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EXPERT RACING TIPS: MOONEE VALLEY

MOONEE VALLEY PREVIEW | FRIDAY THE 23RD

RAIL: True | TRACK: Good 4

Tricky, leaders may be slightly disadvantaged with a strong headwind into the home straight that will likely play havoc.

Best Bets

Jackson Oldham

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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BACK: 6. Fire Of Etna (WIN) for 3 unit(s) (Rated at: $1.5)

Hard to see Fire Of Etna getting beaten here, she was really good last start, the leader won and she gapped third by panels, just needs to hold that level to win this race.

Jackson Oldham

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

Expand Betting Strategy

LAY: 1. Mamaragan (WIN) for 1 unit(s) (Rated at: $7.5)

Mamaragan is only 2/31 in his career and one of those was nine starts ago, first-up for Nick Ryan, that is well and truly in the rearview mirror now and he is always a very low percentage play.

RACE 1 | SELECTIONS

2. Galilaeus
7. Guns Ablazing
1. Border Leicester
6. Bon Appetit

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

What a way to start proceedings, Galilaeus should win if the tempo is on and Border Leicester should run second, Bon Appeitit/Guns Ablazing are both chances if they go slow in front.

RACE 2 | SELECTIONS

2. Philospher
1. Foxicon
3. Shirshov
4. Moon And Back

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Philosopher is likely to get a slightly more polite run than he did last start and was beaten by one who is in a G1 at Caulfield on Saturday. The wind is my only concern for him.

RACE 3 | SELECTIONS

6. Fire Of Etna
2. Kind Gesture
5. Nursery Chime
4. Aperitivo

Betting Strategy

BACK: 6. Fire Of Etna (WIN) for 3 unit(s) (Rated at: $1.5)

Hard to see Fire Of Etna getting beaten here, she was really good last start, the leader won and she gapped third by panels, just needs to hold that level to win this race.

RACE 4 | SELECTIONS

10. Rise At Dawn
1. Zamborghini
4. Jupitius
9. Slane

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Rise At Dawn the most likely but no edge at the even money price, I have him marked 2.35.

RACE 5 | SELECTIONS

6. Lauding
3. Moveforlex
8. Verifier
9. Musgrave

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Lauding was one of the great tragedy’s beaten at Sandown last start, how the track is playing will have plenty to do with how I bet here, if swooping is advantaged, Lauding could be priced odds on, if it’s not then it’s advantaged Moveforlex.

RACE 6 | SELECTIONS

1. Kentucky Casanova
4. Red Phantom
2. Show Some Decorum
7. Zou Sensation

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Impossible, nothing between top and bottom in this race.

RACE 7 | SELECTIONS

4. Herman Hesse
5. Monbaher
15. One Last Kiss
12. Mystery Island

Betting Strategy

NO BET.

Another race where you can throw a blanket over them.

RACE 8 | SELECTIONS

7. I Am Caviar
4. Aminatu
9. Explosive Thinker
5. Tax Free Prophet

Betting Strategy

LAY: 1. Mamaragan (WIN) for 1 unit(s) (Rated at: $7.5)

Mamaragan is only 2/31 in his career and one of those was nine starts ago, first-up for Nick Ryan, that is well and truly in the rearview mirror now and he is always a very low percentage play.

THE VALLEY TIPS | RACECOURSE

SUMMARY

Known simply as The Valley, Moonee Valley Racing Club is the home of the Cox Plate, billed as Australasia’s weight-for-age championship. The $5 million race, which celebrated its centenary edition in 2020, became synonymous with Winx after Chris Waller’s mighty mare won it four years running. The Valley is also synonymous with night racing, having been the first club in Victoria to race under lights. Both the Group 1 Manikato Stakes and the Group 1 William Reid Stakes are run under lights. Whether it’s a day or a night meeting, our team of tipsters is adept at identifying the best Moonee Valley bets.  

FAST FACTS

  • The $200m redevelopment of The Valley is due for completion in 2026, with the racecourse due to close after the 2024 Cox Plate to facilitate construction of the new grandstand. The club’s aim is to convert the precinct into the world’s leading night racing destination.

KEY EVENTS

The W.S. Cox Plate, which was first run in 1922 with a prize purse of just £1,000, is The Valley’s showpiece occasion. Currently worth $5 million and with several champion racehorses adorning its illustrious honour roll, the Cox Plate is widely considered to be Australian racing’s truest weight-for-age test. Mighty mare Winx dominated the Cox Plate between 2015 and 2018, surpassing the feats of Kingston Town to become the first horse in history to win the race on four occasions. Winx won the 2018 Cox Plate at odds of $1.24 and was even shorter in 2017, jumping the $1.18 favourite, but Betfair’s Moonee Valley tips tend to offer punters more value!          

TRACK PROFILE

Known for its tight turns, The Valley is very much a ‘horses for courses’ type of track. The home straight of just 173 metres is the shortest straight in Australia, meaning it pays to be up on the speed (particularly in sprint races) as backmarkers rarely make up much ground. With a similar track profile to The Valley, horses trained at Mornington have a better-than-average strike rate here.  

When the rail is moved out 5m (or more), the track often favours horses drawn inside as they can dictate the pace of the race and make a winning break coming round the final turn. The Valley’s drainage system is excellent, with the track rarely rated in the Heavy range. Betfair’s experts take all the track variables into account when bringing you their Moonee Valley tips.    

HISTORY

Moonee Valley Racecourse was established in 1883 by William Samuel (W.S.) Cox, in whose honour the Cox Plate is named. In 1882, Cox purchased a farm belonging to John F. Feehan – in whose honour the Feehan Stakes is named – for the sole purpose of establishing a racetrack. With the club entirely owning the freehold land on which the racecourse sits, Moonee Valley is distinguished from other Melbourne metropolitan racecourses such as Caulfield and Flemington.  

Check out Betfair’s best bets for Moonee Valley today.

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