EXPERT RACING TIPS: LONGFORD
LONGFORD PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | WEDNESDAY JANUARY 1ST 2025
RAIL: True | TRACK: Soft 5
Expecting an upgrade at some stage given the fine conditions. Longford has a very short straight around 200m and usually advantages those close to the speed and near the inside.
Best Bets
Steve Christie
BACK: 7. Alpine Affair (WIN) for 2 units
On a program I found pretty tough, I’ve made Alpine Affair my best of the day. He’s spent the prep getting back off slow tempos in Launceston, and his record there is particularly poor compared to this venue. Let’s hope Froggy can truck into the race at the right time and be strong late.
back
Steve Christie
BACK: 7. Alpine Affair (PLACE) for 2 units
On a program I found pretty tough, I’ve made Alpine Affair my best of the day. He’s spent the prep getting back off slow tempos in Launceston, and his record there is particularly poor compared to this venue. Let’s hope Froggy can truck into the race at the right time and be strong late.
back
3. Piping Willow
7. Miss Private
1. Alpine Trout
5. Mr Shush
Betting Strategy
BACK: 3. Piping Willow (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $1.50)
There’s little form to recommend in this race. Piping Willow recent efforts have been rock-solid. Gets his chance to break through.
4. Dynamic Warrior
7. Nightclubbing
5. In The Clouds
9. Puzzle Miss
Betting Strategy
BACK: 4. Dynamic Warrior (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $1.50)
Dynamic Warrior was strong second up over the 1200m, looks well placed out in distance, and his main threat has been scratched.
8. Araya Sunshine
4. Within Sight
7. Sir Jag
3. Kakia
Betting Strategy
BACK: 8. Araya Sunshine (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $4.20)
Araya Sunshine last run was forgivable after copping significant interference at the start. The 1400m is some query but this looks a good race for her. Notably, she gets blinkers back on.
BACK: 4. Within Sight (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $4.50 )
Within Sight hit the ground running for her new stable with back-to-back wins then was trapped wide at her latest. Draws to box seat and can bounce back.
6. Gingerson
2. Gee Gee Can Win
5. Ring Of Honour
3. Ole Ola
Betting Strategy
BACK: 6. Gingerson (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $2.60)
Gingerson is coming along nicely after more than 2 years off the scene. There was a lot of merit in his last run when a close-up third at Hobart. He sat handy to a strong speed and toughed it out well. That run should have him spot on for this.
BACK: 2. Gee Gee Can Win (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $3.50 )
Gee Gee Can Win isn’t winning but is racing well and looms as a big threat from a favourable alley.
2. Chi Mazel
6. O’reilly Mcluke
3. Vintage Diesel
1. Clifton Danseur
Betting Strategy
LAY: 8. Pinandi (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $8.50)
Cannot believe Pinandi is favourite, have to take her on at the price on offer.
3. Wheeling
2. Etosha
5. Periwinkle
4. Fear The Sting
Betting Strategy
LAY: 4. Fear The Sting (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $6.90 )
It’s only a small field but don’t like Fear The Sting drawn 6 from 6. There’s lots of speed drawn underneath her which should bring her undone.
4. Zulu Angel
6. Exalted Crown
1. Sir Simon
8. Distrustful Award
Betting Strategy
LAY: 1. Sir Simon (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.50 )
Sir Simon won this event last year but there’s more depth to this race this time around. He’s an old warrior that always gives his all but have to take him on from a price perspective.
1.237703575
2. Alpine Affair
6. Emmjay
1. Royal And Tough
3. Carneros
Betting Strategy
LAY: 3. Carneros (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $4.50)
Carneros will be suited around this tight track but cannot get him anywhere near as short as the market has him.
