents recently and suffered a tough draw here.

Midtjylland have Aussie winger Awer Mabil in their ranks which will be great to watch as he travels to Anfield etc but just gaining a point here or there will be tough for them.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Liverpool and Atalanta go through.

Group E: (Sevilla, Chelsea, Krasnodar, Rennes)

After spending big on top European talents Chelsea will be intriguing to watch in the Champions League. Teething problems, as a result, are real though and while they’ll get through this group for mine they could have a couple of slip-ups.

Sevilla should win it though. The Europa League champs are coming off a strong La Liga showing and with a top manager in Julen Lopetegui they’re ready to go up a level. They win the group from Frank Lampard’s side.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Sevilla top the group from Chelsea

Group F: (Dortmund, Zenit, Lazio, Club Brugge)

Cannot wait to watch Dortmund this season. Mainly because of Erling Haaland. This kid is unreal and will be without peer as a striker in world football pretty soon.

He’ll lead them along with some of their other top talents to the top spot in the group with Russian champions Zenit St. Petersburg and Lazio, who finished fourth last season in Italy, to fight it out for the other spot. Zenit is my tip to get it.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Dortmund to cruise with Zenit to narrowly pip Lazio for second spot.

Group G: (Juventus, Barcelona, Dynamo Kyiv, Ferencvaros)

How good will this be – the two greatest of the last 30 years Messi and Ronaldo going head to head in the same group. Juve has gone all-in trying to win a Champions League for the first time since 95/96 and this could be their last chance with CR7 on the books.

Barca have gone through all sort of turmoil in the off-season but Messi has stayed and that will be enough for a group stage but I doubt much more.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Juve to top the group from Barcelona. Easy.

Group H: (PSG, Manchester United, RB Leipzig, Istanbul Basaksehir)

Did PSG blow their chance for Champions League breakthrough by losing in the final last year? Perhaps but I actually think it will serve them well. The old lose one to win one theory. They’re set for another big run under Thomas Tuchel and should blitz the group.

So what about Man U then? They’ve had a horrible start to the season and it’s hard to see the defence improving enough to get through this group.

I’m on Leipzig who made the semi-finals last season to pip them for the second spot with the brilliant Julian Nagelsman in charge.

Betting Strategy

BACK – PSG to cruise. RB Leipzig for second spot ahead of Manchester United.

Overall Winner

It looms as another open season and the defending champions in Bayern can’t be discounted but I’m on PSG to go one better after their loss in the final last season.

They’ll be better for the experience and with Mbappe, Neymar, Di Maria and Julian Draxler up front the firepower is just scary. Juventus are another decent value pick but it’s the French giants for me.

Betting Strategy

BACK – PSG to win the Champions League at $13

current results

Total Units Staked: 38.00

Total Units Returned: 32.57

ROI: -14.29%

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