FEATURE PREVIEWS: THE EVEREST
THE EVEREST OVERVIEW
TRACK: Randwick | DISTANCE: 1200m | RAIL POSITION: 3M | TRACK CONDITIONS: Good 4 | PRIZE MONEY: $20,000,000
THE EVEREST’S HISTORY (LAST 8 YEARS)
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- If we combine analysis of the TJ Smith G1 1200m at Randwick with the Everest, from the last 14 years (22 races), 1st up (0/24), 2nd up (3/66), 3rd up (14/111), 4th up (5/40), 5th up+ (0/19)
- 3yo (2/13), 4yo (0/19), 5yo (3/27), 6yo (1/20), 7yo (2/10), 8yo+ (0/6)
- Barrier 1-3 (1/24), 4-6 (4/24), 7-9 (1/24), 10-12 (2/23)
- Days since last start 7 (0/2), 14 (5/32), 21 (1/11), 28 (2/23), Other (0/27)
- 1st up (0/9), 2nd up (1/27), 3rd up (6/44), 4th up (1/13), 5th+ up (0/2)
- Career Starts 4-11 (4/27), 12-26 (1/50), 27+ (3/18)
- Pace (3/23), Handy (1/12), Midfield (4/31), Back (0/27)
- Last Start 1000 (0/9), 1100 (3/25), 1200 (4/43), 1400 (1/15)
- Gelding (6/50), Colt (1/8), Mare (0/21), Filly (0/4), Entire (0/12)
- Tab Number 1-4 (6/31), 5-11 (0/54), 12 (2/8), 13+ (0/2)
- Same Jockey Last Start No (2/46), Yes (6/49)
- Last Start Favourite No (2/57), Yes (6/38)
- Last Start Finishing Position 1-2 (6/51), 3-5 (2/31), 6+ (0/11)
- Second Last Start Finishing Position 1 (6/36), 2 (2/16), 3+ (0/43)
- Third Last Start Finishing Position 1 (6/40)
- Last Start G1 (1/28), G2 (7/62), Other (0/5)
- Second Last Start G1 (1/36), G2 (2/29), G3 (5/22), Other (0/8)
- Last Start Settling Position 1-6 (8/62), 7+ (0/33)
- Last Start Starting Price $1-$2 (6/28), $1-$4 (8/50), 5+ (0/45)
- Last Start Randwick (6/48), Rosehill (1/14), Flemington (1/10), Other (0/23)
- SR1 (4/8), SR120+ (5/23), OHR1-3 (6/24), IR1 (4/7), Win%1 (2/8), IR1 (4/8), IR1-2 (5/16), IR $3-$6 (4/11), IR $3-$11 (6/40), RVR1-2 (5/16), RVR60+ (6/35), L1-3 (5/24), W1 (3/8), LWD3-9 (4/21)
· Fillies and Mares have struggled to date, with star Bella Nipotina the sole winner and none running a place so far from 21 runners.
SPEED MAP
Quick early speed to be set by Overpass & Mazu.
Ka Ying Rising could get a nice suck run behind them, unless he is forced to sit outside the leader in the death seat.
Briasa & War Machine look to get the best runs just in behind.
Lady Shenandoah & Magic Time midfield.
Tempted, Jedibeel & Joliestar back of midfield.
Jimmysstar & Angel Capital out the back.
FINAL FIELD – KEY RUNNERS
1. Ka Ying Rising – 14 wins and 2 seconds from 16 starts in Hong Kong, including 13 wins in a row, 4 at G1 level. Highest rated sprinter in the world. Comes into this second up off a 41-day break. Ran a close 3rd in Randwick 1000m 7 Oct trial in prep for this. Deserved favourite on ratings but faces biggest career test here.
2. Briasa – 8 wins from 12 starts. Won the G1 TJ Smith Stakes last prep this track/distance. Has had an ideal prep for this running 2nd in the G2 Shorts then winning the G2 Premiere Stakes. Maps nicely and clearly looks the big danger to the favourite.
3. Overpass – Goes into this fresh up. Ran 2nd beaten a head by Briasa in the G1 TJ Smith Stakes last prep first up. Before that previous first up runs included 2 $4M/$5M Quokka wins and a G3 Sydney Stakes win in quicker time than The Everest last year.
4. Jimmysstar – G1 Oakleigh Plate & G1 All Aged Stakes winner last prep. Had 2 runs this prep and flew home for 2nd beaten 0.6L in the G2 Premiere Stakes last start running outstanding late sectionals. Maps to get a long way back but has a powerful finish.
