Expert Weekly A-League Predictions

For the upcoming A-League season, Daniel Garb will be providing his expert Premier League previews across every match week on the Betfair Hub.

‘Garby’ has worked and been involved in world football for over a decade, being pitchside for some of the biggest games in the Premier League, the Champions League and the World Cup. His analysis and knowledge of football is almost unrivalled and his insights will be available all season long.

You can follow him on Twitter here.

Go where the value is on the A-League and head to the Betfair Exchange.

Sydney v Adelaide

Another big game with fourth hosting second and while the odds are definitely overs for a very good Adelaide side I do like Sydney here. They’ve taken their game up a level in recent weeks and have only lost one of their last eight clashes – although that was to Adelaide away. The signing of Bobo has allowed Kosta Barbarouses to play in more of a free role in attack and it’s created a far more dangerous team in the front third.

The Reds are flying overall at the minute but they did have a draining clash at home against Macarthur in midweek that may have taken a bit out of them. Sydney to win for me and to cover a -1 handicap if you want some extra value.

BACK — Sydney at $1.81

Western Sydney v Brisbane

What a massive game this is for the Wanderers sitting in sixth and five points clear of a Brisbane side challenging for their finals spot but having played five more games. It’s obviously a huge game for the Roar as well but they didn’t come into the season with the expectations that this Wanderers side has on them. A loss for Western Sydney and it’s pressure time for coach Carl Robinson, that can’t be denied.

The Roar are coming off an excellent win against Macarthur away from home and it’s been three straight draws for the Wanderers, one of them away to Brisbane. I’m backing them to respond under pressure and get the job done here. Western Sydney to win.

BACK — Western Sydney at $2.70

Adelaide v Macarthur

A very even game with fourth taking on fifth but Adelaide just seem to have an extra bit of consistency about them at the moment especially at home and after Macarthur were shocked by Brisbane last week they may just be a tad unsure of exactly where they are at. A draw is a decent option here but the Reds at home always bring an extra bit of energy so that seems a smart bet at the price.

BACK —  Adelaide at $2.50

Newcastle v Perth

I’m genuinely shocked at the price for Perth here. The Glory are hardly flying but they’re a better team than the Jets, are playing for their finals chances and still have one of the best attacks in the league.

The Jets, in contrast, have lost seven in a row, have no chance of making the finals and aren’t even playing at their home ground. Perth are the smart tip here even without Diego Castro. The price is crazy generous.

BACK —  Perth at $3.05

Macarthur v Brisbane

Back to back wins has Macarthur up to third and they’re at home against a Brisbane side that hasn’t won in eight games.

Confidence will be building now for the Bulls and the price for them to claim all three points is way overs. Brisbane are under pressure to get a result but a Macarthur win is the smart play.

BACK —  Macarthur win at $2.54. 

Newcastle v Victory

The two worst teams in the league by a long way go head to head in a wooden spoon battle and on form it’s hard to separate them for just how poor they are. A loss for Newcastle would make it seven straight – an unwanted club record. Both sides are playing without belief but there’d be motivation here for a rare victory.

I think Newcastle have shown a bit more in recent weeks and playing at home, they might just end their barren run and extend Melbourne’s. The Jets to win at a decent price.

BACK —  Newcastle win at $1.82

Sydney v Perth

They were up against the worst team in the league but a 3-0 win away from home against the Victory is a nice confidence builder for a Sydney side that needs to build some momentum badly to make the finals.

They can do that against Perth who are always tricky going forward but are still so inconsistent at the back. Sydney have more firepower especially at home so I like them with a -1 handicap.

BACK —  Sydney -1 at $2.56

Western Sydney v Central Coast

This is a high-pressure game for the Wanderers. They’re starting to look over their shoulder a touch at the teams closing in on their finals spot and a loss here would make life very nervy for them.

