UEFA Champions League Tips 2020/21

Our European Football Expert Daniel Garb is here to give his Champions League Tips for the 2020/21 tournament. He will preview major games in each stage of the tournament and give his expert tips along the way.

Ajax v Atalanta

Another game with serious value with progression hopes on the line. Liverpool has topped this group so it’s down to this clash to see who goes through with them. Neither side is in great touch right now but Ajax is probably in slightly better nick and looked threatening against Liverpool last time out. At home as well, I’m backing them to win and go through with the Reds to the knockouts.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Ajax at $2.30

Real Madrid v Mgladbach

This group remains wide open but all eyes will be on Madrid to see if the most successful team in competition history can avoid group-stage elimination for the first time in their history. Real are struggling right now but Borussia have their battles domestically as well and with so much on the line the experience of the 13-time champions should come to the fore.

I can see them finding a way here to ensure progression but with Inter and Shakhtar still a chance to progress as well it’s going to be a crazy morning to see who makes the round of 16.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Real Madrid at $1.78

Barcelona v Juventus

The clash we’ve all been waiting for finally arrives. Messi v Ronaldo head to head. Barca have been disastrous in La Liga this season and Juve below their best in Serie A as well but they’ve both cruised in the Champions League and it’s merely the tussle for top spot that remains.

It’s a tight game to call but Barca at home with superb Champions League form – five from five this season – seems the smart play. The draw is another value option.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Barcelona at $2.12

RB Leipzig v Man Utd

It’s for sheep stations, this is. With PSG at home to Istanbul, a win for them seems guaranteed so it could well come down to the winner of this to see who goes through to the knockouts. United battered Leipzig in their last meeting but the Germans have settled since.

United have another Paul Pogba controversy to deal with following his agent’s comments that he wants out of the club but their form in the league is fantastic right now. It’s up and down in Europe though and away from home the Germans may just have too much steel for them. Tough game to call but Leipzig at home is the shrewder move for mine.

Betting Strategy

BACK — RB Leipzig at $2.44

Man United v PSG

What a game this will be. United turned the group on its head with a shock win against PSG in France in the group opener. PSG should be out to make amends here albeit against a United side on a four-game winning streak. Last season’s runners up aren’t in the best form but with the stakes raised here, I’m backing them to lift. PSG to win.

Betting Strategy

BACK — PSG at $2.48

Sevilla v Chelsea

Another cracker of a clash that will go a long way to deciding the group winners. Chelsea is on a great run but after a mammoth clash v Spurs on the weekend you start to worry about a bit of blockbuster fatigue coming into this for a squad that is still maturing. Sevilla is in great form off the back of five wins in a row so at home I like them for all three points here.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Sevilla at $2.98

Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich

A crunch game that Atletico needs to win to guarantee qualification. They’re unbeaten in their last eight games with four clean sheets in a row against Bayern side that’s already qualified and has the top spot in the group secured. With a superb form line and more to play for – Atletico is the smart tip as well as under 3.5 goals.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Atletico at $2.02

BACK — Under 3.5 Goals at $1.47

Mgladbach v Inter Milan

I did pick the Germans to be a surprise packet this season in the CL and they’ve proven that by sitting top of the group with two games remaining but they need a win here to lock things away. Inter have struggled hugely and while they’re still a chance to qualify that looks unlikely. The form and home advantage is with the Germans. Take them for the win.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Mgladbach at $3.05

Inter v Real Madrid

The clash of the gameweek in the Champions League. Two giants with similar inconsistent form lines coming into this in need for a win to ensure progression to the knockout stages. Inter more so than Real, of course, and that could be the key here.

Zidane’s side can come away from this with a draw and still be in a solid position to get out of the group. The draw here is a serious chance as a result or even Real with the +1 handicap – that looks over the odds and a smart play.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Draw at $3.90

BACK — Real Madrid +1 at $1.83

Bayern v RB Salzburg

Top v bottom in the group. The reigning champions against a minnow. Bayern will look to get the group run and won quickly and then start preparing for the knockout stages so a comfortable win here is on the cards – look for the half/full double or -2 handicap for Bayern.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Bayern HT/FT at $1.70

BACK — Bayern -2 at $2.28

PSG v RB Leipzig

What a massive match-up this is for last season’s finalists in PSG. A loss here and their chances of getting out of the group take a massive hit. They’re coming off a loss to Monaco in the league but they probably had one eye on this clash against a German side struggling for real consistency in the Bundesliga.

PSG have never lost back to back home games in the Champions League and I expect that record to stay intact. With 11 goals in their last five games, the over 3.5 goals looks a good price as well.

