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FEATURE PREVIEWS: SPRING CHAMPION STAKES

SPRING CHAMPION STAKES

Rail: +5m

Current Track Conditions: Soft 5

Predicted Track Conditions: Soft 5

Has been won by a number of high quality 3yos in recent years including It’s A Dundeel, Yankee Rose, Ace High, Shadow Hero, Sharp N Smart & Montefilia.

HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 13 YEARS)

3rd up (6/25), 4th up (1/56), 5th up (4/56), 6th+up (2/22)
7-day break (4/29), 10-day break (1/8), 14-day break (8/74), 15+day break (0/28)
Colts (7/87), Geldings (3/41), Fillies (3/14)
SP $1.90-$3.10 (7), SP $5.50.-$9.50 (4), SP $14-$16 (2)
Performance Last Start 1st (8/38), 2nd (4/25), 3rd+ (1/79)
Flight Stakes (3), Gloaming Stakes (9), Dulcify (1)
4 horses were in their first prep, 9 had raced as a 2yo
1 leader and 1 outside leader have won. All other winners have settled between 4th and 8th in the run

SPEED MAP

Below average tempo expected here. Noises should lead with El Castello in a nice trail.
Firm Agreement and Harlem Queen will push forward from out wide, with Due Calzini on the fence.
Rag Queen, Flying Argento & Duvana back of midfield.
Swiftfalcon, Henlein & Pleasure Artist out the back.

SPRING CHAMPION STAKES: KEY RUNNERS

1. El Castello – Has won all 3 starts this prep. Was strong winning the Gloaming last start which is the ideal lead up for this. Josh Parr sticking a big plus. The one to beat

2. Swiftfalcon – Won two in a row before getting a long way back in the Gloaming but running hom for 2nd with very strong sectionals. Danger

3. Henlein – Ran 2nd in the Stutt Stakes G2 then got too far back in the Gloaming but ran hom well for 6th. Strong late sectionals.

4. Firm Agreement – In first prep and was a solid 3rd in the Gloaming last start.

5. Duvana – Bolted in to win at Goulburn before 10th in the Gloaming. Joao Morira aboard. Best roughie.

8. Harlem Queen – Won 2 in a row then 2nd in the Flight Stakes. Has ability.

9. Rag Queen – Solid 4th in the Gloaming last start but had every chance.

10. Pleasure Artist – Ran home strongly for 2nd in the Dulcify last start. Is the fresh horse on the scene.

DEAN EVANS’ TOP 4 SELECTIONS

1.El Castello
2.Swiftfalcon
10.Pleasure Artist
5.Duvana

SUMMARY

El Castello looks the clear one to beat.
Swiftfalcon the main danger.
Pleasure Artist and Duvana the best roughies at odds.

SPRING CHAMPION STAKES: BETTING STRATEGIES

BACK: 1.El Castello  (WIN) for 3 units

BACK: 10.Pleasure Artist  (WIN) for 1 units

BACK: 5. Duvana  (WIN) for 1 unit

BACK: #10 Medatsu (WIN) for 0.5 units

DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 457.9

Units Returned: 469.4

Profit On Turnover: 2.5%

 

G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)

 2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

 

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