The top-of-the-table Mariners are serious value at the price considering their recent form and they can go five points clear at the top with a win, presenting a huge opportunity for them.

It’s such an even game considering everything so I like the draw.

BACK — Draw at $3.95

Perth v Newcastle

A double your money option for the Glory at home to the battling Jets is very good value. Perth are coming off a draw with Sydney, albeit one in which they rode their luck but again proved their quality in attack. Their defence is poor but Newcastle aren’t likely to test that too much off the back of four losses in a row.

The Jets aren’t near it at the minute and while they might come out with some emotional fire about them early in this one it’s hard to see them withstanding Glory’s quality in attack. Perth to win.

BACK — Perth at $2.18

Adelaide v Sydney

Like last week in their win over Newcastle it’s hard to fathom the price for Adelaide here. They’ve won five in a row now and are up against a Sydney team battling for confidence and coming off a game in Perth in midweek.

You can’t right off the Sky Blues ever but the price for an Adelaide team that has verve and serious momentum about them again is just wrong. Take the win option.

BACK —  Adelaide at $3.45

Newcastle v Adelaide

I can’t understand the price for Adelaide here. They’ve won four in a row and have moved up to second and take on a Newcastle side who have lost three in a row are on a bit of a slide after a really solid start to the season. The Jets at home are a tough task but the price for Adelaide is just crazily skewed.

The win/draw option here is an obvious play considering the form of the two sides and the price on offer.

LAY — Newcastle at 2.20

Sydney v Melbourne Victory 

The old Big Blue and a game with a huge storyline as the Victory try and lessen the depths of their current crisis. Doing so against a Sydney team that has settled nicely now after back to back wins when Melbourne have lost three in a row themselves won’t be easy though.

I don’t see how they get close in this one as the Sky Blues will be hellbent on increasing the pain their rivals are suffering. Sydney with the -1 handicap is a smart play here.

BACK —  Sydney -1

The Movers

Haven’t Western Sydney Wanderers shown some fight in the off-season? A bit of Tony Popovic era arrogance that’s been sorely missing for several years. Poaching players on the eve of the season, poaching a manager from another club.

They’re the Atletico Madrid of the A-League. We’ll do it our way and we don’t care what anyone says. For a few seasons, they lost their way but they seem to have it back now. They’ve recruited strongly through Graham Dorrans, James Troisi and Bernie Ibini and Carl Robinson has proven he’s a quality manager. Now they have to deliver on the park. I’m tipping they do.

The Melbourne Victory are the other big club that needed a drastic overhaul and they’ve done so. New boss Grant Brebner is in the most pressurising post in the competition but in former Aston Villa striker Rudy Gestede, former Wigan winger Callum McManaman, former Stoke defender Ryan Shotton and Jacon Butterfield he’s brought in some quality. They’ve flexed their financial muscle while others couldn’t during COVID times and that should lead to a change in fortunes. They’ll be right back up there.

Macarthur Bulls are the new boys in the comp and there’s good reason to be excited about them. Firstly, we have 12 teams so no byes, you beauty. But they’ve compiled a pretty strong squad led by former Socceroos captain in Mark Milligan there’s former Premier League keeper Adam Federici, former Blackburn striker Matt Derbyshire and the likes of Socceroos Ivan Franjic, Tommy Oar and James Meredith. Ante Milicic has fantastic experience as a manager and now he gets to run his own club week in, week out. They’re a huge finals chance at the first time of asking.

Holding their ground

The champions Sydney FC will be right up their again. There’s too much quality, experience and runs on the board in that squad for them not to be. But the loss of Adam Le Fondre up forward is a significant one and a void that’s yet to be replaced. On output, he’s as good an import as the competition has seen. His departure might prove the difference between a three-peat or not.

Finally, Melbourne City went from pretenders to contenders last season and made the Grand Final but they’ve lost the man that made that happen in Erick Mombaerts and have the unproven Patrick Kisnorbo replacing him. That’s the only question mark for a settled squad with the best finisher in the league in Jamie Maclaren leading the line. Andrew Nabbout is a fine acquisition to support him so expect City to be up there challenging once more.