Betting Strategy

BACK — PSG at $1.62

BACK — Over 3.5 Goals at $2.14

Rennes v Chelsea

The only worry here for Chelsea is that they have a huge clash with Spurs on the weekend and that could be in the back of their mind.

Otherwise, they really should have too much class for a Rennes side that has lost their last three games and failed to score in all three including a 3-0 defeat to Chelsea last time they met. Lampard’s side is flying right now and should win without being troubled too much.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Chelsea at $1.61

RB Leipzig vs PSG

Undoubtedly the closest match-up of the morning. Leipzig has been horrendous lately including that 5-0 loss to United and PSG will be without the brilliance of Mbappe but I’m still backing last season’s runners up. After their surprise first-up loss to United, PSG have settled and they’re a good price away from home against a team low on confidence. Take them for the win.

Betting Strategy

BACK — PSG at $2.88

Basaksehir v Manchester Utd

United looms as a Champions League specialist side this season. Good on their day but lacking consistency. Because of their poor PL form, the price for them here is better than you’d expect and after a week of criticism, I tip a response. United with a one-goal handicap or the half-time/full-time double is a decent play here!

Betting Strategy

BACK — United HT/FT at $2.12

BACK — United -1 at $1.96

Juventus v Barcelona

No Ronaldo for the matchup with Messi. COVID strikes again and robs us for the duel we’ve all been waiting for since the Champions League groups were drawn.

The Italians are stuttering in Serie A but Barca aren’t faring much better in Spain. I feel as though Messi lifts here though and probably will do so through the Champions League despite all the off-field problems at Barca. I like the draw in this one.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Draw at $3.55

Manchester Utd v RB Leipzig

Leipzig are yet to lose this season across the Bundesliga and CL while United just cannot sustain a strong run, drawing at home to Chelsea after their stunning win away to PSG.

I’m still not convinced on United it just feels as if a slip-up is inevitable and I think it starts here against a well-drilled and confident opponent.

Betting Strategy

BACK — RB Leipzig at $3.30

Borussia Monchengladbach v Real Madrid

Get on the Germans here. They’re at home and coming off a big 3-2 win on the weekend away to Mainz following on from a 2-2 draw in the Champions League opener away to Inter. They’re simply good value at home to Real who, yes, had a big win in El Clasico but that would have taken a lot out of them mentally and prior to that they lost three in a row.

Another CL loss may seem unfathomable but Borussia seem a smart pick at their price.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Borussia Monchengladbach at $3.90

Shakhtar v Inter

What a win first up for the Ukranians over Real Madrid away from home. I reckon they go on with it here against an Inter team that is up and down right now and seemingly unsure of themselves ahead of an unenviable trip to Eastern Europe.

Shakhtar with a +0.5 or +1 handicap certainly seems overs.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Shakhtar +0.5 & +1.0 at $1.97

Bayern v Atletico

The reigning champs have a serious test here first up against an Atletico side as stingy as ever defensively. Bayern’s defence doesn’t seem fully set yet and Atletico will be eye this off as a marker to take their season up a level in the early stages.

I reckon they can but not with all three points. I like the draw.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Draw at $4.80

Ajax v Liverpool

It’s been a super start to the season for Ajax who sits second with four wins from five. But now comes a test of a different standard in Liverpool.

The Reds have been rocked by a season-ending injury to arguably the best defender in the world in Virgil Van Dijk and that could affect them hugely over the course of the season but in particular over the next few games while his replacement isn’t yet set.

Ajax win or draw is the smart bet here.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Ajax Double Chance at $2.30

PSG v Manchester United

PSG are my tip to take it all out this season and a bullish one at that. They’ve scored 16 goals in their last five games, all of them wins.

At home against a United side less than assure of themselves at the moment, to say the least, they win and win comfortably.

Betting Strategy

BACK – PSG at $1.60

Chelsea v Sevilla

Chelsea doesn’t have too many issues scoring goals at the moment but they do keeping them out. Contrast that with a Sevilla team that has only conceded twice in their last three games and is far more settled as a unit right now and I think they win away from home.

Chelsea just doesn’t seem ready for a scalp this big just yet even at Stamford Bridge.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Sevilla at $3.85

Group A: (Bayern Munich, Atletico Madrid, Red Bull Salzburg, Lokomotiv Moscow)

The reigning champions in Bayern lead off Group A and should have no issue cruising through to the knockout stages.

Remember that team in juniors that would intimidate you during the warm-up just by looking at them? Yeh, that’s Atletico Madrid now that they’ve acquired Luis Suarez to go with Diego Costa and of course the ‘dressed in all-black-everything’ Diego Simeone on the sideline.

