FEATURE PREVIEWS: TOORAK HANDICAP

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1600m | Type: G1 Handicap | Rail Position: True | Current Track Condition: Good 4 | Predicted Track Condition: Soft 5 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000

Thunderstorms predicted for Thursday, with some potential small showers on Friday & Saturday. Should create a fair track giving every horse its chance.

Recent winners have included Trust In A Gust, Lucky Hussler, Land Of Plenty, Fierce Impact and I’m Thunderstruck.

• Six winners came off a 14 daybreak, whilst five winners were off a 21 day break.
• One winner was second-up, six winners were third-up, two winners were fourth-up, one winner was fifth-up, and one winner was sixth-up.
• Can win from any barrier with five winners drawn 1-4 and five winners having drawn 11-18.
• Eight of the last 11 editions have been run at a very fast pace. This has resulted in back markers featuring heavily in the winner’s circle with the last seven winners settling between 6th and 15th.
• 4–7 year-olds have won the last 11 editions, and only one mare has even run a place in the last nine years from 22 runners.
• 52kg-56kg (five winners from 142 runners), 56.5kg-59kg (six winners from 37 runners) – 105+ Hcp Rating.

They usually go quick in this race historically, and the speed looks fast again.

Pride Of Jenni looks to lead comfortably.

See You In Heaven, Corner Pocket, Here To Shock, Ironclad and Savannah Cloud all forward of midfield.

Amelia’s Jewel and Pounding look to possie up midfield.

Attrition, Pinstriped, Beltoro, The Inevitable back of midfield.

Banker’s Choice, Antino, Amenable & Charterhouse out the back.

2. The Inevitable – Absolutely flying. Very strange run and ride in the Epsom but flew home late with excellent late sectionals. Same jockey here.

3. Amelia’s Jewel – Superstar mare. On talent and ratings is clearly the horse to beat. Mares have an ordinary record in this race.

4. Pinstriped – 2nd to Mr Brightside first up then won the John Feehan second up. Ran 6th beaten 2.8L in this race last year and jumps 4kg this year. Racing in peak form but off a 35 day break here.

6. Antino – Has won 9 from 11 and was strong winning at G3 level last start. Profiles nicely here as the key danger to the favourite.

14. Here To Shock – Racing consistently well and maps solidly here. In the mix.

15. Amenable – Has been crying out for a mile or further after 3 1400m runs. Can to rate a winning chance on his Memsie run two starts back.

16. Charterhouse – Import who ran a strong 2nd in the Winter Championship last prep. Solid first up then missed a run last week due to the wide gate. Does get a soft draw here but gets a long way back.

1. 3 – Amelia’s Jewel
2. 6 – Antino
3. 15 – Amenable
4. 14 – Here To Shock
5. 2 – The Inevitable

Antino could be the one to knock her off. Consistent, wants the mile and will be peaking here.

Can’t discount Amenable based on his Memsie run.

Amelia’s Jewel undoubtedly the horse to beat. But mares have a poor record in this race. Save on her.

BACK 6 – Antino 1.0w

BACK 15 – Amenable 0.5w

BACK 3 – Amelia’s Jewel 1.0w

Units Outlayed: 439.4

Units Returned: 466.8

Profit On Turnover: 6.2%

BIG WINNERS (BETFAIR STARTING PRICE)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel ($53.63)

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)

2020 Melbourne Cup:Twilight Payment ($28.26)

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23)

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)

2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18)

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15)