Skip to content




Back: Brisbane Lions Premiership

$6 current market price

We’re taking the Lions here in what many believe is one of the more open Premiership races in recent memory. As we approach the final two rounds of the season there are big queries around the other 3 sides in the Top 4 at the wrong time of year. The Lions are the only team that rank Top 3 in both defense and attack on the year. They are the #1 ranked side when bringing all metrics together for all teams, both currently and for the season, yet we’re getting $6 backing them as the 3rd / 4th team in the market right now.

The favourite Magpies are experiencing health issues now after having a great run all year – unfortunately for them it’s at the one time you can’t afford it, and to many of their very best, irreplaceable players. We expect them to gain some of these throughout the finals series, but in a tight race any percentage off their best plays a factor, and continuity is important leading into finals football.

I’m bullish on the Demons chances – they could pinch a first final, particularly if they get the Pies at the G. However, they still aren’t playing their best football – they got a stack of improvement still in front of the ball and we would have liked to see that come together by now.

Port Adelaide are going well, but sit a touch behind others & are likely to have to play a first final away from home, while the Blues price is far too short to play for a team making a run from outside the Top 4, needing to win 4 tough games in a row to raise the cup.

The Lions fete is in their own hands, they’ve learnt harsh lessons interstate over past years… Including one just a few weeks ago. Better then, than now. I am bullish that this side gets the job done in Friday Night football and may not have to leave Brisbane before that final day in September.

This is the biggest opportunity for the Brisbane Lions since the early 2000’s. Put the chips in on them now, as I expect them to come into favouritism if they can get a strong win against the Pies in Friday Night football.


Welcome to Betfair’s AFL Betting Strategies page! If you’re looking to improve your AFL betting strategy, you’ve come to the right place. We’ll provide you with expert tips and insights to help you increase your wagering IQ.

When it comes to betting on the footy, having a solid betting system in place is essential. A good AFL betting strategy can help you make informed decisions about which markets to bet on, when to place your bets, and how much to wager.

At Betfair, we understand that punters want to have the best possible experience when betting on their favorite sports. The Betfair Exchange is a unique platform that allows you to bet against other punters, rather than against the bookmaker.

One of the reasons why punters consider Betfair to be the best company to wager with is the fact that we offer some of the most competitive odds in the industry. Because you’re betting against other punters, you can often find better prices on the Betfair Exchange than you would on a traditional bookmaker’s website or mobile app.

Another benefit of the Betfair Exchange is that you have more control over your bets. You can set your own odds and stake, which means that you can tailor your bets to suit your own betting style. You can also choose to back or lay a selection, which gives you more flexibility than you would have with a traditional corporate bookmaker.

So, what AFL markets can you bet into on the Betfair Exchange? We offer a wide range of markets, including match odds, handicap betting, over/under betting, and more. You can also bet in-play on AFL matches, which means that you can take advantage of changing odds and make quick decisions based on the action on the field.

Now, let’s talk about some AFL betting strategies that you can use to improve your chances of winning. The first thing to keep in mind is that research is key. Before placing a bet, you should do your homework and look at factors like recent form, injuries, and head-to-head records.

Another strategy that can be effective is to focus on specific markets. For example, if you’re particularly knowledgeable about a certain team or player, you might want to focus on betting on them in the first goalscorer market, or in the handicap betting market.

One strategy that is popular among AFL punters is to look for value bets. This means finding bets that have higher odds than you think they should. For example, if you believe that a team has a better chance of winning than the odds suggest, you might want to place a bet on them.

Finally, it’s important to manage your bankroll effectively. This means setting a budget for how much you’re willing to bet, and sticking to it. It’s also a good idea to keep track of your bets and analyze your results over time, so that you can identify any areas where you might need to adjust your strategy.

At Betfair, we have a team of expert AFL analysts who are here to provide you with the latest insights and tips to help you improve your AFL betting. On this page, we offer a range of differing AFL betting strategies on a range of different AFL Exchange markets, as well as offering a range of educational resources, including articles and videos, on other pages on the Hub, like AFL Expert Tips, AFL Brownlow Predictor, AFL Ladder Predictor & AFL Trade Talk, to help you stay up-to-date with the latest trends and developments in AFL betting.

In conclusion, if you’re looking to improve your AFL betting strategy, the Betfair Exchange is the perfect platform to do so. With competitive odds, a wide range of markets, and the ability to bet against other punters, it’s no wonder that so many AFL fans choose Betfair as their preferred betting company. So why not sign up today and start putting your AFL betting strategy to the test?

Go To Betfair App