FEATURE PREVIEWS: INGLIS SIRES STAKES

Group 1 | SW, 2YO | $1,000,000 | Rail: True | Track Conditions: Good 4

After three weeks at Rosehill we are back at Randwick for Day 1 of The Championships. One of the great meetings. Rail in the True and the weather looks absolutely perfect.
A rich 2YO race over 1400m and a natural race for those coming through the Golden Slipper. In fact, 21 of the last 30 winners of this race have come through the Slipper, with 15 horses achieving the double overall.
Waterhouse has won the race 7 times, all within the last 25 years. She has the sole filly BELLAZAINE.

Historical Profiling (last 12 years)

• 2^nd up (4/17), 3^rd up (3/43), 4^th up (2/55), 5^th up (2/18), 6^th up (1/7)
• 7-day break (3/24) 14-day break (7/44), 21-day break (0/23), 23+day break (2/27)
• Career Starts 1-2 (0/29), 3-6 (12/109), 7+ (0/4)
• Settled 1st-5th (0), Settled 6^th-9^th (9), Settled 11^th-13^th (2)
• Colts (7/100), Fillies (5/39), Geldings (0/3)
• 8 winners have come out of the Golden Slipper last start
• Last start finishing position 1 (3/37), 2 (6/29), 3-4 (1/27), 5+ (2/49)
• Prrizemoney $600k+ (6/16)
• All 12 winners ran over 1200m last start
• 1400m starts 0 (12/107), 1+ (0/35)
• Average Prizemoney Index Rank 1-3 (8/36), 4+ (4/106)
• Last Start G1 (9/50), G2 (2/45), Other (1/47)

Last Start NSW (11/113), Melbourne (1/28)

Manaal got up in 2024 with a $5.70 BSP, which was 2.5% better than best tote post commission.

Militarize was a blowout in 2023, with the $25.13 victory providing a minor post commission edge over the corporates.

Fireburn won impressively as favourite in 2022 with a price on parity with competition.

Clear cut speed influences but many rising to the 1400m. The speed comes from #3 VINROCK kicking up from the inside and #10 BELLAZAINE working over. #4 PRESTIGE FOREVER has a bit of speed, is up to 1400m and draws the outside barrier.

As mentioned above, the Golden Slipper is the natural, and obvious form reference coming into this historically, with 21 of the last 30 winners coming through that race. This year we have three, in the form of #2 WODETON, #4 RIVELLINO and #10 BELLAZAINE. What makes that more interesting this year was a ridiculously biased track with those on the fence having a distinct advantage. The first question we all have to ask is whether it is the right form leading in this year. All three had the fence but there wasn’t a lot between #4 RIVELLINO who was unlucky and #2 WODETON. Suspect if #4 RIVELLINO had the run of WODETON they could have easily switched results. Do we just lean the way of RIVELLINO based on that?  #2 WODETON has just looked a 1400m and a 1600m horse all campaign. There wasn’t much between them in betting in the Slipper and there wasn’t much between their runs. If they didn’t have fence in run, where would they have finished and would they be as short here?

The VRC Sires is historically a good lead in for this race also. #3 VINROCK is the horse through that and he just keeps on winning. He has tactical speed, ticks the 1400m box and just brings different form which can be seen as a big positive against a crop of seemingly mediocre 2YO’s. Trial this direction here in Sydney was sound.

#5 STATE VISIT ran home very well over 1200m last start. The way the track played there did suit him but he looks like the 1400m will be up his alley.

A race in which the top three in betting clearly look the three key winning chances.

#3 VINROCK
#1 RIVELLINO
#2 WODETON
#5 STATE VISIT