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Joel Williams

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Betting Strategy

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Lions +15.5 – 2.25 units – take to +13.5

The Lions and Dees meet at the G to open up the Round and it will be a great chance to measure what is real and what hasn’t been in the early rounds. There is no doubt the Lions haven’t been at their best but a win can change a lot in footy and the Dees come back from Adelaide with 2 road wins but how much can we take out of it?

Gold Coast vs Geelong

We like the defences to control this game with a stack of fire power missing from both sides of the ball. The Cats will be without Hawkins and Cameron making them change the way they play and potentially enter the F50 in a more defensive style whist the Suns will also be without Walter who has been super impressive to start off his AFL career.

The conditions will play a part up in Darwin as they generally do and we do expect the Cats who are likely to struggle with these further, to control the game pace as they have some of  the best coaching in the league.

Both defensive units are solid and both sides bring a ridiculous amount of tackling / pressure to the opposition sides which will likely result in a scrape ground level style of match as the clock continues to run.

Backing the under here in Thursday Night Footy.


Betting Strategy

Under 163.5 – 2 Units (Can Take To 160.5, reduce to 1.5 units)

Both defensive units are solid and both sides bring a ridiculous amount of tackling / pressure to the opposition sides which will likely result in a scrape ground level style of match as the clock continues to run.


Welcome to Betfair’s AFL Betting Strategies page! If you’re looking to improve your AFL betting strategy, you’ve come to the right place. We’ll provide you with expert tips and insights to help you increase your wagering IQ.

When it comes to betting on the footy, having a solid betting system in place is essential. A good AFL betting strategy can help you make informed decisions about which markets to bet on, when to place your bets, and how much to wager.

At Betfair, we understand that punters want to have the best possible experience when betting on their favorite sports. The Betfair Exchange is a unique platform that allows you to bet against other punters, rather than against the bookmaker.

One of the reasons why punters consider Betfair to be the best company to wager with is the fact that we offer some of the most competitive odds in the industry. Because you’re betting against other punters, you can often find better prices on the Betfair Exchange than you would on a traditional bookmaker’s website or mobile app.

Another benefit of the Betfair Exchange is that you have more control over your bets. You can set your own odds and stake, which means that you can tailor your bets to suit your own betting style. You can also choose to back or lay a selection, which gives you more flexibility than you would have with a traditional corporate bookmaker.

So, what AFL markets can you bet into on the Betfair Exchange? We offer a wide range of markets, including match odds, handicap betting, over/under betting, and more. You can also bet in-play on AFL matches, which means that you can take advantage of changing odds and make quick decisions based on the action on the field.

Now, let’s talk about some AFL betting strategies that you can use to improve your chances of winning. The first thing to keep in mind is that research is key. Before placing a bet, you should do your homework and look at factors like recent form, injuries, and head-to-head records.

Another strategy that can be effective is to focus on specific markets. For example, if you’re particularly knowledgeable about a certain team or player, you might want to focus on betting on them in the first goalscorer market, or in the handicap betting market.

One strategy that is popular among AFL punters is to look for value bets. This means finding bets that have higher odds than you think they should. For example, if you believe that a team has a better chance of winning than the odds suggest, you might want to place a bet on them.

Finally, it’s important to manage your bankroll effectively. This means setting a budget for how much you’re willing to bet, and sticking to it. It’s also a good idea to keep track of your bets and analyze your results over time, so that you can identify any areas where you might need to adjust your strategy.

At Betfair, we have a team of expert AFL analysts who are here to provide you with the latest insights and tips to help you improve your AFL betting. On this page, we offer a range of differing AFL betting strategies on a range of different AFL Exchange markets, as well as offering a range of educational resources, including articles and videos, on other pages on the Hub, like AFL Expert Tips, AFL Brownlow Predictor, AFL Ladder Predictor & AFL Trade Talk, to help you stay up-to-date with the latest trends and developments in AFL betting.

In conclusion, if you’re looking to improve your AFL betting strategy, the Betfair Exchange is the perfect platform to do so. With competitive odds, a wide range of markets, and the ability to bet against other punters, it’s no wonder that so many AFL fans choose Betfair as their preferred betting company. So why not sign up today and start putting your AFL betting strategy to the test?

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