FEATURE PREVIEWS: SPRING CHAMPION STAKES
SPRING CHAMPION STAKES
Rail: True
Current Track Conditions: Good 4
Predicted Track Conditions: Good 4
Some rain forecast over Thursday/Friday but the track should race very well.
Has been won by a number of high quality 3yos in recent years including It’s A Dundeel, Yankee Rose, Ace High, Shadow Hero, Sharp N Smart & Montefilia.
HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 12 YEARS)
- 3rd up (6), 4th up (1), 5th up (3), 7th up (2) (2 of the 3rd up winners were 5th up with a 42 day break in the middle)
- 7-day break (4), 14-day break (8)
- Colts (6), Geldings (3), Fillies (3)
- SP $1.90-$3.10 (6), SP $5.50.-$9.50 (4), SP $14-$16 (2)
- Career Starts 3 (1), 4-6 (8), 8-10 (3)
- Performance Last Start 1st (8), 2nd (3), 5th (1)
- Flight Stakes (3), Gloaming Stakes (8), Dulcify (1)
- 4 horses were in their first prep, 8 had raced as a 2yo
- 1 leader and 1 outside leader have won. All other winners have settled between 4th and 8th in the run
SPEED MAP
Average tempo expected here. Raf Attack should lead.
Ganbare, Glad You Think So, Port Lockroy & Kintyre can all settle handy.
Medatsu, Cap Ferrat, Tom Kitten & Ravello back of midfield.
Long Genes, Tutta La Vitta & Ramble On out the back.
SPRING CHAMPION STAKES: KEY RUNNERS
1.Raf Attack – Led all the way to win the Gloaming. Trained by Gai and can do the same here.
2. Tom Kitten – Absolutely flying. Won the Up & Coming first up, and has flown home for close placings in the Dulcify and Gloaming since. Will eat up the 2000m. The inside gate and getting back on a softer tempo with Nash off suspended are the risks here.
3. Ganbare – Won the Dulcify before being caught wide no cover in the Gloaming in a forgive run only beaten 3.3L. Not out of it.
7. Ravello – Hasn’t had much luck in either the Dulcify and Gloaming, held up in the straight both times. Can surprise.
8. Cap Ferrat – Caught wide in the Dulcify then hit the line well for 3rd in the Gloaming. In the mix.
9. Long Genes – Ran some of the best late sectionals in the Gloaming. Bolter.
10. Medatsu – Ran 3rd beaten a head at Listen level in NZ. Ran +10.6 the last 600m when winning over 2000m at Kembla Grange. Will appreciate 2000m here again on a damp track. Best roughie.
12. Tutta La Vita – Fillies have won 3 of the past 12 editions of this race, and she hit the line well for 3rd in the Flight Stakes. Strong chance.
DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS
TOP 5 SELECTIONS (KEY RUNNERS):
2 – Tom Kitten
12 – Tutta La Vitta
10 – Medatsu
1 – Raf Attack
8 – Cap Ferrat
SUMMARY
Tom Kitten clearly the one to beat, but has a number of map issue to contend with. Have to bet around him at the odds.
Tutta La Vita, Medatsu, Raf Attack, Cap Ferrat and Ganbare all genuine chances.
SPRING CHAMPION STAKES: BETTING STRATEGIES
BACK: #12 Tutta La Vita (WIN) for 1 unit
BACK: #10 Medatsu (WIN) for 0.5 units
DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS
Units Outlayed: 457.9
Units Returned: 469.4
Profit On Turnover: 2.5%
G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24