5. War Machine – G1 Stradbroke winner last prep. Was very impressive winning the G2 Gilgai in dominant fashion with a big weight first up, which followed up an excellent jumpout.
11. Magic Time – Consistent mare who is a multiple G1 winner over 1400m. Usually close up in these sorts of races.
12. Tempted – G1 Golden Slipper placegetter who won the G2 Run To The Rose impressively first up in quick time. Ran 3rd in the G1 Golden Rose last start and Autumn Boy has since franked that form.
TOP 4 SELECTIONS
2. Briasa
12. Tempted
4. Jimmysstar
5. War Machine
SUMMARY
Ka Ying Rising is the class sprinter but happy to bet around him at the prices in his first overseas run after a pass mark trial. I would rather lay him than back him on the Betfair Exchange.
Briasa is the clear big danger and profiles perfectly for this race.
Tempted looks a big danger with a very strong profile for this race.
Jimmysstar, War Machine & Overpass are all rough chances.
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2 Briasa (WIN) for 1.5 units
Briasa is the clear big danger and profiles perfectly for this race.
Tempted looks a big danger with a very strong profile for this race.
Jimmysstar, War Machine & Overpass are all rough chances.
BACK: 12. Tempted (WIN) for 1 units
Briasa is the clear big danger and profiles perfectly for this race.
Tempted looks a big danger with a very strong profile for this race.
Jimmysstar, War Machine & Overpass are all rough chances.
BACK: 4. Jimmysstar (WIN) for 0.5 units
Briasa is the clear big danger and profiles perfectly for this race.
Tempted looks a big danger with a very strong profile for this race.
Jimmysstar, War Machine & Overpass are all rough chances.
BACK: 5. War Machine (WIN) for 0.5 units
Briasa is the clear big danger and profiles perfectly for this race.
Tempted looks a big danger with a very strong profile for this race.
Jimmysstar, War Machine & Overpass are all rough chances.
BIG WINNERS (BETFAIR STARTING PRICE)
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)
2020 Melbourne Cup:Twilight Payment ($28.26)
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23)
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)
2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18)
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15)
THE EVEREST
Billed as the world’s richest turf race, The Everest is currently worth $15 million in prizemoney and has exploded in popularity with racegoers since it was first introduced by Racing NSW in 2017, when it offered $10 million. In a new concept to Australian racing which mirrored the Pegasus World Cup in America, 12 slot holders were invited to pay a $600,000 annual entry fee to compete in The Everest, with each slotholder choosing a horse to represent them in the 1200m weight-for-age sprint contest. The Everest, which carries a first prize of $6.75 million, is run at Royal Randwick in late-October and is the feature race of the Sydney Spring Carnival. For The Everest tips from our team of leading experts, head to the Betfair Hub.
FAST FACTS
Yes Yes Yes was the first (and so far only) colt to win The Everest when he stormed home under Glen Boss in 2019. The son of Rubick, who cost $200,000 at the Magic Millions Gold Coast Yearling Sale, holds the race record with a time of 1.07.32.
Two-time winner Redzel, who claimed the inaugural edition in 2017 and defended his title under Kerrin McEvoy 12 months later, retired with career winnings of $16,444,000. That puts him third in the list of all-time Australasian prizemoney earners behind the Chris Waller-trained pair Winx and Nature Strip, who won The Everest in 2021.
Redzel was owned by the successful Triple Crown Syndications and trained by the father-son team of Peter and Paul Snowden. The same combination race Mazu, who has been signed up to run in Arrowfield Stud’s slot in the 2022 and 2023 editions of The Everest.
After an early run of bigger-priced winners of The Everest, race favourites Classique Legend and Nature Strip took the title in 2020 and 2021 respectively.
The Everest trophy weighs 27kg and features 7,777 black diamonds.
With Sydney traditionally receiving significant rainfall during spring, track conditions can play an important role in determining the winner of The Everest with Redzel revelling in the heavy going in both 2017 and 2018. Betfair’s team of tipsters closely study the form of the 12 runners and monitor the track preparation and weather forecast when they bring you their Everest best bets for each edition of the world’s richest turf race. With wagering turnover on The Everest now second only to the Melbourne Cup, it pays to visit the Betfair Hub for The Everest betting tips and previews ahead of the big race.
