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FEATURE PREVIEWS: TURNBULL STAKES

TURNBULL STAKES

Rail: 9m

Current Track Conditions: Soft 7

Predicted Track Conditions: Soft 7

Always a great race for horses on the Cups & Cox Plate paths. Has been won in recent years by some star G1 horses including Winx, Verry Elleegant, Gold Trip, Incentivise, Hartnell, Preferment, Lucia Valentina, and Green Moon.

Historical Profiling (last 12 years)

  • 1 st up (0/4), 2nd up (2/36), 3rd up (6/77), 4th up (5/40), 5 th up+ (0/13)
    Days Since Last Start 6-8 (0/15), 14-15 (7/80), 21-22 (5/61), 28-29 (1/7), 30+ (0/7)
    Barriers 1-2 (1/26), 3-9 (11/89), 10+ (1/55)
    4yo (2/39), 5yo (2/47), 6yo (7/48), 7yo (2/21), 8yo+ (0/15)
    Gelding (6/96), Horse (3/44), Mare (4/30)
    Same Jockey as Last Start No (3/87), Yes (10/83)
    Mix of weights from 53.5kg to 57.5kg. 57-58 (6/32)
    Betfair SP Favourite (6/13)
    Last Start 1600m (7/64), 1700m-1800m (1/59), 2000m (5/39), Other (0/8)
    Last Start NSW (6/27), VIC (7/136), Other (0/7)
    Chris Waller has won 5 of the last 8, and run 2nd another 4 times

Chris Waller has won 5 of the last 8, and run 2nd another 4 times.

SPEEDMAP

Average tempo expected here. Eliyass likely to try and cross from out wide to lead. Bois Dargent, Valiant King, Young Werther and Duke De Sessa on speed.
Place Du Carrousel, Knights Choice & Sharp N Smart map to get nice runs behind the speed.
Buckaroo, Warmonger, Circle Of Fire and Atishu back of midfield.
Bankers Choice, Via Sistina, Franceso Guardi and Huetor out the back.

TURNBULL STAKES | RUNNER-BY-RUNNER ANALYSIS

2. Bois Dargent – Ran 4 th in the Caulfield Cup and won the G1 Doomben Cup. Needed the run first up after racing on the strong speed. Can improve here.
3. Buckaroo – Bolted in to win the Underwood. Racing in career best form.

4. Via Sistina – Won the Winx Stakes first up, then raced flat second up. Seems to get busted when racing against Pride Of Jenni. Better suited here.
5. Warmonger – Very talented stayer who bolted in to win the QLD Derby. Hit the line strongly lat in the Makyb Diva first up. Can win here.

6. Eliyass – Has won 9 from 11 and has won last 5 starts in a row. Times were strong in latest win.
7. Atishu – Has raced 3 times over this track/distance for a G2 win, and G1 win and a G1 placing. Right in the mix.

9. Sharp N Smart – Very talented on his day but has been out of form for some time. Improved run last start. Big class rise but interesting they have brought him over here.
12. Place Du Carrousel – Failed first up but had excuses. Has the ability to improve sharply here.

DEAN EVAN’S TOP 4 SELECTIONS

7. Atishu
5. Warmonger
4. Via Sistina
6. Eliyass

Betting Strategy

BACK: 7. Atishu (WIN) for 1 unit

Has raced 3 times over this track/distance for a G2 win, and G1 win and a G1 placing. Right in the mix.

BACK: 5. Warmonger (WIN) for 1 unit

Very talented stayer who bolted in to win the QLD Derby. Hit the line strongly late in the Makybe Diva first up. Can win here.

BACK: 4. Via Sistina (WIN) for 1 unit

Won the Winx Stakes first up, then raced flat second up. Seems to get busted when racing against Pride Of Jenni. Better suited here.

RESULTS

Units Outlayed: $436.40

Units Returned: $466.80

Profit On Turnover: 7.0%

G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

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