They’re too seasoned a team to miss the knockout stages but Red Bull Salzburg are the club that produced Erling Haaland and with more top talents coming through can’t de discounted.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Bayern and Atletico to progress. Don’t rule out RB Salzburg though.

Group B: (Real Madrid, Inter Milan, Shakhtar Donetsk, Borussia Mönchengladbach)

This group is really intriguing. Okay, you can’t really bet against Real Madrid that would be too risky but it could be open for second.

I do like Inter Milan. They’re coming off a second-place finish in Serie A and the Europa League final so they’re my tip to get through as well but Borussia Mönchengladbach is a promising outfit who share around the goals.

Watch out for Marcus Thuram upfront the son of the great Lilian! Shakthar is always tricky and have so much experience in Europe but there start to the season has been shaky.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Real and Inter to get through but Borussia and Shakhtar can’t be discounted!

Group C: (Porto, Manchester City, Olympiakos, Marseille)

Did Man City blow their golden Champions League chance under Pep last season? Quite possibly. They’ll be in the knockout stages again but that defence still looks structurally shaky when it comes to achieving glory.

The spot to emerge with them from this group is wide open though. I’m picking Porto after some handy deadline day acquisitions and an ordinary start to the season from Marseille but anything could be possible here.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Man City to top the group. Porto to get through but not with much conviction.

Group D: (Liverpool, Ajax, Atalanta, Midtjylland)

A glamour group of the Champions League and one with a Socceroo featuring! The 18/19 winners in Liverpool have shown some defensive frailties early this season but they should stabilise and get through the group without too much of a worry.

Atalanta is the tip to join them. They sit top of Serie A after three games with a scary 13 goals scored in that time. Ajax is a legendary European team but they’ve sold some of their top talents recently and suffered a tough draw here.

Midtjylland have Aussie winger Awer Mabil in their ranks which will be great to watch as he travels to Anfield etc but just gaining a point here or there will be tough for them.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Liverpool and Atalanta go through.

Group E: (Sevilla, Chelsea, Krasnodar, Rennes)

After spending big on top European talents Chelsea will be intriguing to watch in the Champions League. Teething problems, as a result, are real though and while they’ll get through this group for mine they could have a couple of slip-ups.

Sevilla should win it though. The Europa League champs are coming off a strong La Liga showing and with a top manager in Julen Lopetegui they’re ready to go up a level. They win the group from Frank Lampard’s side.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Sevilla top the group from Chelsea

Group F: (Dortmund, Zenit, Lazio, Club Brugge)

Cannot wait to watch Dortmund this season. Mainly because of Erling Haaland. This kid is unreal and will be without peer as a striker in world football pretty soon.

He’ll lead them along with some of their other top talents to the top spot in the group with Russian champions Zenit St. Petersburg and Lazio, who finished fourth last season in Italy, to fight it out for the other spot. Zenit is my tip to get it.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Dortmund to cruise with Zenit to narrowly pip Lazio for second spot.

Group G: (Juventus, Barcelona, Dynamo Kyiv, Ferencvaros)

How good will this be – the two greatest of the last 30 years Messi and Ronaldo going head to head in the same group. Juve has gone all-in trying to win a Champions League for the first time since 95/96 and this could be their last chance with CR7 on the books.

Barca have gone through all sort of turmoil in the off-season but Messi has stayed and that will be enough for a group stage but I doubt much more.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Juve to top the group from Barcelona. Easy.

Group H: (PSG, Manchester United, RB Leipzig, Istanbul Basaksehir)

Did PSG blow their chance for Champions League breakthrough by losing in the final last year? Perhaps but I actually think it will serve them well. The old lose one to win one theory. They’re set for another big run under Thomas Tuchel and should blitz the group.

So what about Man U then? They’ve had a horrible start to the season and it’s hard to see the defence improving enough to get through this group.

I’m on Leipzig who made the semi-finals last season to pip them for the second spot with the brilliant Julian Nagelsman in charge.

Betting Strategy

BACK – PSG to cruise. RB Leipzig for second spot ahead of Manchester United.

Overall Winner

It looms as another open season and the defending champions in Bayern can’t be discounted but I’m on PSG to go one better after their loss in the final last season.

They’ll be better for the experience and with Mbappe, Neymar, Di Maria and Julian Draxler up front the firepower is just scary. Juventus are another decent value pick but it’s the French giants for me.

Betting Strategy

BACK – PSG to win the Champions League at $13

current results

Total Units Staked: 23.00

Total Units Returned: 13.40

ROI: -41.76%

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