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EXPERT TIPS: A-LEAGUE

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Tony Hargraves

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Back Newcastle for 1 unit @ $2.24

Adelaide are just so poor away from home, I can see the jets taking all three points and inflicting further pain to Adelaide’s very poor season.

Tony Hargraves

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Back Draw for 1 unit @ $4.00

Tony Hargraves

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Lay Brisbane for 2 units @ $1.90

With excellent away form, and playing at a small stadium (Ballymore) with a 6000 capacity, I can see 4th placed Macarthur getting a win here at an excellent price against an 8th placed Brisbane. I will lay Brisbane rather than back Macarthur as this way if it ends in a draw, we get the biscuits.

Tony Hargraves

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Lay Western Sydney Wanderers for 1 unit @ $2.70

Perth are unbeaten in four at home and are in decent form, and Wanderers are coming off their worst result of the season. I could back Perth but laying Wanderers keeps the draw onside and as long as both teams score, we won’t lose on the match.

Tony Hargraves

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Back both teams to score YES for 2 units @ $1.53

Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United

Two of the three worst sides in the competition clash here and with Newcastle winning just 2/9 home games, it is hard to tip them to win. They are however, above Adelaide on the ladder and only Western United sit below these two sides. Adelaide away from home are 1/8 with one draw and six losses so they are terrible away from Hindmarsh Stadium. They have lost six straight away from home.

Their only win was against (you guessed it) bottom placed Western United. If we looked at the table from a both teams to score perspective, these sides are 3rd and 4th on that ladder. In the eight away games, Adelaide have scored 10 goals and conceded 15 and are 0/20 away for clean sheets. They have only failed to score in 3/20 so this game has a very high probability of both teams to score. Adelaide average 1.75 goals per match and on average concede two goals per game.

They are averaging 3.75 total goals per game but Over 3.5 is not a great bet here. Away from home they go Over 0.5 – 100%, Over 1.5 – 75%, Over 2.5 – 50% and Over 3.5 – 38% of the time.

The both teams to score price should be $1.53 and it’s $1.42 and the Over 2.5 is $1.46 and I make it $1.75 so we can’t touch that.

Betting Strategy

Back Newcastle for 1 unit @ $2.24

Adelaide are just so poor away from home, I can see the jets taking all three points and inflicting further pain to Adelaide’s very poor season.

Wellington Phoenix v Sydney FC

A tough assignment for Sydney, facing a home side with a 6-2-1 record at home this season. When away Sydney are 4-2-4 but they have only lost one of their past five away from home. That was 4-3 to Adelaide five games back. They are unbeaten in their past four away. Wellington are unbeaten in five at home since losing 0-3 to Newcastle on December 9th.

This might be tight and 1-1 is my favoured scoreline as 71% of their home games go Over 1.5 goals but just 48% go Over 2.5 goals. Looking at the both teams to score table, Wellington are in 11th place of 12 with just 52% of games seeing both score. Sydney are 5th on that ladder with 65%.

Less than half of Wellington games go Over 2.5 (48%) and it is 65% for Sydney and that gives us a price of $1.76 for the Over and it is $1.65.

In the past nine Wellington matches, five were 0-0 at half time and four had just the one first half goal. I would look to lay the Over 2.5 or even the Over 3.5 at $2.50 looks a good bet. The only worry is Sydney when they are away attack and so they also concede more. Their past three away games ended 1-4, 1-3, and 2-2. So it’s a conundrum.

Sydney have won their past two away and Wellington have won their past two at home, and I am going with a draw in this one. Either back the draw at $4.00 or for a bit better value back 1-1 or 2-2 in the correct score market.

Betting Strategy

Back Draw for 1 unit @ $4.00

Brisbane Roar v Macarthur FC

Saturday 4.00pm

Brisbane games tend to have goals this season. Recent games have seen 2, 5, 4, 5 and 6 goals. Macarthur games are not so abundant. 3, 2, 4, 3 and 1 in their last 5. The past five Brisbane games have seen 22 goals and looking at their whole season, there is no reason that will change here.

The past eight Head to Head saw Brisbane win two, there were two draws and four wins for Macarthur. Six of the eight saw both teams score (75%) so if we can get $1.50 for both teams to score that is great value. This season Brisbane Roar has seen a total of 17/21 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That’s 81% of all matches they have played.

With Brisbane failing to score in just one home game this season, then that would be the best bet and the past 21 straight games for Brisbane has seen two or more goals.

They average 3.82 goals per game at home and Macarthur average 3.44 goals away so the Over 3.5 should be around $2.10 which is about right.

With Brisbane in average form at home, and Macarthur in excellent away form, the both teams to score looked nailed on until we see just two of the last five games for Macarthur ended with both teams scoring. They have won two of those five games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/21 games for Macarthur this season. Still, I rate the BTTS at $1.30 so if I can get $1.50 I am all over it.

