fbpx
Skip to content

FEATURE PREVIEWS: SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY

SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY | FEATURE RACE PREVIEW

Track: Morphettville | Distance: 2500m | Type: Group 1 3YO SW | Rail Position: +3m Entire Course | Condition: Soft 6 | Prizemoney: $502,250

At the time of publishing the track is rated a Soft 6 but with a generous forecast over the next few days it’s highly likely we will see an upgrade to a Soft 5 and potentially a Good 4.

HISTORICAL PROFILING

The South Australian Derby is a Group 1 2500m set weights race for three-year olds event. The race is run at Morphettville Racecourse. The total Prize Money is $502,000

The Derby was first run over 160 years ago all the way back in 1860. It was then known as the Thebarton Derby as it was run at Thebarton Racecourse. The race has only been in the May timeslot since 1984. Previous it was a Spring race that was run prior to the Victorian Derby.

It gained Group 1 status in 1979.

The most popular and noted winner of the race would be SUBZERO who won the race in 1992 and then went on to win the Melbourne Cup the very same year.

The race has been dominant in the past by Legendary trainer Bart Cummings who boasts 10 wins in the event.

SPEED MAP

Think the only option for SUIZURO from the outside gate is to cross and try and take up running. How hard he has to work for it remains to be seen.

Expect that CAPTIAN PLUTO will utilize gate 1 and hunt up to lead.

LOCO, AINT HE GRAND and HIGH APPROACH will all try and take a first half position.

Well-fancied PROMISES KEPT should race on speed.

Expecting SHEZ FIT to replicate her previous run where she settled right back and came with a sweeping run at the finish.

Other fancies DUNKELD and ABERFIELDIE BOY are also likely to settle right back and save themselves for one big run coming round the bend.

KEY RUNNERS

7. LOCO
3. DUNKEL
9. PROMISES KEPT
4. HIGH APPROACH
16. SHEZ FIT
5. RED SUN SENSATION
2. ABERFELDIE BOY

SUMMARY

Very good race with plenty of chances. Luck in running will play a major factor. Even though LOCO was a beaten favourite last start (albeit very narrow) The SA Derby always felt like his natural target. He’s a strong lad that just keeps finding the line. The step from 2000m to 2500m will present no issue for him being by SO YOU THINK as he looks like a genuine stayer. Damien Oliver will work his magic from Gate 11. He’s big enough and tough enough to outstay this lot.

DUNKEL put 4 wins on the trot including the Listed Tasmanian Derby over 2200m. Dropped back to 2000m in the G2 Alistair Clark Stakes and found the trip too short. Was really only working through his gears through the line. This 2500m trip suits now.

PROMISES KEPT was a dominant winner of the 2200m Bendigo St Leger trial when sat outside the lead and dropped the field at the 300m for a 3.3L victory. Looks a very strong stayer so the 2500m shouldn’t be a query. Likely to make own luck in running near the speed and should look the winner at some stage in the straight.

HIGH APPROACH got caught wide two starts back and knocked up but ran a huge 3.7L 5th in the G1 ATC Derby. That’s probably the strongest form reference for this event and getting John Allen on is a huge bonus. He just about wins every major race in Adelaide.

SHEZ FIT bring different form lines in the event when she flashed home hard in the SA Oaks to miss by a head! She has to take on the boys here but she’s ultra-consistent at G1 level and gets a couple kilo’s relief. She’s a tractable Filly who can race forward or back and still have the same effort at the finish.

RED SUN SENSATION won the traditional lead up race when came from well back to beat LOCO. She was the benefit of a speed duel up-front and swamped them late. If he can go another level again and handle the staying trip then you must include him. The Peter Moody/Luke Nolen combo re-unites and they have tasted Group 1 success together at this track with Black Caviar.

ABERFELDIE BOY has been ticking over OK for this with a win first up followed by a 3rd behind Melbourne Cup fancy WHITE MARLIN. Best work was through the line. Placed at monster odds in the Victorian Derby in November last year so the trip is no cause for concern.

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN): #7 LOCO for 1 unit
BACK (WIN): #3 DUNKEL for 1 unit
SAVE (WIN): #16 SHE’S FIT for 1 unit

Watchlist
Go To Betfair App