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EXPERT TIPS: NRL ROUND 20

Best Bets

Nick Tedeschi

BACK: (Handicap) Canberra -11.5 for 4 units (Rated at $1.60)

The Raiders look a confident job this week against an Eels team that has clearly given up on the year. Star Dylan Brown has been left out with Jason Ryles looking to the future with a number of players being tested in the top grade. This is an awful spot for the Eels too with Parramatta 18-35 against the spread away from CommBank and 9-16 against the number when playing Top 4 teams. Canberra are 11-5 against the number off a win while they have covered nine of 12 against teams outside the Top 8. Covering seven of eight at home, the Raiders can be bet with confidence this week.

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Wests Tigers v Gold Coast

Betting Strategy

LAY: (Winner) Wests Tigers for 3 units (Rated at $1.80)

The Tigers are about as reliable as Melbourne weather so seeing them listed as such short-priced favourites is a green light to lay them. The Tigers are their shortest price of the season and can be taken on. They are 1-4 against the spread when favoured by a try or more and they have covered just three of 10 when favoured. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings against the Tigers including four of the last five at Leichhardt. Take on the Tigers.

Newcastle v New Zealand

Betting Strategy

BACK: (Handicap) Newcastle +6.5 for 3 units (Rated at $1.65)

The Knights are officially in crisis mode with coach Adam O’Brien expected to be sacked, Kalyn Ponga rumoured to be walking out on the club and star Fletcher Sharpe sidelined with a long-term injury. They are still getting a big number at home and the number looks too big. Newcastle have won four straight at home against the Warriors and covered five of seven. The Knights are 10-4 against the spread as a home underdogs while they have covered six of eight getting more than a converted try at home. Tanah Boyd is not sustainable as a starting halfback and the Warriors have covered just five of 18 when favoured by six-plus points.

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