Betting Strategy

Lay Brisbane for 2 units @ $1.90

With excellent away form, and playing at a small stadium (Ballymore) with a 6000 capacity, I can see 4th placed Macarthur getting a win here at an excellent price against an 8th placed Brisbane. I will lay Brisbane rather than back Macarthur as this way if it ends in a draw, we get the biscuits.

Perth Glory v Western Sydney Wanderers

These sides are two places and seven points apart on the ladder. At home Perth are 4-3-3 and away the Western Sydney Wanderers are 4-2-4. The Wanderers are coming off a 7-0 belting at the hands of Melbourne City and have won just one of their past seven matches. Their past three games have see seven goals, four goals and five goals. They have conceded 14 times in three games and their keeper must get anxiety every time the ball enters his half of the field.

Perth are not doing a whole lot better, with just three wins in their past 11, so I can’t confidently predict a winner. If you twisted my arm, I would have to back Perth, but I think we can find better value in the goals department. If you look at the past three for Perth, we see 4,1,0 goals, but the three before that were 5,6,6 so this game might be the one to see the goals flowing again.

Head to Head past 12 meetings, Perth are 7-1-4 so it looks like we need to back Perth or lay the draw. After seeing City batter them 7-0 last week, I can’t see Wanderers winning in Perth.

Looking at historical stats between the sides, in all 34 meetings, 76% went Over 1.5 , 47% went Over 2.5 and 24% went Over 3.5 goals. They are probably pretty useless as they go back 10 years or so and are not relevant to these teams or current form. Sometimes stats do really stand the test of time though.

The market has both sides level at $2.60 and the draw at $4.20 so I am going to lay the Wanderers after that beating and I have the Over 2.5 at even money and it is $1.50 so atrocious value and would have to be a lay. I can see both teams scoring, although I picked that for us last week with the Wanderers and they got cooked 7-0. This time they should score.

Betting Strategy

Lay Western Sydney Wanderers for 1 unit @ $2.70

Perth are unbeaten in four at home and are in decent form, and Wanderers are coming off their worst result of the season. I could back Perth but laying Wanderers keeps the draw onside and as long as both teams score, we won’t lose on the match.

Back both teams to score YES for 2 units @ $1.53

A-League 2024

The A League is Australia’s premier Men’s football competition, running since 2005. In recent seasons the competition has expanded to 12 teams with Western United winning the premiership last season in just their third year in the competition.

Betfair is the only betting agency to follow for the best and most accurate information and data, including A League tips, on the A League competition. As Australia’s largest betting exchange, Betfair is the leader when it comes to offering punters statistical analysis and observations that can help identify value-for-money considerations, including A League tips, historical data and the best back and lay bets for various categories in each game.

The first edition of the A League competition, which is run by the FFA, was played in the 2005-06 summer. Seven of the original teams remain in the competition: Melbourne Victory, Adelaide United, Brisbane Roar, Sydney FC, Newcastle Jets, Central Coast Mariners and Perth Glory. In the years since they’ve been joined by Melbourne City (formerly Melbourne Heart), Western United, Wellington Phoenix, Macarthur FC and the Western Sydney Wanderers.

Eight different teams have won the competition in the 17 year history, with Sydney FC claiming the most titles with five, ahead of Melbourne Victory with four and the Brisbane Roar who won the competition three times in four seasons from 2011-2014. Several of the competition’s biggest names recently took part in Australia’s bold 2022 World Cup campaign.

Betfair’s A League offerings are extensive and include A League tips for every game. Our data experts will provide detailed previews of each contest, including how history can dictate outcomes, form lines ‘spotlight’ players to consider wagering on, and key betting strategies. The specialist data, including free A League betting tips, is aimed at helping punters make the correct choices to extract maximum value from their A League wagering.

On top of the A League tips it offers, Betfair provides punters with an extensive range of betting categories for each A League game. These include the standard markets around the three possible results of win, loss, draw but you can also set your own Under/Over score line, half time/full time doubles, correct match scores, clean sheets, winning margins, individual team handicaps and a lot more.

A League football attracts big name local talent and a host of international imports, with the recent World Cup success casting the spotlight on the domestic competition. With the matches taking place in two countries, most capital cities and several regional centers, that interest is only likely to grow. Punters who enjoy the unpredictable nature of live sport can follow Betfair’s in-play betting options, which provide enticing value for spontaneous and unpredictable sports like football.

Critically, punters using Betfair – Australia’s largest betting exchange – can set their own odds for racing and sporting events including A League games. Make sure to stay informed about the A League and its teams and players from a betting perspective by following Betfair’s A League betting tips and full range of betting-related insights and data.

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