FEATURE PREVIEWS: NEWMARKET HANDICAP

Track: Flemington | Distance: 1200m | Race Type: Group 1 Open Handicap | Rail Position: +4m | Current Track Conditions: Good 4| Prizemoney: $1.5 mil

Quality G1 sprint won in recent years by the likes of Bivouac, Sunlight, Redkirk Warrior (2), Brazen Beau, Lankan Rupee, Hay List, Zoutori, Roch N Horse, Cylinder & In Secret.

Historical Profiling (last 13 years)

• 3yo (6/36), 4yo (1/60), 5yo (3/52), 6yo (2/31), 7yo (1/8), 8yo (0/3)
• Days Since Last Start 7-8 (0/5), 14 (5/61), 21 (6/69), 28-40 (0/21), 50+ (2/33)
• 1st up (2/35), 2nd up (7/104), 3rd up (4/28), 4th+up (0/23)
• Colt (4/23), Filly (2/9), Gelding (6/93), Entire (0/26), Mare (1/39)
• Same Jockey Last Start No (11/25), Yes (2/65)
• James Cummings (3/6) all 3yos
• Last Start Favourite No (8/157), Yes (5/33)
• Barriers 3-12 have produced 11 of the past 12 winners. Barriers 1-2 (0/26)

Jamie Melham’s expert steer got Cylinder home last year at $14.14 which was a huge result for Betfair punters. That price was a whopping 31.5% better than best tote post commission.

In Secret’s 2023 win for Dean Holland also produced a good price advantage, with the $7.34 BSP an impressive 13.9% better than best tote post commission.

But it’s 2022 that takes the cake! Roch’n’horse produced the huge boilover at a massive BSP of $140!.

The post commission price was 43.1% higher than best tote ($91). This equated to an extra $395 in the pocket for a $10 outlay.

Average speed expected and interestingly this is a race usually dominated by those on pace.
Growing Empire should lead. Ostraka and Arkansaw Kid handy.
Maharba, Rey Magnerio, Itsourtime, Sghirripa & Espionage  forward of midfield.
Benedetta, Stretan Angel & Joliestar back of midfield.
Gatsbys, Suparazi, Buenos Noches & Headwall out the back.

BENEDETTA has a very good straight track record. Inside gate doesn’t suit. BUENOS NOCHES  has an excellent straight track record, including 2nd by a nose to Giga Kick, and 2nd beaten 0.5L to Imperatriz at G1 level. First start for the Maher stable. JOLIESTAR on talent and potential deserves to be favourite. 4yos have a poor record in this race. Ticks every other box.
REY MAGNERIO ticks essentially every key historical factor desired to win this race. Goes well down the straight. This is another level for him however. GROWING EMPIRE has a very high weight for a 3yo, and is still yet to win a G1. In the mix but price looks short.
STRETAN ANGEL’S last 3 Flemington straight track runs have all been high quality, running placings beaten under 1L at G1 and G2 level.  SGHIRIPPA bolted in to win the G3 Standish this track / trip last prep. Beaten 3.6L in this race last year but more seasoned now. Can surprise.
HEADWALL was a good run beaten 2.3L in the Oakleigh Plate first up when held up in the straight. Can surprise though a strong 1200m is a query. SUPARAZI raced consistently well last prep. Not hopeless.
ESPIONAGE a talented colt who was solid first up. GATSBY’S a colt who was solid first up and only beaten 3.6L in the Coolmore in the Spring.

5. Joliestar
4. Buenos Noches
6. Rey Magnerio
11. Sghirippa

**Dean Evans monitors market fluctuations, track conditions, weather, scratchings, stewards’ notifications, and general news before submitting his betting strategies for Victorian Group 1s. Make sure you’re following Dean Evans on the Betfair App and turn on notifications to get alerted when he shares his strategies—sometimes as close as 30 minutes before a race.**

Big G1 Winners (Betfair SP Price)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00

2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

The Newmarket Handicap is one of the most prestigious horse races in Australia, held annually at Flemington Racecourse in Melbourne, Victoria. This race is a Group 1 handicap race for open class sprinters and is run over a distance of 1200 metres.

The race was first run in 1874, and since then, it has been an important fixture on the Australian racing calendar. The race was initially named after the town of Newmarket in England, where the famous Newmarket Handicap is also held. However, the Australian version was renamed the Newmarket Handicap in 1890 to avoid confusion with the English version.

Over the years, many famous horses have won the Newmarket Handicap. Some of the most notable include Black Caviar, who won the race in 2011 carrying 58 kilograms, the most weight ever carried to victory in the Newmarket Handicap. Other famous horses to have won the race include Redkirk Warrior, Sunline, Schillaci, and Shaftesbury Avenue.

Trainers and jockeys have also made their mark on the Newmarket Handicap. The late Bart Cummings is the most successful trainer in the history of the race, having won it eight times. Other successful trainers include Lee Freedman, who has won the race five times, and Gai Waterhouse, who has won it four times.

With the race attracting top-class horses, trainers, and jockeys, it is no surprise that it also attracts plenty of betting interest. Fans of horse racing who are looking to place a bet on the Newmarket Handicap have a range of options available to them, with Betfair being one of the best options.

Betfair is a betting Exchange that allows customers to bet against each other rather than against a bookmaker. This means that customers can get better odds than they would from a traditional bookmaker. Additionally, Betfair allows users to place bets on the outcome of the race or to lay bets, effectively acting as a bookmaker and betting against a particular outcome.

For those looking for Newmarket Handicap tips, predictions, and expert racing tips, Betfair is an excellent resource. The website offers a range of resources to help users make informed betting decisions, including race previews, expert analysis, and real-time odds.

To place a bet on the Newmarket Handicap with Betfair, users must first create an account. Once they have done so, they can browse the site for the latest odds on the race. Users can place a back bet, which is a bet on a particular horse to win the race, or a lay bet, which is a bet against a particular horse to win the race.

When looking for the best bets on the Newmarket Handicap, users should consider a range of factors, including the form of the horse, the jockey, the trainer, and the track conditions. Users can also consider factors such as the weight that the horse is carrying, its recent performances, and its record over the distance of the race. All of this information and more can be found on the Betfair Hub.

If you’re in the market for the most up-to-date betting advice and tips, then look no further than the Betfair Hub and Betfair Exchange to place your bets today!