THE NUMBER CRUNCH: RACING AND SPORT

NUMBER CRUNCH: SATURDAY

FLEMINGTON

Betting Strategy

BACK: (WIN) 10. Via Sistina

12 of last 13 winners have had more than 4 starts over the 2000m, 7 of the last 11 have drawn inside barrier 5. Strike rate of mares in this race is solid by comparison and last start Group 1 winner is a good historical pointer

BACK (PLACE) 5. Bella Nipotina for 1 unit

9 of last 12 winners finished top 2 at their previous start. and 11 of 12 finished top 2 the start before that. Bella won both.
7 of last 12 have won 10 or more times coming in.
5 of the last 7 came via the Everest.
Only query is Bella has placed 4 times at the track without a win, so place is the safer option

ROSEHILL

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) #2 Magic Time

Has gone 1/1 at the track and placed in 6/7 at the distance
Is third up and has won third up before
Drops 2.5kg from last start