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FEATURE PREVIEWS: ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES

ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES

Track: Morphettville | Distance: 1200m | Type: Group 1 WFA F&M | Rail Position: +3m | Condition: Soft6 | Prizemoney: $502,250

At the time of writing the track is currently rated a Soft 6 with the chance of a downgrade with plenty of rain forecasted Friday and early Saturday.

Rail: +3m Entire Sectional 604m

The Robert Sangster Stakes is a Weight-For-Age race for Filles and Mares contested over the 1200m at Morphettville. The prize-money for the 2023 event is worth $502,000. The first Sangster Stakes was in 1983 and was run under set weight conditions until 1990 where it was changed to a WFA. The race has had plenty of name changes over time and has only recently been called the Robert Sangster stakes in 2019.

The race was a Group 3 between 1986-2003, a Group 2 in 2004 and has since been the premier Group 1 1200m race for Fillies and Mares in Australia since 2005.

Lee Freedman and Mick Price have won the race 3 times as a trainer while Damien Oliver boasts the most wins as a jockey also with three.

Some notable winners of the race are Group 1 Superstar ALINGHI in 2005, The worlds best ever sprinter BLACK CAVAIR in 2012 and SA Racings fairytale story MIRACLES OF LIFE in 2015.

In recent times the favourites have had a shocking record in the race with only one saluting since 2007 being Black Caviar at odds of $1.05

HISTORICAL PROFILING

  • First-up (3 winners), second-up (2 winners), third-up (4 winners), fifth-up (1 winner).
  • 14-day break (3 winners), 21-day break (3 winners), 28-day break (1 winner), 42-day break (1 winner), 63-to-70 day break (2 winners).
  • Settled leader (4 winners), sixth in running (2 winners), 11th-to-13th in running (4 winners)
  • Three-year-olds (2 winners), four-year-olds (4 winners), five-year-olds (3 winners), six-year-olds (1 winner)
  • Barrier 3 (1 winner), barrier 6 (3 winners), barriers 10-16 (6 winners).

SPEED MAP

The very speedy MARBI should jump from barrier 7 and get across to the lead quite comfortably with SERADESS and PASSIVE AGGRESSIVE utilizing gate 1 and 2 to sit behind MARABI. ZAPETO and ROCK N HORSE should be thereabouts. Favourite BELLA NIPOTINA should settle in the 2nd half of the field while fancied back markers SEPTEMBER RUN, RUTHLESS DAME and ESPIONA should appreciate the strong tempo up front and get a chance to swoop into things in the straight.

ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES | KEY RUNNERS

Thought RUTHLESS DAME represented some really good each way value here. Has done nothing wrong in 5 career starts and latest run before the break she didn’t have the best of luck for 4.3L 10th behind another fancy ESPIONA. Meets that horse 3kg at the weights. Has drawn wide but will be suited by the speed on and John Allen has a great record in SA at G1 level. BELLA NIPOTINA returns from Perth with a slashing 3rd in THE QUOKKA when charged late to miss in a photo finish. Wasn’t too far off Australia’s best horse in AMELIA’S JEWEL. Draws to sit just behind the speed and should have an opportunity to pounce in the straight. ESPIONA has always promised plenty and put together a deserved G1 win in the 1500m Coolmore before a 7 week freshen. Drops back to 1200m which shouldn’t be an issue and is another horse in the event that will appreciate the speed battle up front. PASSIVE AGGRESSIVE should get a soft time of things from barrier one. Will either hunt up and be joint leader or sit just behind MARABI and try and get a suck off her back. Not sure she handled the Heavy 9 in the TJ Smith but you must respect the start prior when beating home Everest winner and place-getters GIGA KICK and EDUARDO. That’s a pretty strong form line for this. SERADESS probably has the inferior form coming in from a 2.4L 4th at G3 level in the Irwin Stakes but didn’t have the best of luck in running that day. Has a brilliant record at Morphettville, draws well and could put some value in the exotics. While MARABI is a 4 time winner from 5 starts at the 1200m they have been inferior events to this. Think the horse will lead but be vulnerable late.

TOP 5 SELECTIONS

13. RUTHLESS DAME
1, BELLA NIPOTINA
7. ESPINONA
6. PASSIVE AGGRESSIVE
10. SERADESS

ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES | BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN) RUTHLESS DAME for 1 unit
BACK (WIN) ESPIONA for 1 unit
SAVE (WIN) BELLA NIPOTINA for 1 unit
BACK (WIN) SERADESS for 0.5 units

RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 301.4
Units Returned: 322.4
Profit On Turnover: 7.0%

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