KING CHARLES III STAKES PREVIEW
Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1600m | Race Type: Group 1 | Rail Position: +3m | Current Track Conditions: Soft 6 |
Predicted Track Conditions: Soft 6Â | Prizemoney:Â $5,000,000
Some rain forecast for Thursday but clear otherwise, so the track should race in the Good 4 range yet again.
Previously named the George Main Stakes, now with a name change and significant prizemoney increase. Also set a bit later in the carnival. Always a quality race, won 3 times by Winx, with other recent winners including Fangirl, Anamoe, Kolding, Avilius, Kermadec, Sacred Falls, Streama, Shoot Out & Verry Elleegant.
HISTORICAL PROFILING (13 YEARS)
14-day break & 3rd up (5), 28-day break & 2nd up (5), 28-day break & 3rd up (1), 154-day break & 1st up (1)
14-day break (6/77), 28-day break (6/19)
1st up (1/6), 2nd up (6/47), 3rd up (6/46), 4th up+ (0/14)
Chris Waller has historically dominated this race winning 9 of the last 12 editions from 40 runnrs. James Cummings has won 2 from 7 runners.
4yo (3/30), 5yo (5/32), 6yo (4/24), 7yo (1/12), 8yo+ (0/13)
Entire 3/18, Mare 6/36, Gelding (4/56)
Last Start Finishing Position 1-2 (11/45), 3-4 (2/19), 5+ (0/49)
Average Prizemoney Rank 1 (9/13), 2-3 (4/26), 4+ (74)
Wins at track 0-1 (2/60), 2+ (11/53)
Career Wins 1-5 (1/50), 6-7 (2/26), 8+ (10/37)
Favourites have won 9. Highest priced winner $9.50
Betfair Exchange Rank: 1-4 (13/52)
SPEED MAP
Pride Of Jenni should lead comfortably.
Major Beel will attempt to take the field up to her.
Zougotcha, Pericles, Lion’s Roar & Amelia’s Jewel handy.
My Oberon, Tom Kitten & Ceolwulf back of midfield.
New Energy, Celestial Legend & Fangirl out the back.
KEY RUNNERS
2. My Oberon – Ran 3rd in this race last year but going better this year. Ran 2nd to Fangirl 2 starts back, then 4 wide no cover in the Epsom from barrier 20 with the top weight and only beaten 3.3L. Key here is it could be a wet track, and he excels on a wet track. His two wet track runs were a G2 win by 1.6L and 2nd beaten a nose in the Doncaster Handicap to Mr Brightside. A wet track is a negative for favourites Fangirl & Pride Of Jenni. Winning chance if soft 6 or worse.
5. New Energy – Ran well when 5th beaten 2.6L last start at G2 level after racing wide no cover throughout. Bolter.
9. Pride Of Jenni – Superstar 4-time G1 winner. Improved with every run this prep. Will be hard to run down.
10. Fangirl – Won this race last year and rating better this year. Just doesn’t want it too wet.
TOP 4 SELECTIONS
9.Pride Of Jenni
10. Fangirl
2.My Oberon
5.New Energy
SUMMARY
Pride of Jenni and Fangirl the clear top 2 raters. If it’s wet, Pride Of Jenni is heavily favoured as Fangirl less effective on the wet.
If it’s Soft 6 or worse My Oberon looks the best value in the race. Can win and the wetter the better.
New Energy could be the surprise packet.
BETTING STRATEGIES
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2.My Oberon (WIN) for 1 unit
If it’s Soft 6 or worse My Oberon looks the best value in the race. Can win and the wetter the better.
BACK: 2.My Oberon (PLACE) for 1 unit
If it’s Soft 6 or worse My Oberon looks the best value in the race. Can win and the wetter the better.
BACK: 5.New Energy (WIN) for 0.5 units
New Energy could be the surprise packet.
BACK: 5.New Energy (PLACE) for 0.5 units
New Energy could be the surprise packet.