FEATURE PREVIEWS: MOIR STAKES
MOIR STAKES
Track: The Valley | Distance: 1000m | Type: Group 1 WFA | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000
G1 WFA sprint won in recent times by Nature Strip, Extreme Choice, She Will Reign, Coolangatta, Viddora, Pippie, Wild Ruler, Buffering & Imperatriz.
Historical Profiling: Trend from Last 9 Years (Race Run at 1000m)
- 1st up – 5 winners (132-292 day break), 2nd up – 4 winners (20 day break)
- 5kg (3), 56.5 kg (3), 52kg (1), 50kg (2)
- 5 colts have contested for 1 win and 5 fillies have contested for 2 wins
- Wide range of ages (3 to 8), genders, and barriers
- 3 leaders have won drawing 1-6. 4 swoopers have won drawing 5-9.
- Career Starts Under 18 (6), 26+ (3)
- Betfair Exchange Rank 1-3 (7), 4-5 (2)
- Race Distance Change -200 (5), 0 (4)
- Total Prizemoney Earnings $1m+ (8), $500k (1)
- Average Prizemoney Index Rank 1 (5), 3-5 (4)
- 4 leaders have won, with the other winners settling 4th, 6th, 7th, 8th, and 11th.
- 7 winners of past 9 years were a previous G1 winner over 1100m-1200m
- All 9 winners had at last G1 placed over 1100m-1200m
All 9 winners had won a G1 and/or $1M+ race over 1100m-1200m
SPEED MAP
Only an average speed here with Estriella pushing to lead over Lady Of Camelot and Chain of Lightning.
Johnny Rocker, Mornington Glory and Caballus can all settle handy.
Coleman, I Wish I Win & Hayasugi out the back.
KEY RUNNERS
1. I Wish I Win – Superstar sprinter and Everest favourite. Being set for the Everest and wouldn’t expect him to be wound up here first up. Will be hitting the line hard late.
5. Chain Of Lightning – Flew last prep winning the TJ Smith. Can sprint well fresh. Hint of rain aids chances.
6. Estriella – Boom mare looking to prove herself at G1 level here. Bolted in winning 3 in a row last prep including the $1M Inglis Sprint before 5th in the G1 Robert Sangster. Resumed with a good Cranbourne 800m trial win under a hold by 4L in +1.2 time.
8. Lady Of Camelot – Sat on a hot speed when a close 2nd in the G1 Blue Diamond, then won the G1 Golden Slipper. Won Randwick Kensington 850m trial by 1.3L beating Giga Kick in +5.1, which was 3.6L faster than Storm Boy on the same day who bolted in last Saturday.
9. Hayasugi – Won the Blue Diamond Preview, Blue Diamond Prelude and Blu Diamond Stakes last prep, then forget went around in the Golden Slipper. Looked good in recent Cranbourne 800m 26 Aug trial when 3rd under a hold.
DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS
8 – Lady Of Camelot
9 – Hayasugi
6 – Estriella
1 – I Wish I Win
5 – Chain Of Lightning
SUMMARY
There look to be 3 genuine winning chances here.
3yos have an excellent record in this race, and the fillies get a big weight pull on the rest of the field.
Lady Of Camelot was excellent as a 2yo, and her trials suggest she has come back well.
Hayasugi has done nothing wrong and also appears to have come back well.
Estriella is the boom mare, has trialled well and will be the one they will need to run down.
Backing Lady Of Camelot and Hayasugi. Saving on Estriella.
BETTING STRATEGIES
Betting Strategy
BACK: 8. Lady of Camelot (WIN) for 2 units
Sat on a hot speed when a close 2nd in the G1 Blue Diamond, then won the G1 Golden Slipper. Won Randwick Kensington 850m trial by 1.3L beating Giga Kick in +5.1, which was 3.6L faster than Storm Boy on the same day who bolted in last Saturday.
BACK: 9. Hayasugi (WIN) for 1 unit
Won the Blue Diamond Preview, Blue Diamond Prelude and Blu Diamond Stakes last prep, then forget went around in the Golden Slipper. Looked good in recent Cranbourne 800m 26 Aug trial when 3rd under a hold.
BACK: 6. Estriella (WIN) for 1 unit
Boom mare looking to prove herself at G1 level here. Bolted in winning 3 in a row last prep including the $1M Inglis Sprint before 5th in the G1 Robert Sangster. Resumed with a good Cranbourne 800m trial win under a hold by 4L in +1.2 time.
Moir Stakes Tips & Analysis
The Moir Stakes is a premier Group 1 sprint race held annually at Moonee Valley Racecourse in Melbourne. Run over 1000 metres under weight-for-age conditions, this race attracts some of the fastest sprinters in Australia and serves as a key lead-up to the Spring Racing Carnival.
For punters seeking an edge, Moir Stakes tips are invaluable. Expert analysis provides insights into various factors, including recent form, barrier draws, track conditions, and historical trends, to offer comprehensive predictions. While the field often features a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, certain patterns have emerged over the years that can inform betting decisions.
Predictions for the Moir Stakes often highlight the importance of consistent form leading up to the race. Horses that have demonstrated strong performances in lead-up races, particularly over the 1000m distance, tend to be well-suited to the demands of the Moir Stakes. Additionally, the barrier draw plays a crucial role; inside barriers can offer a tactical advantage, allowing jockeys to position their mounts effectively in the early stages of the race.
When making informed decisions, expert racing tips are essential. These tips consider a range of factors, including jockey experience, trainer statistics, and the horse’s racing history. By combining these elements, punters can form a clearer picture of each runner’s prospects and identify potential value bets.
Betting on the Moir Stakes requires a strategic approach. While it’s tempting to back the favourite, value can often be found further down the market. Horses that are underrated but have the right conditions can offer attractive returns. It’s also wise to consider exotic bets, such as quinellas and trifectas, which can yield higher payouts.
For those seeking the best bets, staying updated with the latest information is crucial. Changes in track conditions, late scratching, or shifts in betting markets can all influence the outcome. Regularly checking expert analyses and race previews can provide the most current insights and help refine betting strategies.
The Moir Stakes continues to build on its reputation as a must-watch event for racing fans and a challenging, yet rewarding contest for punters. Each year, it showcases emerging talent and creates opportunities for thoughtful, well-researched betting approaches. Moir Stakes tips remain a trusted part of preparation, helping fans and punters navigate the complexity of this high-stakes race.
