MIGHT AND POWER STAKES PREVIEW
Track: Caulfield | Distance: 2000m | Race Type: Group 1 WFA | Rail Position: True | Current Track Conditions: Good 4 |
Prediction Track Conditions:Â Soft 5Â | Prizemoney:Â $1,000,000
High quality honour roll in recent years for this key Cox Plate leadup including Ocean Park, Atlantic Jewel, Fawkner, Criterion, Winx, Benbatl, Arcadia Queen and Anamoe.
BETTER ODDS HISTORY
Each of the last three years we’ve seen better odds on the Exchange for the winner of the Might and Power Stakes when compared to the Corporate average.
The best of those came in 2021 when Probabeel caused a minor upset at the $9.50 post commission BSP. This was a handy 18% higher than the corporate average (TAB, Ladbrokes and Sportsbet).
In 2022 we saw Anamoe salute as favourite with a 3% post commision edge, and Alligator Blood did the same in 2023 as the favourite, returning a small edge over the corporate average.
MIGHT AND POWER STAKES HISTORY (LAST 13 YEARS)
- 6-7 day break (0/6), 14-day break (4/44), 21-day break (5/29), 28-day break (1/3), 30-110 day break (3/13)
- Mares (4/16), Entires (5/34), Geldings (4/54)
- 59kg (5), 58kg (2), 57kg (4), 56.5kg (1)
- 1st up (3/10), 2nd up (2/9), 3rd up (3/24), 4th up (4/48), 5th up (1/9), 6th up+ (0/4)
- 4yo (3/24), 5yo (7/25), 6yo (0/24), 7yo (3/17), 8yo+ (0/14)
- Barrier 1-4 (6/51), 5-8 (7/38), 9+ (0/15)
- Official Handicap Ranking 1 (6/13), 2-3 (6/26), 4+ (1/65)
- Official Handicap Rating 90-100 (1/42), 110+ (11/53)
- Average Prizemoney Rank 1 (7/13), 2-4 (5/38), 5+ (1/53)
- Handy/Pace/? (9/43), Midfield/Back (4/61)
- Last Start Finishing Position 1-3 (10/57), 4+ (3/47)
SPEED MAP
Deny Knowledge and Jennilala can set a decent tempo here. Mr Brightside, Kalapour and Vow And Declare midfield. Coco Sun, Adelaide River & Atishu out the back.
FINAL FIELD – KEY RUNNERS
1. Mr Brightside – Won the G1 Makybe Diva Stakes two starts back, then 2nd to Pride Of Jenni In the G2 Feehan Stakes. Rates on top but not unbeatable.
2. Vow And Declare – Excels in fast run races. Ran 2nd in this race last year, and was 4th only beaten 2L in the Australian Cup last year. Can surprise here.
4. Adelaide River – Finished well for 4th first up, then can forgive next run. Can surprise.
5. Atishu – Has been ok this prep though below best. Failed at only Caulfield track run.
8. Coco Sun – Has been solid in both runs this prep. Should improve sharply here 3rd up on a hot speed.
DEAN EVANS TOP 4 SELECTIONS
1. Mr Brightside
8. Coco Sun
2. Vow And Declare
4. Adelaide River
SUMMARY
Mr Brightside the obvious one to beat. Expecting a big improvement from Coco Sun. Vow And Declare can surprise in a race with a hot tempo up front. Adelaide River the smokey.
Betting Strategy
BACK: 8. Coco Sun (WIN) for 1 unit
BACK: 2. Vow And Declare (WIN) for 0.5 units
BACK: 3. Adelaide River (WIN) for 0.5 units
BIG WINNERS (BETFAIR STARTING PRICE)
Units Outlayed: 439.4
Units Returned: 466.8
Profit On Turnover: 6.2%
BIG WINNERS (Betfair SP):
- 2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.632020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)
- 2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment ($28.26)
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23)
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)
2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18)
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15)
MIght and Power Tips
The Might and Power Stakes, held annually at Caulfield Racecourse, is a premier Group 1 weight-for-age race run over 2000 metres. As a key lead-up to the Cox Plate, it attracts some of Australia’s best middle-distance horses, making it a must-watch event for racing enthusiasts.
For punters seeking an edge, Might and Power Stakes tips are invaluable. Expert analyses delve into various factors such as recent form, barrier draws, track conditions, and historical trends to provide comprehensive predictions. While the field often features a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, certain patterns have emerged over the years that can inform betting decisions.
Predictions for the Might and Power Stakes often highlight the importance of consistent form leading up to the race. Horses that have demonstrated strong performances in lead-up races, particularly over the 2000m distance, tend to be well-suited to the demands of the Might and Power Stakes. Additionally, the barrier draw plays a crucial role; inside barriers can offer a tactical advantage, allowing jockeys to position their mounts effectively in the early stages of the race.
When making informed decisions, expert racing tips are essential. These tips consider a range of factors, including jockey experience, trainer statistics, and the horse’s racing history. By combining these elements, punters can form a clearer picture of each runner’s prospects and identify potential value bets.
Betting on the Might and Power Stakes requires a strategic approach. While it’s tempting to back the favourite, value can often be found further down the market. Horses that are underrated but have the right conditions can offer attractive returns. It’s also wise to consider exotic bets, such as quinellas and trifectas, which can yield higher payouts.
For those seeking the best bets, staying updated with the latest information is crucial. Changes in track conditions, late scratching, or shifts in betting markets can all influence the outcome. Regularly checking expert analyses and race previews can provide the most current insights and help refine betting strategies.
The Might and Power Stakes continues to build on its reputation as a must-watch event for racing fans and a challenging, yet rewarding contest for punters. Each year, it showcases emerging talent and creates opportunities for thoughtful, well-researched betting approaches. Might and Power Stakes tips remain a trusted part of preparation, helping fans and punters navigate the complexity of this high-stakes race.