EXPERT RACING TIPS: LONGCHAMP
Best Bets
Rory Flanagan
BACK: 9. Look De Vega (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $3.75)
I still fancy LOOK DE VEGA as much the best horse in this race. The prep run behind Sosie was just a pass mark, but that horse had first run at a slow tempo and this is a much bigger fish to fry.
He’s swept aside all comers prior, and with some juice still in the ground he should be stalking his main rivals all of the way around.
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Rory Flanagan
BACK: 2. Kinross (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $3.00)
Kinross should have won this race for the second time last year, when Dettori copped some interference and had his run taken. He’ll be in a similar position and the big field should mean pace is on. He breezed into the race to land a deserved success last time and with the sting in the ground and his 60% win rate on rain-affected going I’m happy to pull the trigger.
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LONGCHAMP PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SUNDAY OCTOBER 6TH 2024
TRACK: Good to soft
Rail moves back to the true position so we get a fresh strip of ground which will be prime real estate the races beyond 1400m.
1. Zarigana
4. Exactly
3. Bedtime Story
7. Lhakpa
Betting Strategy
She’s so classy Zarigana but there’s no price to take. Happy to sit back and watch her win.
7. Henri Matisse
2. Misunderstood
1. Houquetot
8. Rashabar
Betting Strategy
BACK: 7. Henri Matisse (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.75)
Henri Matisse threw away a G1 last time by hanging, and is poised to make amends here with a good gate and a weaker field than many would have expected. I imagine Moore may even try to make all and get first use of the fence which should stop him from hanging under pressure.
6. Grand Grey
4. Starlust
5. Kerdos
3. Washington Heights
Betting Strategy
BACK: #3 Washington Heights (WIN) for 1 unit
Simply backing the four inside gates as I do every year. Don’t think Bradsell has the zip to get over from out wide, otherwise it’s tough to see him getting beat. Believing maps to run up into traffic behind the leaders.
1u on 3, 4, 5, 6
BACK: #4 Starlust (WIN) for 1 unit
BACK: #5 Kerdos (WIN) for 1 unit
BACK: #6 Grand Grey (WIN) for 1 unit
2. Al Ghadeer
9. Nour Al Maury
10. Al Doha
5. Ch’ezza
Betting Strategy
Purebred Arabians. No thanks.
9. Look De Vega
7. Bluestocking
3. Fantastic Moon
1. Zarakem
Betting Strategy
BACK: 9. Look De Vega (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $3.75)
I still fancy LOOK DE VEGA as much the best horse in this race. The prep run behind Sosie was just a pass mark, but that horse had first run at a slow tempo and this is a much bigger fish to fry.
He’s swept aside all comers prior, and with some juice still in the ground he should be stalking his main rivals all of the way around.
BACK: 7. Bluestocking (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)
She was given one of the best rides of the season in the Vermeille, landing on speed from the wide gate and kicking clear. Has far less work to do now from the low draw and if able to position in the first four in running she’s a strong winning hope who has proven she can handle most surfaces.
BACK: 3. Fantastic Moon (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $9.00)
Wouldn’t be the first time a German horse has popped up at odds to salute in a big race and Fantastic Moon has the drawn and ability to do so. Ran a stinker in the Ganay this season but his win in the Niel from a good draw shows he enjoys the 2400m here much more. If it keeps drying out, his price should too.
10. Fallen Angel
2. Running Lion
4. Hanalia
7. Ylang Ylang
Betting Strategy
BACK: 10. Fallen Angel (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $3.00)
Should be very tough to run down Fallen Angel who will likely sit in the slipstream of Running Lion and commit early in the straight. She bumped into Porta Fortuna, and with that filly off to America she’s a worth fav here.
BACK: 4. Hanalia (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $8.00)
Hanalia showed a devastating turn of foot to win at the Curragh and if she’s within striking distance and not last here she could benefit from a pace collapse if Running Lion and Fallen Angel take each other on.
2. Kinross
1. Poet Master
18. Ramatuelle
11. Breege
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2. Kinross (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $3.00)
Kinross should have won this race for the second time last year, when Dettori copped some interference and had his run taken. He’ll be in a similar position and the big field should mean pace is on. He breezed into the race to land a deserved success last time and with the sting in the ground and his 60% win rate on rain-affected going I’m happy to pull the trigger.
7. Rock Boy
2. Apax
18. Lucky Wine
6. Major Oak
Betting Strategy
Big messy race. Leave me out
11. Fashion Grey
13. Chiareggio
6. London Royal
2. Kleora
Betting Strategy
Not interested in the last.
