ASCOT PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SATURDAY OCTOBER 19TH 2024
TRACK: Soft
Track will be standard soft for this time of year. Horses with dry track form can be largely ruled out.
5. Kyprios
7. Trawlerman
1. Al Nayyir
6. Sweet William
Betting Strategy
BACK: 5. Kyprios (WIN) for 5 units (Rated at $1.70)
Hoping that the shrewds try to take on Kyprios and we get a tasty price to attack around $2. Trawlerman got away with murder here last year when mugging Kyprios on the line, but with no Dettori I don’t envisage that happening.
4. Kinross
5. Mill Stream
17. Swing along
11. Vafortino
Betting Strategy
BACK: 4. Kinross (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $4.50)
There’s still plenty of zip in the old boy and the soft ground here will suit him. He was turned over at $1.01 in-running here last year when Dettori got soft on him late on. If the near side is where the action is then he’s the one to beat.
BACK: 5. Mill Stream (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $6.00)
Ran a tad flat last start so he’s been freshened for this. Already a G1 winner over this trip this season on a stiff track so this should be much more to his liking than Deauville. Soft ground should be no issue, more concerned about the draw being dead centre
11. Grateful
3. Queen Of The Pride
14. Wingspan
12. Kalpana
Betting Strategy
BACK: 11. Grateful (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)
Grateful was strong at the end of 2800m last start to land her G1 win in France. Down in trip is unlikely to suit but with the way Ascot gallops this is highly likely to be a stamina-laden affair so she goes on top, especially with the good gate.
BACK: 3. Queen Of The Pride (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)
Not sure what happened in the Yorkshire Oaks where she stopped sharply, but before that she looked a definite G1 mare. This is her chance to bounce back and hopefully the cut in the ground suits. She comfortably holds Tiffany on previous form.
3. Facteur Cheval
1. Charyn
6. Prague
7. Quddwah
Betting Strategy
BACK: 3. Facteur Cheval (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $5.00)
Given completely no chance at Royal Ascot with a mind-numbing ride in the slow lane 10L adrift of the main group. That won’t happen here and he’s a previous runner up in this race. Handles any going and potentially prefers the softer ground. Last start ran a close 3rd behind Notable Speech in what proved to be a 400m dash to the line. His best form is as good if not better than Charyn.
7. Calandagan
8. Economics
10. Los Angeles
1. Anmaat
Betting Strategy
BACK: 7. Calandagan (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.40)
What a race. The front two in the market here should have panels on the rest and I’m siding with the French gelding to make use of his experience on testing ground to have too much for Economics. He demolished all bar City Of Troy in the Juddmonte and also has a smashing win here on the round course from his Royal Ascot campaign.
5. Elnajmm
9. Mr Professor
3. Cicero’s Gift
4. Witch Hunter
Betting Strategy
Way too tough to call this one. Wary of any plunge on Mr Professor who has had a hard time finding a soft track.