TURNBULL STAKES
Rail: 9m
Current Track Conditions: Soft 7
Predicted Track Conditions: Soft 7
Always a great race for horses on the Cups & Cox Plate paths. Has been won in recent years by some star G1 horses including Winx, Verry Elleegant, Gold Trip, Incentivise, Hartnell, Preferment, Lucia Valentina, and Green Moon.
Historical Profiling (last 12 years)
- 1 st up (0/4), 2nd up (2/36), 3rd up (6/77), 4th up (5/40), 5 th up+ (0/13)
Days Since Last Start 6-8 (0/15), 14-15 (7/80), 21-22 (5/61), 28-29 (1/7), 30+ (0/7)
Barriers 1-2 (1/26), 3-9 (11/89), 10+ (1/55)
4yo (2/39), 5yo (2/47), 6yo (7/48), 7yo (2/21), 8yo+ (0/15)
Gelding (6/96), Horse (3/44), Mare (4/30)
Same Jockey as Last Start No (3/87), Yes (10/83)
Mix of weights from 53.5kg to 57.5kg. 57-58 (6/32)
Betfair SP Favourite (6/13)
Last Start 1600m (7/64), 1700m-1800m (1/59), 2000m (5/39), Other (0/8)
Last Start NSW (6/27), VIC (7/136), Other (0/7)
Chris Waller has won 5 of the last 8, and run 2nd another 4 times
Chris Waller has won 5 of the last 8, and run 2nd another 4 times.
SPEEDMAP
Average tempo expected here. Eliyass likely to try and cross from out wide to lead. Bois Dargent, Valiant King, Young Werther and Duke De Sessa on speed.
Place Du Carrousel, Knights Choice & Sharp N Smart map to get nice runs behind the speed.
Buckaroo, Warmonger, Circle Of Fire and Atishu back of midfield.
Bankers Choice, Via Sistina, Franceso Guardi and Huetor out the back.
TURNBULL STAKES | RUNNER-BY-RUNNER ANALYSIS
2. Bois Dargent – Ran 4 th in the Caulfield Cup and won the G1 Doomben Cup. Needed the run first up after racing on the strong speed. Can improve here.
3. Buckaroo – Bolted in to win the Underwood. Racing in career best form.
4. Via Sistina – Won the Winx Stakes first up, then raced flat second up. Seems to get busted when racing against Pride Of Jenni. Better suited here.
5. Warmonger – Very talented stayer who bolted in to win the QLD Derby. Hit the line strongly lat in the Makyb Diva first up. Can win here.
6. Eliyass – Has won 9 from 11 and has won last 5 starts in a row. Times were strong in latest win.
7. Atishu – Has raced 3 times over this track/distance for a G2 win, and G1 win and a G1 placing. Right in the mix.
9. Sharp N Smart – Very talented on his day but has been out of form for some time. Improved run last start. Big class rise but interesting they have brought him over here.
12. Place Du Carrousel – Failed first up but had excuses. Has the ability to improve sharply here.
DEAN EVAN’S TOP 4 SELECTIONS
7. Atishu
5. Warmonger
4. Via Sistina
6. Eliyass
Betting Strategy
BACK: 7. Atishu (WIN) for 1 unit
Has raced 3 times over this track/distance for a G2 win, and G1 win and a G1 placing. Right in the mix.
BACK: 5. Warmonger (WIN) for 1 unit
Very talented stayer who bolted in to win the QLD Derby. Hit the line strongly late in the Makybe Diva first up. Can win here.
BACK: 4. Via Sistina (WIN) for 1 unit
Won the Winx Stakes first up, then raced flat second up. Seems to get busted when racing against Pride Of Jenni. Better suited here.
Betting Strategy
BACK: 7. Atishu (WIN) for 1 unit
Has raced 3 times over this track/distance for a G2 win, and G1 win and a G1 placing. Right in the mix.
BACK: 5. Warmonger (WIN) for 1 unit
Very talented stayer who bolted in to win the QLD Derby. Hit the line strongly late in the Makybe Diva first up. Can win here.
BACK: 4. Via Sistina (WIN) for 1 unit
Won the Winx Stakes first up, then raced flat second up. Seems to get busted when racing against Pride Of Jenni. Better suited here.
Turnbull Stakes Tips – Expert Predictions & Best Bets
The Turnbull Stakes is a key feature in the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival and a major lead-up race to the prestigious Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup. Held at Flemington Racecourse over 2000 metres, this Group 1 event attracts some of Australia’s best middle-distance gallopers. For punters seeking reliable Turnbull Stakes tips, our expert predictions provide the edge needed to place smarter bets.
With a rich history and a high-class field each year, the Turnbull Stakes often serves as a true form guide for the rest of the spring. Whether you’re a casual punter or a seasoned racing enthusiast, getting top-quality racing tips ahead of this iconic race can significantly boost your betting success. Our team of experts craft their tips using in-depth form analysis, speed maps, sectional data, and recent performance trends. We study the prep runs, jockey changes, barrier draws, and track conditions to deliver predictions with real substance behind them.
Look for horses that have already proven themselves at the 2000m distance, especially those coming out of strong performances in the Makybe Diva Stakes or Naturalism Stakes. Flemington’s spacious track also suits strong finishers, so we give preference to runners with a proven turn of foot in the final furlong. Each year, we publish a complete breakdown of the field along with our Turnbull Stakes predictions and best bets. Whether you’re looking for a short-priced favourite worth laying or a value runner to include in your exotics, we offer something for every betting strategy.
Betting on the Turnbull Stakes isn’t just about picking a winner—it’s about understanding the race shape, the tempo, and how different horses are likely to handle the track conditions on the day. We aim to educate punters by combining expert tips with a disciplined staking plan to make the most of their investment. We recommend reviewing the Betfair market early in the week, particularly the favourites but keeping an eye on late market moves that could signal stable confidence or a change in tactics. Our expert team lives and breathes horse racing. With decades of combined experience, we understand what it takes to deliver quality racing tips that give punters the edge. From barrier trials to track reports, we leave no stone unturned in our quest to help you back a winner in the Turnbull Stakes.
Stay tuned to this page each spring for our full suite of Turnbull Stakes tips, predictions, and best bets—your one-stop guide to betting smarter on one of Australia’s premier Group 1 races. Or if you’d like more Flemington tips throughout the year, visit our Flemington Expert Tips page on the Betfair Hub, and use our tips to help your punting decisions on the Betfair Exchange.
RESULTS
Units Outlayed: $436.40
Units Returned: $466.80
Profit On Turnover: 7.0%
G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24
For Flemington tips throughout the year, visit our exper