It looked like being a huge challenge for Adelaide United to be around the finals places again after losing Riley McGree, James Troisi and Paul Izzo. And they still might battle for that but the signing of Tomi Juric has lifted spirits. The talented striker can relaunch his career and get back in the Socceroos fold with a big season and there’s enough of a positive vibe and young talent in the squad to be around the six. I think they just miss but won’t be far off.

I’m getting some Kenny Lowe era vibes from Perth Glory this season. And that’s not a knock on them. Kenny made two FFA Cup Finals and won finals games but there was always two big of a gap between their best and worst. With Fornaroli, Castro and Ikonomidis now back their attacking football can match the best but will the defensive side of their game be at a high enough level after Tony Popovic’s departure? That’s the test for new boss Richard Garcia. Around the finals mark for mine.

What a story the Wellington Phoenix were last season. Predicted wooden spooners to third placed finishers. The football they play is so attractive and they have enough of those contributors still at the club but the losses of left back sensation Libby Cacace, Steven Taylor and Gary Hooper are significant. Israeli striker Tomer Hemed needs to fire. If he does they can make finals again. The other big factor is permanent hub life in NSW – that can go either way for them.

The next best story last after the Phoenix was Western United. Finalists in their first season and playing some brilliant football to go with it. Alessandro Diamanti and Max Burgess were the most watchable duo in the league last season and they’re back together again while Spaniard Victor Sanchez will provide some steel in the middle of the park. The only knock on them is their ground situation with AAMI Park now being used as well. How do they gain local support with that approach? That’s a worry but on-field they’ll remain strong.

The Sliders

The Newcastle Jets are a club in crisis. No owner, no coach, players leaving and others wanting out. It’s not going to be an enjoyable season for them but there’s still enough of a core to make them hard to beat. Boogaard, Topor-Stanley, O’Donovan, Kantarovski, Ugarkovic (even though he wants to leave) know each other’s games so well. They’ll lose more than they win but perhaps not in landslides.

It’s hard to get a read on the Brisbane Roar. They finished fourth last season and their departures haven’t been significant (although Brad Inman scored some crucial goals) but they just don’t seem to have enough depth to be up there again. With the likes of Victory, Wanderers and Macarthur expected to challenge this season I reckon they get squeezed out. A big challenge for new permanent boss Warren Moon.

Same again for the Central Coast Mariners you feel. Another season down the bottom, another season becoming less relevant. It’s a shame. The signing of Costa Rican great Marco Urena may help matters but it’s hard to see anything but another season in the bottom three. Hope I’m wrong and that Alen Stajic can do a masterful job and get them up around the top six.

Final Ladder

  1. WSW
  2. Melbourne Victory
  3. Sydney FC
  4. Melbourne City
  5. Macarthur
  6. Western United
  7. Wellington Phoenix
  8. Perth Glory
  9. Adelaide United
  10. Brisbane Roar
  11. Newcastle Jets
  12. Central Coast Mariners

BACK – WSW to win the A-League at $17

BACK – Jamie Maclaren (Melbourne City) to win the Golden Boot

BACK – Rudy Gestede (Melbourne Victory) to win the Jonny Warren Medal

Current Results

All bets are 1 unit.

Total Units Staked: 48.00

Total Units Returned: 41.75

ROI: -13.02%

Related Articles

Your Expert EPL Tips: 2020/21 Season

Daniel Garb provides his best EPL Tips, every week of the Premier League season.

UEFA Champions League Tips 2020/21

Daniel Garb provides his Champions League Tips for the 2020/21 UEFA Champions League competition

EPL Predictions Model

Betfair’s internal team of Data Scientists have created an EPL Predictions Model. The EPL model automatically pulls data dating back ...