FEATURE PREVIEWS: MAKYBE DIVA STAKES
MAKYBE DIVA STAKES
Track: Flemington | Distance: 1600m | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000
A strong field of 8, with 7 G1 winners and 1 G1 placegetters.
HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 10 YEARS)
• 1st up (2/24), 2nd up (4/67), 3rd up (4/24), 4th up + (0/4)
• 14-day break (7/69) usually the Memsie, 21-day break (1/12), 77-day break (1), 312-day break (1)
• 4yo (3/33), 5yo (3/23), 6yo (2/22), 7yo (1/27), 8yo (1/7), 9yo+ (0/7)
• Geldings (6/65), Entires (4/39), Mares (0/15)
• Finishing Position Last Start 1st (3), 2nd (1), 3rd (1), 5th (2), 8th (2), 10th (1)
• Barriers 1-8 (8/79), Barriers 9+ (2/40)
• SP1-2 (7/10) 3-6 (2/40), 7+ (1/59)
• Trained on track No (10/76), Yes (0/43)
• Last Start VIC (7/83), NSW (1/21), Other (2/15)
• CR1-4 (8/40) CR70+ (6/25), SR1-4 (7/40), SR110+ (7/47), IR 1-6 (9/60), IR <$18 (9/67), PD1-5 (9/50), PD110 (9/50), RVR 1-5 (8/50), L1-6 (9/60), W1-5 (7/50), D1-4 (6/40) 30 (3/49)
SPEED MAP
Pride Of Jenni should get an easy lead here, with Mr Brightside sitting 2nd.
Fair gap to the rest who are all backmarkers; Pinstriped, Antino, Atishu, Via Sistina, Circle Of Fire & Warmonger.
KEY RUNNERS
1. Mr Brightside – Topliner for many seasons who has won over $13M prizemoney. Was solid first up when 2nd in the Memsie Stakes beaten a long head. Will have come on from that run. Won this race last year, though was third up.
2. Pinstriped – Became a giant killer beating Mr Brightside first up in the Memsie in a clear career peak. Fit.
4. Antino – Got back and finished solidly out wide for 4th beaten 3.8L first up in the Memsie Stakes. Expect him to finish closer here.
5. Warmonger – Bolted in to win the QLD Derby by 11L last start. Brings that residual fitness here. Can surprise.
6. Pride Of Jenni – Superstar mare who went slower than usual in front first up in the Memsie and flopped. Does get better the deeper she gets into a prep, and the harder she goes in front. Expecting an improved run here, unless the Queen Elizabeth run has cooked her.
7. Atishu – Has a strong record at Flemington. Capable of figuring here.
8. Via Sistina – High quality mare with 3 Australian runs at G1 level for 2 wins and a second. Key player.
TOP 5 SELECTIONS
5 – Warmonger
2 – Pinstriped
1 – Mr Brightside
4 – Antino
6 – Pride Of Jenni
DEAN EVANS SUMMARY
Tricky race from a betting perspective. In the last 10 years no mares have won this race, no horse from a Flemington yard has won the race, and only 1 horse has won off a Sydney run last start. That combined with the ratings out of slow races has Via Sistina rating poorly here, despite her clear class. Tends to rule out Atishu also despite her excellent Flemington record.
Pride Of Jenni needs to improve very sharply, whilst Antino has to take the next step in this top grade.
Leaning towards 3 key chances from a betting perspective in Warmonger, Pinstriped and Mr Brightside.
Warmonger brings a somewhat similar profile to horses like Incentivise (1st), Russian Camelot (2nd) and Mr Quickie (3rd) who all ran well in this race fresh as either 4yos or off a Queensland 2400m run last start. Looks a nice bet at a big price.
Pinstriped has an excellent profile for this race coming to it 3rd up off a Memsie win.
Mr Brightside the other key chance, though is he half a run short for this tough race? Could save on him.
Betting Strategy
BACK: (WIN) 5. Warmonger for 1 unit.
Warmonger brings a somewhat similar profile to horses like Incentivise (1st), Russian Camelot (2nd) and Mr Quickie (3rd) who all ran well in this race fresh as either 4yos or off a Queensland 2400m run last start. Looks a nice bet at a big price.
BACK: (PLACE) 5. Warmonger for 1 unit
Warmonger brings a somewhat similar profile to horses like Incentivise (1st), Russian Camelot (2nd) and Mr Quickie (3rd) who all ran well in this race fresh as either 4yos or off a Queensland 2400m run last start. Looks a nice bet at a big price.
BACK: (WIN) 2. Pinstriped for 1 unit
Pinstriped has an excellent profile for this race coming to it 3rd up off a Memsie win.
BACK: (PLACE) 2. Pinstriped for 1 unit
Pinstriped has an excellent profile for this race coming to it 3rd up off a Memsie win.
DEAN EVANS RESULTS
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24
Makybe Diva Stakes Tips & Analysis
The Makybe Diva Stakes is a premier Group 1 race held annually at Flemington Racecourse, serving as a significant lead-up to the Melbourne Spring Carnival. Run over 1600 metres under weight-for-age conditions, this race attracts some of the best middle-distance horses in Australia.
For punters looking to gain an edge, Makybe Diva Stakes tips are invaluable. Expert analysis provides insights into various factors, including recent form, barrier draws, track conditions, and historical trends, to offer comprehensive predictions. While the field often features a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, certain patterns have emerged over the years that can inform betting decisions.
Predictions for the Makybe Diva Stakes often highlight the importance of consistent form leading up to the race. Horses that have demonstrated strong performances in lead-up races, particularly over the 1600m distance, tend to be well-suited to the demands of the Makybe Diva Stakes. Additionally, the barrier draw plays a crucial role; inside barriers can offer a tactical advantage, allowing jockeys to position their mounts effectively in the early stages of the race.
When making informed decisions, expert racing tips are essential. These tips consider a range of factors, including jockey experience, trainer statistics, and the horse’s racing history. By combining these elements, punters can form a clearer picture of each runner’s prospects and identify potential value bets.
Betting on the Makybe Diva Stakes requires a strategic approach. While it’s tempting to back the favourite, value can often be found further down the market. Horses that are underrated but have the right conditions can offer attractive returns. It’s also wise to consider exotic bets, such as quinellas and trifectas, which can yield higher payouts.
For those seeking the best bets, staying updated with the latest information is crucial. Changes in track conditions, late scratching, or shifts in betting markets can all influence the outcome. Regularly checking expert analyses and race previews can provide the most current insights and help refine betting strategies.
In summary, the Makybe Diva Stakes is a race that rewards thorough research and strategic betting. By leveraging expert predictions, understanding historical trends, and staying informed, punters can enhance their chances of success. Remember, while betting adds excitement to the race, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and within your means.
