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GOLF MODEL TIPS: AUSTRALIAN PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2025

GOLF MODEL TIPS: AUSTRALIAN PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2025 | GOLF

Last Weeks Event

Our man Rico/Richard posted a white hot opening round on a Plantation track that turned about to be an absolute pushover. He couldn’t go on with it and while Si Woo teased again, we were never really in the hunt. Still there was a decent profit to be had if trading the R-man after the first round concluded.

This Week’s Event

The 2025 BMW Australian PGA Championship returns to Royal Queensland Golf Club in Brisbane to open the Australian summer of golf and the new DP World Tour season, with a strong home contingent and several international names chasing early Race to Dubai points and a prestigious national title.

The event has attracted a decent international contingent, lead by LIV star Jaoquin Niemann and ably supported by up and coming Euro players Penge and Neegard-Peterson. Min woo will lead the Aussie charge however veterans Scott and Leishman always bring their absolute best when playing on home shores.

It’s a sad state of affairs when I’ve mentioned all those names before an Aussie player who looked primed to push for world number 1 before jumping ship to LIV and completely losing his way. I’m talking about Cam Smith who parlayed a maiden Major championship win into a big money contract playing for the Saudis. Other than winning this event back in 2022 and finishing runner up in 2024, he’s done basically nothing since. Still, like his more seasoned compatriots he seems to bring a bit extra when playing in front of home fans.

Eight previous winners will be suiting up to take on the 7,430 yard par 71 with the tees having been moved way back from where the regulars tee up. Fairways are wide however strategically placed bunkers and contouring lean in on landing areas. Bunkers are often placed forcing players to either side of the fairway for a sub optimal look at the green unless players are willing to flirt with them for a better angle. While rough isn’t as thick and lustrous as the immaculate and better watered US tracks, native areas and waste zones play the same role and will punish errant efforts off the tee.

Greens are on the larger sized and feature a modern multi-tiered setup along with nasty runoffs if players can’t control their spin on approach. There’s been a fair bit of rain around Brisbane which should make them a little more receptive.

Weather is looking absolutely steamy and might trouble some of the Europeans not used to such balmy conditions. The locals should have no issues.

Betting Markets

With no competing top flight events elsewhere in the world, this one should have all the punter interest and volumes have been steady so far. The first players will tee off at sparrow’s fart tomorrow so make sure you get your plays on tonight.

The market can barely split Min Woo and Niemann, with the import just holding onto favouritsm after being backed in strongly in early trade. The next rung back are the two other big name Euro players in Penge and Neergaard-Peterson who the model thinks should be pushing to be favourites. The rest of the top names are all under the odds so these two plus a veteran long shot will make up this week’s plays.

GOLF MODEL TIPS: AUSTRALIAN PGA CHAMPIONSHIP 2025

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